June 2015

May Industrial Production Down -0.2% With April Surprise -0.5% Revision

The Federal Reserve Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization report shows industrial production decreased -0.3% as gas and oil well drilling continued to decline, abet at a slower pace.  This is the seventh month in a row for no increase.  Mining for the month declined -0.3% and the previous four months contracted an entire percentage point on average.  Manufacturing also declined for the month.

Simple solution that is an impossible task. Put people to work.

Instead of giving people a reason to die. e.g. Promising virgins or some other spiritual reward. Give them a reason to live. e.g. A life style sustaining job. Poor broke disheartened people are easy prey for any radical.
Money tends to solve problems. Jobs that can actually sustain life with a little extra discretionary cash would give people a reason to live and plan for the future. There are references to higher levels of crime and violence in low or no income neighborhoods. Eliminate those neighborhoods and there may be a drop in crime and violence.

Factory Orders Not Off to a Good Start as April Down By -0.4%

The Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders report shows factory new orders declined by -0.4% for April.  That's not a good start for the second quarter although March new factory orders was a blow out of 2.2%.  Durable goods new orders doubled down on it's previously published decline and dropped by -1.0%.

Nothing Contracts For May's Manufacturing Survey

The May ISM Manufacturing Survey shows nothing in manufacturing is shrinking again.  The composite PMI grew to a now safe 52.8% after a 1.3 percentage point increase.  Manufacturing employment came out of contraction as did inventories.  Exports move to no change.  Prices are still decreasing but not by much anymore.  Overall the report is a relief that things are not so bad.

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