Zero Hedge

Trump Willing To Kill New Ayatollah If He Doesn't Cede To US Demands

Trump Willing To Kill New Ayatollah If He Doesn't Cede To US Demands

It remains increasingly difficult to interpret President Trump, or to take his words at face value, especially when it comes to back-and-forth with reporters on the Iran war and future aims and plans.

For example, on Monday, the president was asked at a news briefing in Florida whether Iran's new leader was a target, to which Trump replied: "The new leader, you mean the son?… I was disappointed to see their choice," before adding, "I don’t want to say whether he has (a target on his back).

When later pressed in a follow-up question, he reiterated his broader frustration and then conceded that the Iranian people are "an amazing people but the system they have only leads to failure." This slightly softened or tempered rhetoric in terms of war aims is a far cry from the "UNCONDITIONAL SURRENDER!" demand of merely a few days ago.

Already, the White House seems to have completely backed off listing "regime change" as an official objective of Operation Epic Fury, perhaps belatedly realizing the severe limitations of a purely aerial campaign. On Tuesday, Trump's special envoy Steve Witkoff is in front of cameras saying Trump is always willing to talk, even to the Iranians, however "the question is whether or not it is worth it."

AFP via Getty Images/People

As for the potential for another regime 'decapitation strike' - it's ironic (and a tad confusing) that on the very day Trump refrained from saying he would take out the new Ayatollah, The Wall Street Journal issued a headline and quotes suggesting the opposite: Trump Open to Khamenei Being Killed if He Doesn’t Cede to U.S. Demands. It said:

President Trump has told aides he would back the killing of new Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei if he proves unwilling to cede to U.S. demands, such as ending Iran’s nuclear development, current and former U.S. officials said.

The White House declined to comment, but Trump on Monday told the New York Post he was “not happy” that Khamenei was selected to lead Iran after previously calling him “unacceptable.” Trump last week on social media said he wanted a say in picking a “great and acceptable” ruler for Iran following its “unconditional surrender.”

“I’m not going through this to end up with another Khamenei,” Trump told Time magazine last week.

But the same report reveals a consensus among Israeli officials that Israel would like precisely to go ahead and take out the younger Khamenei too - and perhaps even any replacement after that.

"The younger Khamenei is viewed in Washington as a hard-line successor to his father who was hand-picked by Iran’s powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the current and former U.S. officials said," WSJ said. "The officials said they don't expect Khamenei is likely to give up Iran’s quest for nuclear weapons or negotiate an end to the conflict on terms favorable to the U.S."

This obviously sets up for an escalation trap dilemma: pursue full regime change which would likely require boots on the ground to dismantle and secure Iran's nuclear program (while risking 'endless' quagmire)?

Or keep the regime/system in place, which avoids a ground quagmire, but then risks a future nuclear-armed Islamic Republic. The more days and weeks which pass in the conflict, the more acute this dilemma will become.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 22:30

Why Fusion Energy Needs To Be American Born - Now More Than Ever

Why Fusion Energy Needs To Be American Born - Now More Than Ever

Authored by Lawrence Kadish via the Gatestone Institute,

The Strait of Hormuz is closed to shipping. Qatar's energy minister -- who, not surprisingly, appears to be lobbying on the side of Iran -- is warning that the conflict to prevent it from gaining nuclear weapons could "bring down the economies of the world" and that Gulf nations might shut down their production of oil and gas. Meanwhile, intelligence sources say that Russia, perhaps trying to lure the US into a larger war, is providing Iran with the means to target American military forces in the region. Kudos to President Trump for refusing to take the bait.

Pictured: President Donald Trump holds up an executive order on the rapid development, deployment and use of advanced nuclear technologies, on May 23, 2025, in the White House. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

If ever there was a case to be made for America's pursuit of unlimited energy through fusion power, it is this war and its global implications.

China is investing literally billions of dollars to master this technology. Fortunately, the Trump administration recognizes the enormous threat of being an "also ran" and appears committed to pursuing a breakthrough in this sector.

Additional progress came this past week as the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) published a draft rule regarding guidelines to handle the byproducts of fusion. It is the type of roadmap the American nuclear industry needs as they continue to put resources, time, and talent into unlocking this pollution-free energy source.

The enormous potential of nuclear fusion has the president's attention, and he is placing his Trump Media & Technology Group solidly into the fusion business with the announcement of a $6 billion merger with TAE Technologies, an energy research firm. Not surprisingly, that company counts Google among its major investors and partners: clearly, this corporate powerhouse appreciates the technology's importance.

