Grassroots

Jobless claims remain well-behaved, while Philly region manufacturing … isn’t

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 – by New Deal democrat Initial jobless claims continued to be well-behaved last week. Per this morning’s report, they declined -9.000 to 215,000, while the four week moving average declined -2,500 to 220,750. With the typical one week delay, continuing claims increased 41,000 to 1.885 million – which, despite the big weekly increase, is right in […]

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Autism: nature vs nurture

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RFK Jr claims he will discover the “cause” of autism by September 2025. He will fail, for the simple reason that we already know that autism is a genetic disease. Poor RFK Jr. His vaccine-autism connection has been a fail, so he’s grasping desperately for something that won’t force him to admit he’s either a […]

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Probable Cause to Believe the Government was in Criminal Contempt of Court

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Contemptible – by Joyce Vance Civil Discourse Today, James Boasberg, a federal judge in the District of Columbia, issued an order following a hearing he held in his courtroom almost two weeks ago. That case involved the two planeloads of people the Trump government spirited out of the country, Venezuelans who are allegedly members of […]

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Health Insurance, Baseball Caps, and Pardons

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Healthcare Insurance My United Healthcare Supplemental Healthcare Insurance Plan took a 21% increase in monthly cost. The customer service person admitted Arizona was seeing a larger of the increases in the United States. I will have to see if it makes sense to go 100% VA. Baseball Caps Don’t where your Chicago Bulls cap anywhere […]

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March manufacturing production also shows evidence of tariff front-running

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 – by New Deal democrat The former King of Coincident Indicators, industrial production, has faded ever since the “China shock” at the beginning of the Millennium. Downturns in production almost always coincided with the onset of recessions beforehand. Since then, there have been several big downturns, in 2015-16, 2019, and a smaller one in 2023-24, […]

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RFK Jr and the fake vaccine-autism connection

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The alleged connection between vaccines and autism maps to a since-retracted British publication that faked data purporting to show that vaccines containing the methylmercury-based preservative thimerosal were associated with autism in children. Thimerosal was discontinued in US childhood vaccines in 2001. Since then, the anti-vaxxers have noted that autism diagnoses have increased, which would seem […]

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A plan for full privatization of the USPS appears to have lost steam

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Long time acquaintance Steve Hutkins had this Washington Post article (taken from the archives) on his site from late March. It is an update at to where the privatization of the USPS status is today. To sum it up? It may be, the USPS is too big to swallow. Save The Post Office, Steve Hutkins […]

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March retail sales were all about front-running T—-p’s tariffs

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 – by New Deal democrat Normally real retail sales is one of the indicators I treat as most important, because it tells us so much about consumer behavior, which is not only 70% of the economy, but also has a lengthy track record for leading both employment and the coincident indicators for recession. Not this […]

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The AOC and Sanders Crowds

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It is time for a change by Democrats. For sure Kamala Harris handed Trump his . . . I was sitting in my chair laughing and he backed off. I am sure he knew why he could not go to a second debate with Kamala. And once again, voters would not accept a woman as […]

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Would you buy a used car from Elon?

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It’s illegal in every state to manipulate odometers to record mileage other than the actual mileage on the car. “ . . . Tesla’s warranties on vehicles are capped by mileage and are supposed to “cover repairs and replacements necessary to correct defects” in parts that it manufactures or supplies. “However, Tesla allegedly ”knowingly overstates […]

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Trump, Just Letting You Know

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“‘Trump Tariff’ Surcharges Appearing on Customer Bills,” Watch: Amid escalating U.S. China trade tensions, American companies are adding explicit “Trump tariff” surcharges to bills to offset the impact of tariffs. Trump Changes Mind on Illegal Immigrants: “One of the things I am doing, though, is I’m also making it easier on the farmers and the […]

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About those law firm agreements

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There’s a paywalled post over at TPM. Here are the nut grafs: “In other words, the notional agreements don’t appear to have any of the basic blocking and tackling features that constitute anything close to a contract. They don’t explicitly state who the parties to the agreement are. They don’t state the duration of the […]

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The state of the short leading indicators: why there’s no “recession watch” – yet

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– by New Deal democrat Over the weekend, in my high frequency “Weekly Indicators” post, I wrote that in the past month, the bulk of the short leading indicators had turned from being positive to negative. Which of course raises the question, should I go on recession watch? To help resolve that, I took a […]

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Providing Healthcare to Rural Areas and Small Hospitals

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Small hospitals and rural hospitals have always had issues in providing healthcare to those citizens utilizing them. Many citizens lack healthcare insurance due to cost which is one factor. Overhead for having equipment to care for parents is costly. Then there is the issue of manpower to care for patients from nurses on up to […]

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Donald Trump Talking About Knowing What He Is Doing

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Donald must have been talking to himself about knowing what he was doing. Most of us think differently about the experiences with on again and off again tariffs which are first this rate and then that rate. What country was that for now? To me this is like a charade. “I Know What The Hell […]

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Wages and Inflation

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Are wages keeping up with inflation? – USAFacts AB: According to USAFacts Wage have been keeping up with inflation currently. Some simple graphs and words. Relatively easy read for everyone with the necessary graphs as support to the words. It did not seem like it was occurring. Yes. From February 2024 to February 2025, wages […]

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Trump demands MAGA DEI at Harvard

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The letter to Harvard that accompanied the Trump Administration funding freeze shows once again that whatever the right accuses others of is what they’re doing. In this case, the Administration demands affirmative action hires of MAGA political commissars under the guise of fighting antisemitism and promoting diversity. “Among other things, it requires the university to […]

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Maybe Joe Biden was Not So Bad?

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Chaos is probably a good descriptor word for the state of the union and its economy. We are all sitting here waiting for what will emerge each day from the office of the president. We are kept off balance with little chance to achieve an equilibrium, a mental or emotional balance. What will happen today […]

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The US bond market sends a warning; has the US crossed an economic Rubicon?

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 – by New Deal democrat Martin Wolf of the Financial Times has called T—-p’s tariffs “an act of warfare against the entire world.” Perhaps it is not surprising that in the past week, the entire world has responded. Among other things,  per Eric Michael Garcia, “China has suspended exports of a wide range of critical minerals and […]

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Pushing Back on Trump’s Direct Attack on Legal Firms

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If you have not been aware, Trump has been executing or abusing Executive Orders taking Lawyering Firms to task. Settlements: Trump reaches deals with 5 law firms, allowing them to avoid prospect of punishing executive orders | AP News — President Donald Trump announced deals Friday with five law firms that will allow them to avoid the […]

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