March 2010

The Big Short (Michael Lewis)

And That Giant Squishing Sound

A must-read book is Michael Lewis' latest: The Big Short: Inside the Doomsday Machine, truly an outstanding description of the factors leading to the meltdown.

While I hold Mr. Lewis in utmost respect as a thoroughly intelligent observer and author, as well as thoroughly honest, I disagree with his conclusions as well as one item in his book.

As Mr. Lewis was utilizing public sources, he can be forgiven if he was redirected, or misdirected on one item (which he honestly doesn't pinpoint as a ground zero event), where he identifies Michael Burry as the instigator of the naked swap, so to speak.

I resolutely believe this was in place long before Mr. Burry inquired into its creation, and there is much extraneous data lying around to validate this assertion.

Paul Krugman Takes on China's Currency Manipulation

Anyone reading this site knows we have talked in depth about China's currency manipulation. Now Paul Krugman takes it on, which is good news due to the devastating impact currency manipulation has on the U.S. economy, especially jobs and manufacturing.

Widespread complaints that China was manipulating its currency — selling renminbi and buying foreign currencies, so as to keep the renminbi weak and China’s exports artificially competitive — began around 2003. At that point China was adding about $10 billion a month to its reserves, and in 2003 it ran an overall surplus on its current account — a broad measure of the trade balance — of $46 billion.

Moody's Warns the U.S. of a sovereign credit rating downgrade

The Financial Times is reporting Moody's will warn the United States of a credit ratings downgrade due to it's debt.

Moody’s Investor Service, the credit rating agency, will fire a warning shot at the US on Monday, saying that unless the country gets public finances into better shape than the Obama administration projects there would be “downward pressure” on its triple A credit rating.

Examining the administration’s outlook for the federal budget deficit, the agency said: “If such a trajectory were to materialise, there would at some point be downward pressure on the triple A rating of the federal government.”

It projects that the federal borrowing is so high that the interest payments on government debt will grow to more than 15 per cent of government revenues, about the same by the end of the decade as the previous 1980s peak.

Lovely.

China bidding on yet more American Infrastructure - this time High Speed Rail

Ya know how new, emerging technologies were supposed to rebuild the U.S. Economy? Instead we find the DOE has awarded billions to foreign companies and created jobs in foreign countries under the hype of green jobs? Remember those, the hyped out and touted jobs of the future, even promoted as something to boost U.S. domestic minorities job opportunities?

Well, we're at it again. This time it's High Speed Rail. Even worse, the Obama administration is claiming to cooperate with China. There are currently $8 billion dollars in grants up for bid.

Dodd to release Senate Financial Reform Bill Monday, a few details now

Both the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal have been finding out details before the Senate Financial Reform bill is released.

Some key points these reporters mention:

  • CFPA - the much fought for Consumer Financial Protection Agency, has been put under the Federal Reserve. Bear in mind advocates have been fighting for an independent agency as well as the Federal Reserve has always had consumer protection power. Banksters - score 1, Americans - 0.
  • Federal Reserve to oversee banks with $50 billion or more, and a vaguely defined "systemically risky institutions", in other words the same players who brought you the bail out are still running the show.

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