The NRC has been a key player in this field. Last year it voted to place nuclear fusion devices under a less stringent framework than the more commonly used nuclear fission reactors, because fusion, unlike fission, does not create radioactive nuclear waste. If approvals and research continue on track, fusion researchers believe they can be generating commercial electric power for our nation within the next decade.

Lawrence Kadish serves on the Board of Governors of Gatestone Institute.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 22:05

Why Fusion Energy Needs To Be American Born - Now More Than Ever

Why Fusion Energy Needs To Be American Born - Now More Than Ever

Authored by Lawrence Kadish via the Gatestone Institute,

The Strait of Hormuz is closed to shipping. Qatar's energy minister -- who, not surprisingly, appears to be lobbying on the side of Iran -- is warning that the conflict to prevent it from gaining nuclear weapons could "bring down the economies of the world" and that Gulf nations might shut down their production of oil and gas. Meanwhile, intelligence sources say that Russia, perhaps trying to lure the US into a larger war, is providing Iran with the means to target American military forces in the region. Kudos to President Trump for refusing to take the bait.

Pictured: President Donald Trump holds up an executive order on the rapid development, deployment and use of advanced nuclear technologies, on May 23, 2025, in the White House. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

If ever there was a case to be made for America's pursuit of unlimited energy through fusion power, it is this war and its global implications.

China is investing literally billions of dollars to master this technology. Fortunately, the Trump administration recognizes the enormous threat of being an "also ran" and appears committed to pursuing a breakthrough in this sector.

Additional progress came this past week as the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) published a draft rule regarding guidelines to handle the byproducts of fusion. It is the type of roadmap the American nuclear industry needs as they continue to put resources, time, and talent into unlocking this pollution-free energy source.

The enormous potential of nuclear fusion has the president's attention, and he is placing his Trump Media & Technology Group solidly into the fusion business with the announcement of a $6 billion merger with TAE Technologies, an energy research firm. Not surprisingly, that company counts Google among its major investors and partners: clearly, this corporate powerhouse appreciates the technology's importance.

The NRC has been a key player in this field. Last year it voted to place nuclear fusion devices under a less stringent framework than the more commonly used nuclear fission reactors, because fusion, unlike fission, does not create radioactive nuclear waste. If approvals and research continue on track, fusion researchers believe they can be generating commercial electric power for our nation within the next decade.

Lawrence Kadish serves on the Board of Governors of Gatestone Institute.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 22:05

South Korea Angry Over US Plan To Redeploy Critical Air Defense System To Mideast

South Korea Angry Over US Plan To Redeploy Critical Air Defense System To Mideast

We previously highlighted that Zelensky's biggest current worry is that the Iran war and ongoing major US operations there will starve Ukraine of critical arms, and especially long sought-after and expensive anti-air systems and munitions.

It's not just Ukraine expressing alarm, but now South Korea too, with President Lee Jae Myung on Tuesday loudly complaining about Washington's plans to redeploy Patriot air defense batteries from the Korean Peninsula to the Middle East in order to bolster regional defenses against Iran.

Launchers From THAAD Anti-Missile System

Lee voiced his clear opposition, but his political intervention didn't work. "The USFK may dispatch some air defense systems abroad in accordance with its own military needs. While we have expressed opposition, the reality is that we cannot fully push through our position," the Korean leader told reporters.

He did temper his remarks by saying that withdrawal of some systems "does not hinder deterrence strategy towards North Korea" - given superiority of these systems over what Pyongyang has in its arsenal.

Nearly 30,000 American troops are maintained and rotated across bases in South Korea, along with missile defense systems, for decades seeking to provide a 'check' on the nuclear-armed north.

At times the US has even docked advanced nuclear submarines at peninsula ports, which has raised the temperature higher - often with surprise North Korean missile tests.

Meanwhile, some local media indicate several Patriot missile batteries have already been moved out of Osan Air Base, potentially heading to American outposts in Saudi Arabia or the UAE, though officials in Seoul have not confirmed this.

Korean media precisely lays blame on the new US operation launched against Iran:

The United States, engaged in a war with Iran, has begun relocating part of its Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system deployed in South Korea to the Middle East, the Washington Post (WP) reported on the 9th (local time), citing two U.S. Department of Defense officials.

