new orders

ISM Survey Shows Barely Breathing Manufacturing Sector - PMI at 51.5%

The March ISM Manufacturing Survey shows manufacturing is barely breathing growth as a monthly -1.4 percentage point decline put PMI near the contraction edge.  PMI is now 51.5% and if the index falls below 50%...that's contraction.  The reason for the slide was supplier deliveries, which were more streamlined indicating less to ship and slower manufacturing hiring.

Manufacturing Growth Tapering as PMI Continues to Slide Towards Neutral

The January ISM Manufacturing Survey shows manufacturing is still expanding, abet at an even slower pace than December.  PMI dropped by -1.6 percentage points to 53.5%  Everything was down this month, new orders especially declined.  While technically not showing a contraction, the ISM overall message tells us American manufacturing is close to running idle.

Durable Goods Plummets for December 2014

The Durable Goods, advance report shows new orders declined by -3.4% for December 2014.  This month the decline was caused by volatile aircraft and parts.  Core capital goods also dropped by -0.6%.  For the last three of four months durable goods new orders as a whole have declined.  Without transportation new orders, which includes aircraft, the durable goods decline would have been -0.8%.

ISM Manufacturing Comes Down Further From It's Lofty Highs in December

The December ISM Manufacturing Survey shows manufacturing is still expanding, abet at a slower pace than November.  PMI dopped by -3.2 percentage points to 55.5%.  New orders caused the overall decline and by themselves slid down -8.7 percentage points to go below the 60's level.

ISM Manufacturing Shows Highest Production in a Decade and New Orders On Fire

The October ISM Manufacturing Survey recovered from last month's plunge.  PMI rose by 2.4 percentage points to 59%.  New orders caused the overall gain and by themselves jumped up 5.8 percentage points to the 60's level.  Production is at highs not seen in a decade.  This is a great report, even with declines in petroleum and coal.

 

ISM Manufacturing PMI Bounce Back While Production Pummeled for February 2014

The February ISM Manufacturing Survey somewhat recovered from last month's plunge.  PMI rose by 1.9 percentage points to 53.2%.  This range is really mediocre growth for manufacturing.  New orders did rebound with a 3.3 percentage point increase.  Yet production just completely imploded, the second month in a row.  Many blame the unusually bad weather and freezing cold.

Another Month, Another Drop in Durable Goods New Orders

The Durable Goods, advance report shows new orders declined by -1.0% for January 2014, but December 2013 new orders were revised downward to a -5.3% plunge.  The better news of this report is core capital goods increased by 1.7%.  For the last three of four months durable goods new orders as a whole have declined.

ISM Manufacturing PMI Pummeled for January 2014

The January ISM Manufacturing Survey PMI was pummeled with an astounding -5.2 percentage point drop in a month.  PMI is barely breathing any growth now, down to 51.3%.  New orders simply imploded with a -13.2 percentage point decline.  This is the largest monthly decline in the history of the ISM manufacturing survey for new orders by our calculations.  Many are blaming the unusually bad weather and freezing cold.

Durable Goods New Orders Bomb Out for December 2013

The Durable Goods, advance report shows new orders plunged by -4.3% for December 2013 after a 2.6% increase in November.  The really bad news in this report is core capital goods declined by -1.3%.  For the last two of three months durable goods new orders as a whole have declined.  While December is shaping up to a bad month for the economy, a word of caution as durable goods are often revised dramatically.

 

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