BLS Employment Report

A Mind-blowing Bad April Unemployment Report

The unemployment rate has skyrocketed to 14.7%. That is a 10.3 percentage point jump in a month and a record since the government has been keeping labor statistics, 1948.  While the jump is directly attributable to the Coronavirus, the decline in jobs is across the board.  Worse, the damage from Covad-19 is starting to be permanent.  It's so bad the graphs cannot adequately display the unemployment horror due to the scale.

 

Unemployment Gets Sick from Covad-19

The March unemployment report is the first major visual onlsaught of a global pandemic consequences.  From here it's only going to get worse as these results are from last month.  The unemployment rate jumped from 3.5% to 4.4% over one month.  That hasn't happened since 1975.  Labor participation rate also plunged.  If gets even worse.

April Unemployment Rate Lowest Since May 2007

The April unemployment report on the surface looks really good because the unemployment rate is the lowest it has been since May 2007.  Yet the cause of the low rate for the month is a mixed bag.  Labor participation rates also remain low.  On the other hand, an alternative measure of the unemployment rate, U-6, is the lowest it has been since November 2007.

The March Unemployment Report Was Pretty Good

The March unemployment report on the surface looked bad due too less than one hundred thousand jobs gained.  But that is just one number and also not part of the report which calculates the unemployment rate and other statistics.  The unemployment rate actually dropped -0.2 percentage points to 4.5%.  That in itself is a decade low.  The better news is the monthly drop was due to less people being unemployed and almost half a million more were working.

February's Unemployment Report Has Little to Write Home About

February's unemployment report is just another no change type of thing.  The unemployment rate is 4.7%, a -0.1 percentage point change from last month.  Those unemployed declined slightly as did those no longer in the labor force.  The labor participation rate finally hit 63.0% which is still very low  The biggest movement was those employed increased by 447 thousand.  Folks, there just isn't much to write home about again.

Nothing Special in the Unemployment Report

January is the month when annual adjustments are added to the unemployment report.  These adjustments are just tacked onto the month of January, hence one cannot compare the past month without removing these figures.  Yet, with or without the annual adjustments, this year's end result isn't much of a shift.  The January unemployment rate is 4.8%.  Those employed had little change as did those unemployed.

December Unemployment Report Looks Static

The December 2016 unemployment report looks almost static as changes in most of the statistics are small.  The unemployment rate ticked up by 0.1% to 4.7%.  Those employed increased by 63,000 a very small monthly number.  Those unemployed monthly change was also relatively small.  Even those dropping out of the labor force barely registered for the month.

The Uber Low Unemployment Rate Isn't All That it is Cracked Up to Be

The November 2016 unemployment report shows continuing distorted monthly unemployment figures.  The unemployment rate ticked down by -0.3% to 4.6%, a nine year low, but this isn't the great news as many proclaim.  The reason the unemployment rate dropped is yet another almost half a million, 446 thousand more, were considered no longer part of the labor force.

Unemployment Rate 4.9% As Labor Force Drops

The October 2016 unemployment report shows yet more monthly distorted unemployment figures.  The unemployment rate ticked down by -0.1% to 4.9% as almost half a million, 425 thousand more, were considered no longer part of the labor force.  Those employed dropped by -43,000 and those unemployed declined by -152,000.  Both the labor participation rate and the civilian to employment ratio ticked down a tenth of a percentage point.

Unemployment Rate Uptick Largely Due to Statistical Swings

The September 2016 unemployment report shows some fairly wild statistical swings that result in a distorted unemployment picture.  The unemployment rate ticked up 0.1% to 5.0%.  Over 350 thousand more were now considered employed.  Both the labor participation rate and the civilian to employment ratio also ticked up a tenth of a percentage point.

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