According to the WP, the U.S. military expended $5.6 billion (approximately 8.26 trillion Korean won) worth of ammunition in the first two days of airstrikes against Iran, rapidly depleting advanced weaponry. As advanced weapon stockpiles neared exhaustion, the U.S. military has been redeploying air defense assets from the Indo-Pacific region. Additionally, Patriot interceptor missiles are being diverted from other regions to counter Iran’s drone and ballistic missile attacks.

However, the same report highlighted that the Pentagon seeks to control the narrative: "These measures are not due to a shortage of weapons in the Middle East but are preventive steps in anticipation of the Iran crisis potentially prolonging," one US official was cited in WaPo as saying.

This after the past week has seen several reports that Iranian ballistic missiles took out a number of extremely expensive anti-air systems in the Gulf region, and even all the way over to Jordan. But the extent of damage and potential destruction of these systems, after ten days of Operation Epic Fury, remains in question and the Pentagon is likely going to keep much information classified. 

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 21:40

South Korea Angry Over US Plan To Redeploy Critical Air Defense System To Mideast

South Korea Angry Over US Plan To Redeploy Critical Air Defense System To Mideast

We previously highlighted that Zelensky's biggest current worry is that the Iran war and ongoing major US operations there will starve Ukraine of critical arms, and especially long sought-after and expensive anti-air systems and munitions.

It's not just Ukraine expressing alarm, but now South Korea too, with President Lee Jae Myung on Tuesday loudly complaining about Washington's plans to redeploy Patriot air defense batteries from the Korean Peninsula to the Middle East in order to bolster regional defenses against Iran.

Launchers From THAAD Anti-Missile System

Lee voiced his clear opposition, but his political intervention didn't work. "The USFK may dispatch some air defense systems abroad in accordance with its own military needs. While we have expressed opposition, the reality is that we cannot fully push through our position," the Korean leader told reporters.

He did temper his remarks by saying that withdrawal of some systems "does not hinder deterrence strategy towards North Korea" - given superiority of these systems over what Pyongyang has in its arsenal.

Nearly 30,000 American troops are maintained and rotated across bases in South Korea, along with missile defense systems, for decades seeking to provide a 'check' on the nuclear-armed north.

At times the US has even docked advanced nuclear submarines at peninsula ports, which has raised the temperature higher - often with surprise North Korean missile tests.

Meanwhile, some local media indicate several Patriot missile batteries have already been moved out of Osan Air Base, potentially heading to American outposts in Saudi Arabia or the UAE, though officials in Seoul have not confirmed this.

Korean media precisely lays blame on the new US operation launched against Iran:

The United States, engaged in a war with Iran, has begun relocating part of its Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system deployed in South Korea to the Middle East, the Washington Post (WP) reported on the 9th (local time), citing two U.S. Department of Defense officials.

According to the WP, the U.S. military expended $5.6 billion (approximately 8.26 trillion Korean won) worth of ammunition in the first two days of airstrikes against Iran, rapidly depleting advanced weaponry. As advanced weapon stockpiles neared exhaustion, the U.S. military has been redeploying air defense assets from the Indo-Pacific region. Additionally, Patriot interceptor missiles are being diverted from other regions to counter Iran’s drone and ballistic missile attacks.

However, the same report highlighted that the Pentagon seeks to control the narrative: "These measures are not due to a shortage of weapons in the Middle East but are preventive steps in anticipation of the Iran crisis potentially prolonging," one US official was cited in WaPo as saying.

This after the past week has seen several reports that Iranian ballistic missiles took out a number of extremely expensive anti-air systems in the Gulf region, and even all the way over to Jordan. But the extent of damage and potential destruction of these systems, after ten days of Operation Epic Fury, remains in question and the Pentagon is likely going to keep much information classified. 

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 21:40

Millennial Men Face Low Testosterone Crisis, Doctors Warn

Millennial Men Face Low Testosterone Crisis, Doctors Warn

Authored by George Citroner via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Your phone, your food, and your shower gel may be conspiring against your testosterone. At least, that’s what a growing number of urologists are telling their youngest patients.

Testosterone-deprived 'man' 'lifts' weights in his mother's basement in front of a chemical symbol (illustration: Epoch Times, Shutterstock)

Men in their 30s and 40s are arriving at urology clinics with hormone profiles that would once have been unremarkable in men twice their age. Doctors say the pattern is new, the numbers are worsening, and the causes are hiding in plain sight.

