Robert Oak's blog

Must Read Posts - Sometimes you just can't say it better for 02.06.10

On The Economic Populist you might have noticed the middle column. We try to list other sites and blogs who have exceptional insight and writing on what is happening in the U.S. economy.

Sometimes though, one cannot say it better but miss those who did.

Must Read Post #1

Just because everyone says it's so, doesn't mean it is....a premise amplified in the The Crisis Won't Get Moving. From the impending European Crisis to similar observations made here in this post on residential real estate, things are not all over as one is led to believe in the Financial Crisis. Oh yeah, what was that about Financial reforms and effective action?

Must Read Post #2

Baseline Scenario asks if Geithner is paying any attention to the global economy. Yes, the sudden stock market crash was not because of the unemployment report, it's about Greece.

Friday Movie Night - 25 Million Pounds

hot buttered popcorn It's Friday Night! Party Time!   Time to relax, put your feet up on the couch, lay back, and watch some detailed videos on economic policy!

 

25 Million Pounds is an Adam Curtis documentary on Nick Leeson and the collapse of Barings Bank. This happened in 1995 where one rogue trader, Nick Leeson, through futures trading, brought down the entire bank. Think about this and then Enron, WorldCom, Dot Con and now our current debacle and may I suggest all simply get over their Conservative/Liberal/Tea Party/Netroots/Progressive/Populist/GOP/Dem/Green/Contitution/Capitalism/Socialism/Libertarianism divide, all join forces and demand we get real financial reform? We've gone from one rogue trader to as an entire global sector....rogue trading as general practice. Enjoy.

U.S. Manufacturing, Hire America & Buy American

Want to see some damning statistics? Read this paragraph, taken from The Plight of American Manufacturing.

Manufacturing employment dropped to 11.7 million in October 2009, a loss of 5.5 million or 32 percent of all manufacturing jobs since October 2000.  The last time fewer than 12 million people worked in the manufacturing sector was in 1941.  In October 2009, more people were officially unemployed (15.7 million) than were working in manufacturing.

See what bad trade deals and global labor arbitrage bring us?

SIGTARP January 2010 Report

The January 2010 SIGTARP report is released and if anything it's a validation of this sites many observations to date on TARP.

Despite the fact that the explicit goal of the Capital Purchase Program (“CPP”) was to increase financing to U.S. businesses and consumers, lending continues to decrease, month after month, and the TARP program designed specifically to address small-business lending — announced in March 2009 — has still not been implemented by Treasury.

Notwithstanding the fact that preserving home ownership and promoting jobs were explicit purposes of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (“EESA”), the statute that created TARP, nearly 16 months later, home foreclosures remain at record levels, the TARP foreclosure prevention program has only permanently modified a small fraction of eligible mortgages, and unemployment is the highest it has been in a generation.

SIGTARP notes that we are nowhere with financial reforms.

  • To the extent that huge, interconnected, “too big to fail” institutions contributed to the crisis, those institutions are now even larger, in part because of the substantial subsidies provided by TARP and other bailout programs.

What is the State of Credit Availability for Small Business?

Contained within the Obama administration's Jobs Program Redux, we have a policy proposal to give $30 billion in TARP funds to community banks, on the premise they will lend to small businesses.

The questions become, what is the true state of credit for small business and is the premise that community banks would loan out these funds to small businesses valid?

There are two reports out on the state of credit availability for small businesses.

The first is this study from the NFIB.

First is this bit of bad news, where most economists agree, unemployment is not going to improve:

Friday Movie Night - The World According to Monsanto

hot buttered popcorn It's Friday Night! Party Time!   Time to relax, put your feet up on the couch, lay back, and watch some detailed videos on economic policy!

 

I was reminded of Monsanto again when I came across this this article putting Monsanto, once again, as one of the least ethical corporations of the world. (Oh yeah, ignore the list, any technical professional knows IBM has no ethics and either does Intel, so if that's the best....we're in big trouble!)

Jobs Program Redux

Obama put forth some elements of a second jobs bill. With that, I strongly suggest all those who were disappointed, disgusted with the first Stimulus, start right now pushing for legislation we need.

Here are the main elements, laid out in the State of the Union Speech.

  • Take $30 billion of the [TARP] money Wall Street banks have repaid and use it to help community banks give small businesses the credit [Subsidized Small Business Loans].
  • Small Business tax credit - one that will go to over one million small businesses who hire new workers or raise wages
  • Eliminate all capital gains taxes on small business investment
  • Tax incentive for all businesses, large and small, to invest in new plants and equipment

Oversight Committee AIG Hearing Highlights

The House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform is holding a hearing today, The Federal Bail Out of AIG.

All prepared statements are at the above link. The hearing has testimony from:

  • Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner
  • Former Treasury Secretary Mr. Henry Paulson
  • SIGTARP Inspector General Mr. Neil Barofsky
  • Executive VP and NY Fed General Council Mr. Thomas Baxter
  • Senior VP and AIG CFO Mr. Elias Habayeb
  • Former NY Fed Chairman of Board of Governers Mr. Stephen Friedman

I'm still swimming through mountains of documents and tons of verbiage, but I will sum up what I do not know so far.

Firstly, it seems that when it comes to figuring out who precisely gave the go ahead for the 100% AIG counterparty payouts, magically top officials were not involved.

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