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Economists Predict a Decade of High Unemployment for United States

Submitted by Robert Oak on Sun, 12/27/2009 - 00:00.
  • forecasts
  • Labor Economics
  • unemployment

If you are enjoying your holiday and hoping the next decade is way better than this one....stop reading now and go party. Trust me, this post will be here when you have a nice hangover on January 1st.

For the rest of folk, the Canadian Press, Even as the US economy recovers, a decade of joblessness and flat wages could lie ahead is a real bummer.

The decade ahead could be a brutal one for America's unemployed - and for people with jobs hoping for pay raises.

At best, it could take until the middle of the decade for the nation to generate enough jobs to drive down the unemployment rate to a normal 5 or 6 per cent and keep it there. At worst, that won't happen until much later - perhaps not until the next decade.

The deepest and most enduring recession since the 1930s has battered America's work force.

The unemployed number 15.4 million. The jobless rate is 10 per cent. More than 7 million jobs have vanished. People out of work at least six months number a record 5.9 million. And household income, adjusted for inflation, has shrunk in the past decade.

Most economists say it could take at least until 2015 for the unemployment rate to drop down to a historically more normal 5.5 per cent. And with the job market likely to stay weak, some also foresee another decade of wage stagnation.

Ok, well, maybe this helps the drink in your beer sales.

The thing is, it doesn't have to be this way.

If America would simply get real and start enacting legislation and policies, that jump start manufacturing and stop the offshore outsourcing of jobs, we could provide good employment for people.

That's why The Economic Populist exists. So we might not only talk about economics but also analysis and promote policies to make this so.

Happy damn Debbie downer New Year.

‹ 20.7 million people collected unemployment in 2009 State Unemployment Rates for November 2009 - Maps, Detailed State Stats ›
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