We have not seen such a decline in men in their 30s and 40s, of testosterone, sexual function, sperm quality, sperm number in generations compared to generations prior to the Millennium group,” Geo Espinosa, a board-certified naturopathic doctor and integrative urologist, presented his findings at the recent Integrative Health Symposium. “They’re suffering quietly—I’m not mincing words, this is an absolute crisis.”

A Silent Decline in Testosterone

Testosterone—the hormone responsible for libido, muscle mass, and overall vitality—is dropping at rates specialists describe as alarming. Some men in their 30s are presenting with levels typically associated with men in their 60s or 70s.

Low testosterone (hypogonadism) is detrimental for young men because it functions as a master regulator for both physical and mental health. While levels naturally decline by 1 to 2 percent per year after age 30, abnormally low levels in younger men can trigger a vicious cycle of metabolic, sexual, and psychological issues.

Recent research confirms this additional, age-independent decline in men.

A modest decline of around 1 percent per decade is considered normal with age, but researchers and clinicians say that the baseline is being dramatically undercut in younger men by a convergence of factors: poor sleep, obesity, metabolic syndrome, and daily exposure to environmental chemicals.

The problem is often invisible on standard lab work. Many affected men show total testosterone within normal ranges, masking a deficit in free testosterone—the biologically active form the body can actually use.

Espinosa urged clinicians to look beyond standard panels and assess free testosterone alongside hormone receptor health and testosterone-to-estradiol ratios.

Most of the men he sees report low libido, erectile dysfunction, and early signs of prostate issues—symptoms they are frequently told are stress-related, or normal for their age.

The Screen Problem

Espinosa pointed to technology’s role in exacerbating hormonal decline, particularly digital overstimulation and sleep deprivation.

Men in their 30s and 40s often report spending up to nine hours daily on their phones, engaging in social media, or watching pornography - habits that flood the brain with dopamine, desensitizing arousal pathways and disrupting sleep cycles.

Even one week of sleep loss can reduce testosterone in young men by 10 to 15 percent, and constant exposure to screens and late-night digital activity interferes with melatonin production, which is crucial for sleep and hormone regulation.

“Testosterone levels are higher in men who are overall more healthy,” Dr. William T. Berg, assistant professor of urology at Stony Brook Medicine and director of its Men’s Health Program, told The Epoch Times. “Sleep is important to overall health, and that ties directly into testosterone.”

Men who have sleep disorders, such as obstructive sleep apnea, which causes frequent nighttime awakenings, often show decreased testosterone levels, he noted.

Berg cautioned that switching to night mode on your phone is insufficient, since you’re still shining a bright light into your eyes.

“And then all of the social media and anxiety that comes with phones and emails and text messages, right?” Berg added. “It all feeds into our overall lifestyle these days that is contributing to declining testosterone.”

What’s in Your Plastics?

An unsettling part of the picture involves what men are absorbing without knowing it. Phthalates and parabens, which Espinosa described as “endocrine disruptors,” interfere with the body’s hormone receptors. These chemicals, found in plastics, personal care products, and even processed foods, can block testosterone production and increase estrogen activity, further impairing hormonal health.

We live, unfortunately, in a very toxic environment, and we’re only really starting to learn what that means,” Berg said. “We’ve had decades of exposure to microplastics and different plastic compounds.”

He pointed to a 2024 study that found microplastics in both canine and human testicular tissues and said that while researchers don’t fully understand their effects on the body, we have to assume they have some effects.

Beyond microplastics, he pointed to the food that we eat.

“What we call ultra-processed foods,” Berg said. “That’s not natural, I think it’s kind of obvious to everyone, the red and orange Cheetos are probably not healthy for you. Our bodies were not evolutionarily designed to ... handle these kind of chemical onslaughts.”

Rising Prostate Cancer–Related, or Part of a Larger Pattern?

Alongside falling testosterone, prostate cancer rates are climbing.

According to the American Cancer Society’s 2025 prostate cancer statistics report, prostate cancer diagnoses rose 3 percent annually starting in 2014, after declining 6.4 percent per year in the decade before—with the steepest increases seen for advanced-stage disease, which rose 6.2 percent annually.

The two trends—declining testosterone and rising cancer rates—might seem linked, but the relationship is more complicated than it appears.

The cause of prostate cancer isn’t necessarily linked to testosterone itself,” Berg said.

Men taking high doses of supplemental testosterone to treat a deficiency don’t seem to have higher rates of prostate cancer, he noted.

“But if we block testosterone levels, make it very low or close to zero, that helps control prostate cancer,” Berg added. “So if testosterone levels are lower, the rates of prostate cancer would actually go down, but that’s not the case.”

What both trends may share, he suggested, is a common upstream cause: Chronic exposure to environmental toxins, poor nutrition, and the broader deterioration of metabolic health that characterizes modern life. “We’re just increasingly exposed to more toxins, more chemicals, and poorer quality food,” he said.

What Doctors Are Recommending

Espinosa advocates for proactive screening of millennial men, including checking free testosterone, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels, and metabolic health markers. Early intervention can prevent more serious issues like prostate cancer, which he notes is seeing an increase in aggressive cases among men under 55.

He urges health care providers to consider routine PSA testing starting at age 40, especially for men with family histories. Lifestyle modifications, targeted supplements, and addressing environmental exposures are key strategies in reversing the decline.

Espinosa urged men and practitioners alike to have honest, non-judgmental dialogues about digital habits, environmental toxins, sleep, and hormonal health. He emphasized that addressing these interconnected factors holistically can restore vitality and prevent long-term health consequences.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 21:15

Millennial Men Face Low Testosterone Crisis, Doctors Warn

Millennial Men Face Low Testosterone Crisis, Doctors Warn

Authored by George Citroner via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Your phone, your food, and your shower gel may be conspiring against your testosterone. At least, that’s what a growing number of urologists are telling their youngest patients.

Testosterone-deprived 'man' 'lifts' weights in his mother's basement in front of a chemical symbol (illustration: Epoch Times, Shutterstock)

Men in their 30s and 40s are arriving at urology clinics with hormone profiles that would once have been unremarkable in men twice their age. Doctors say the pattern is new, the numbers are worsening, and the causes are hiding in plain sight.

We have not seen such a decline in men in their 30s and 40s, of testosterone, sexual function, sperm quality, sperm number in generations compared to generations prior to the Millennium group,” Geo Espinosa, a board-certified naturopathic doctor and integrative urologist, presented his findings at the recent Integrative Health Symposium. “They’re suffering quietly—I’m not mincing words, this is an absolute crisis.”

A Silent Decline in Testosterone

Testosterone—the hormone responsible for libido, muscle mass, and overall vitality—is dropping at rates specialists describe as alarming. Some men in their 30s are presenting with levels typically associated with men in their 60s or 70s.

Low testosterone (hypogonadism) is detrimental for young men because it functions as a master regulator for both physical and mental health. While levels naturally decline by 1 to 2 percent per year after age 30, abnormally low levels in younger men can trigger a vicious cycle of metabolic, sexual, and psychological issues.

Recent research confirms this additional, age-independent decline in men.

A modest decline of around 1 percent per decade is considered normal with age, but researchers and clinicians say that the baseline is being dramatically undercut in younger men by a convergence of factors: poor sleep, obesity, metabolic syndrome, and daily exposure to environmental chemicals.

The problem is often invisible on standard lab work. Many affected men show total testosterone within normal ranges, masking a deficit in free testosterone—the biologically active form the body can actually use.

Espinosa urged clinicians to look beyond standard panels and assess free testosterone alongside hormone receptor health and testosterone-to-estradiol ratios.

Most of the men he sees report low libido, erectile dysfunction, and early signs of prostate issues—symptoms they are frequently told are stress-related, or normal for their age.

The Screen Problem

Espinosa pointed to technology’s role in exacerbating hormonal decline, particularly digital overstimulation and sleep deprivation.

Men in their 30s and 40s often report spending up to nine hours daily on their phones, engaging in social media, or watching pornography - habits that flood the brain with dopamine, desensitizing arousal pathways and disrupting sleep cycles.

Even one week of sleep loss can reduce testosterone in young men by 10 to 15 percent, and constant exposure to screens and late-night digital activity interferes with melatonin production, which is crucial for sleep and hormone regulation.

“Testosterone levels are higher in men who are overall more healthy,” Dr. William T. Berg, assistant professor of urology at Stony Brook Medicine and director of its Men’s Health Program, told The Epoch Times. “Sleep is important to overall health, and that ties directly into testosterone.”

Men who have sleep disorders, such as obstructive sleep apnea, which causes frequent nighttime awakenings, often show decreased testosterone levels, he noted.

Berg cautioned that switching to night mode on your phone is insufficient, since you’re still shining a bright light into your eyes.

“And then all of the social media and anxiety that comes with phones and emails and text messages, right?” Berg added. “It all feeds into our overall lifestyle these days that is contributing to declining testosterone.”

What’s in Your Plastics?

An unsettling part of the picture involves what men are absorbing without knowing it. Phthalates and parabens, which Espinosa described as “endocrine disruptors,” interfere with the body’s hormone receptors. These chemicals, found in plastics, personal care products, and even processed foods, can block testosterone production and increase estrogen activity, further impairing hormonal health.

We live, unfortunately, in a very toxic environment, and we’re only really starting to learn what that means,” Berg said. “We’ve had decades of exposure to microplastics and different plastic compounds.”

He pointed to a 2024 study that found microplastics in both canine and human testicular tissues and said that while researchers don’t fully understand their effects on the body, we have to assume they have some effects.

Beyond microplastics, he pointed to the food that we eat.

“What we call ultra-processed foods,” Berg said. “That’s not natural, I think it’s kind of obvious to everyone, the red and orange Cheetos are probably not healthy for you. Our bodies were not evolutionarily designed to ... handle these kind of chemical onslaughts.”

Rising Prostate Cancer–Related, or Part of a Larger Pattern?

Alongside falling testosterone, prostate cancer rates are climbing.

According to the American Cancer Society’s 2025 prostate cancer statistics report, prostate cancer diagnoses rose 3 percent annually starting in 2014, after declining 6.4 percent per year in the decade before—with the steepest increases seen for advanced-stage disease, which rose 6.2 percent annually.

The two trends—declining testosterone and rising cancer rates—might seem linked, but the relationship is more complicated than it appears.

The cause of prostate cancer isn’t necessarily linked to testosterone itself,” Berg said.

Men taking high doses of supplemental testosterone to treat a deficiency don’t seem to have higher rates of prostate cancer, he noted.

“But if we block testosterone levels, make it very low or close to zero, that helps control prostate cancer,” Berg added. “So if testosterone levels are lower, the rates of prostate cancer would actually go down, but that’s not the case.”

What both trends may share, he suggested, is a common upstream cause: Chronic exposure to environmental toxins, poor nutrition, and the broader deterioration of metabolic health that characterizes modern life. “We’re just increasingly exposed to more toxins, more chemicals, and poorer quality food,” he said.

What Doctors Are Recommending

Espinosa advocates for proactive screening of millennial men, including checking free testosterone, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels, and metabolic health markers. Early intervention can prevent more serious issues like prostate cancer, which he notes is seeing an increase in aggressive cases among men under 55.

He urges health care providers to consider routine PSA testing starting at age 40, especially for men with family histories. Lifestyle modifications, targeted supplements, and addressing environmental exposures are key strategies in reversing the decline.

Espinosa urged men and practitioners alike to have honest, non-judgmental dialogues about digital habits, environmental toxins, sleep, and hormonal health. He emphasized that addressing these interconnected factors holistically can restore vitality and prevent long-term health consequences.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 21:15

As SAVE Act Vote Looms, FBI Expands 2020 Election Probe To Arizona

As SAVE Act Vote Looms, FBI Expands 2020 Election Probe To Arizona

The federal government's post-2020 election reckoning has arrived in Arizona. Warren Petersen, the Arizona Senate President, confirmed Monday that federal investigators came knocking — and he answered. 

"Late last week I received and complied with a federal grand jury subpoena for records relating to the Arizona State Senate's 2020 audit of Maricopa County," Petersen wrote on X. "The FBI has the records. Any other report is fake news." 

The records in question trace back to the infamous Cyber Ninjas audit, the Republican-commissioned hand-count of Maricopa County ballots that election experts widely dismissed as partisan theater. Many mainstream media outlets reported that the audit vindicated Joe Biden, when in fact, the audit found that there were “sufficient discrepancies among the different systems that, in conjunction with some of our findings, suggest that the delta between the Presidential candidates is very close to the potential margin of error for the election.” There were 57,734 impacted ballot—which was larger than Biden’s margin of victory in the state, which was just under 10,500.

The Arizona subpoena marks the second known federal probe into 2020 election administration, following the FBI's January raid on a Fulton County, Georgia, election hub, where agents carted off truckloads of voting documentation. 

Multiple U.S. officials told Fox News that the DOJ examined Arizona election data spanning both 2020 and 2024. The White House redirected press inquiries to the FBI, which declined to comment.

While President Donald Trump expressed enthusiasm for the news in a post on Truth Social, Democrats are less than thrilled.

Arizona Attorney General Kris Mayes, a Democrat, disputed the investigation's legitimacy.

"What the Trump administration appears to be pursuing now is not a legitimate law enforcement inquiry," she claimed.

"It is the weaponization of federal law enforcement in service of crackpots and lies." 

The Arizona development lands amid escalating tension over election security heading into the 2026 midterms. 

On Sunday, Trump issued a blunt legislative ultimatum, declaring on Truth Social that he would refuse to sign any bill until the Senate passed the SAVE America Act. "It must be done immediately. It supersedes everything else. MUST GO TO THE FRONT OF THE LINE," Trump posted. The legislation would require physical proof of citizenship for federal voter registration, a photo ID to vote, and would restrict mail-in voting to military personnel and a narrow set of extenuating circumstances.

Democrats in Washington, DC, have blasted the legislation as voter suppression, but a Harvard/Harris poll found that 71% of Americans support the bill, including 69% of independents, and 50% of Democrats. 

Poll after poll shows overwhelming support for voter ID laws across the political spectrum. According to the Pew Research Center, 83% of Americans support voter ID requirements, including large majorities of Democrats, independents, whites, blacks, and Latinos. Gallup reports similar findings, with 84% backing voter ID—98% of Republicans, 84% of independents, and even 67% of Democrats. The same survey found that 83% support requiring proof of citizenship to register to vote. Rasmussen Reports puts support at 75%, noting that backing for voter ID has steadily increased over the past decade.

While support for the SAVE Act is bipartisan, Democrats in Congress are rabidly opposed to it. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer has repeatedly called the SAVE Act “Jim Crow 2.0,” and made unsubstantiated claims that it would “disenfranchise tens of millions of people.”

Schumer also said, "If Trump is saying he won't sign any bills until the SAVE Act is passed, then so be it: there will be total gridlock in the Senate. Senate Democrats will not help pass the SAVE Act under any circumstances." 

Unfortunately, the SAVE Act requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune has been cool to the idea of nuking the procedural rules to enforce a talking filibuster. 

“This particular approach in terms of the process is much more complicated and risky than people are assuming at the moment,” Thune told reporters on Monday. He also warned that trying to implement a talking filibuster without pushing through a formal rules change — which there aren’t enough votes for — could tie up the Senate floor for months.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 20:50

As SAVE Act Vote Looms, FBI Expands 2020 Election Probe To Arizona

As SAVE Act Vote Looms, FBI Expands 2020 Election Probe To Arizona

The federal government's post-2020 election reckoning has arrived in Arizona. Warren Petersen, the Arizona Senate President, confirmed Monday that federal investigators came knocking — and he answered. 

"Late last week I received and complied with a federal grand jury subpoena for records relating to the Arizona State Senate's 2020 audit of Maricopa County," Petersen wrote on X. "The FBI has the records. Any other report is fake news." 

The records in question trace back to the infamous Cyber Ninjas audit, the Republican-commissioned hand-count of Maricopa County ballots that election experts widely dismissed as partisan theater. Many mainstream media outlets reported that the audit vindicated Joe Biden, when in fact, the audit found that there were “sufficient discrepancies among the different systems that, in conjunction with some of our findings, suggest that the delta between the Presidential candidates is very close to the potential margin of error for the election.” There were 57,734 impacted ballot—which was larger than Biden’s margin of victory in the state, which was just under 10,500.

The Arizona subpoena marks the second known federal probe into 2020 election administration, following the FBI's January raid on a Fulton County, Georgia, election hub, where agents carted off truckloads of voting documentation. 

Multiple U.S. officials told Fox News that the DOJ examined Arizona election data spanning both 2020 and 2024. The White House redirected press inquiries to the FBI, which declined to comment.

While President Donald Trump expressed enthusiasm for the news in a post on Truth Social, Democrats are less than thrilled.

Arizona Attorney General Kris Mayes, a Democrat, disputed the investigation's legitimacy.

"What the Trump administration appears to be pursuing now is not a legitimate law enforcement inquiry," she claimed.

"It is the weaponization of federal law enforcement in service of crackpots and lies." 

The Arizona development lands amid escalating tension over election security heading into the 2026 midterms. 

On Sunday, Trump issued a blunt legislative ultimatum, declaring on Truth Social that he would refuse to sign any bill until the Senate passed the SAVE America Act. "It must be done immediately. It supersedes everything else. MUST GO TO THE FRONT OF THE LINE," Trump posted. The legislation would require physical proof of citizenship for federal voter registration, a photo ID to vote, and would restrict mail-in voting to military personnel and a narrow set of extenuating circumstances.

Democrats in Washington, DC, have blasted the legislation as voter suppression, but a Harvard/Harris poll found that 71% of Americans support the bill, including 69% of independents, and 50% of Democrats. 

Poll after poll shows overwhelming support for voter ID laws across the political spectrum. According to the Pew Research Center, 83% of Americans support voter ID requirements, including large majorities of Democrats, independents, whites, blacks, and Latinos. Gallup reports similar findings, with 84% backing voter ID—98% of Republicans, 84% of independents, and even 67% of Democrats. The same survey found that 83% support requiring proof of citizenship to register to vote. Rasmussen Reports puts support at 75%, noting that backing for voter ID has steadily increased over the past decade.

While support for the SAVE Act is bipartisan, Democrats in Congress are rabidly opposed to it. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer has repeatedly called the SAVE Act “Jim Crow 2.0,” and made unsubstantiated claims that it would “disenfranchise tens of millions of people.”

Schumer also said, "If Trump is saying he won't sign any bills until the SAVE Act is passed, then so be it: there will be total gridlock in the Senate. Senate Democrats will not help pass the SAVE Act under any circumstances." 

Unfortunately, the SAVE Act requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster, and Senate Majority Leader John Thune has been cool to the idea of nuking the procedural rules to enforce a talking filibuster. 

“This particular approach in terms of the process is much more complicated and risky than people are assuming at the moment,” Thune told reporters on Monday. He also warned that trying to implement a talking filibuster without pushing through a formal rules change — which there aren’t enough votes for — could tie up the Senate floor for months.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 20:50

Japan's Strategic Awakening

Japan's Strategic Awakening

Authored by Lamont Colucci via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Japan’s strategic awakening is no longer theoretical—it’s unfolding in real time.

In recent weeks, Tokyo confirmed plans to deploy advanced surface-to-air missile systems on Yonaguni Island, Japan’s westernmost inhabited territory and only about 70 miles from Taiwan. The deployment is part of a broader effort to strengthen defenses along Japan’s southwestern island chain, territory that sits directly along the fault line of the emerging Indo-Pacific balance of power.

Yonaguni Island, Japan’s westernmost inhabited island, about 111 kilometers from Taiwan, is pictured in Yonaguni, Japan, on April 13, 2022. Japan’s southwestern islands lie close to Taiwan, and any conflict there could threaten Japan’s sea lanes, airspace, and U.S. bases on its territory. Carl Court/Getty Images

Yet Japan’s security transformation did not begin with this deployment. The origins of today’s strategic shift reach back more than a century and a half. History is a window into the future.

In 1854, American warships under Commodore Matthew Perry, including his flagship, the USS Susquehanna, forced Japan to open its isolationist system, initiating one of the most consequential geopolitical encounters in modern history. That moment did more than open Japanese ports—it permanently altered Japan’s trajectory and forged one of the most important strategic relationships in the modern world.

As Japan expands its military capabilities and reassesses the constraints of its postwar security posture, it is not abandoning its past. It is responding to the strategic realities of a changing Indo-Pacific.

To understand Japan’s transformation today, one must understand the long arc of the U.S.–Japan relationship. This is an arc that is as unique as it is full of contradictions.

Following Perry’s arrival, the country embarked on a remarkable period of modernization. Determined to avoid subjugation by Western powers, it rapidly studied foreign military systems, industrialized its economy, and constructed a state built for survival in a competitive international system. It also created a darker side of militarism and imperialism.

By the early 20th century, the island nation had emerged as a major power. That trajectory ultimately culminated in catastrophic conflict with the United States during World War II.

Defeat in 1945 marked a profound strategic reset. The imperial era ended, and a new security structure emerged under American leadership. Japan renounced war in its constitution, while the United States guaranteed its security.

The arrangement produced extraordinary results. Japan became one of the largest economies in the world, democratic institutions endured, and the U.S.–Japan alliance became the cornerstone of stability in East Asia. Japan became America’s unsinkable carrier.

The postwar settlement rested on two assumptions: that American dominance in the Pacific would remain uncontested and that regional threats would remain manageable. Those assumptions are now eroding.

China is rapidly transforming itself into a formidable military power across maritime, missile, cyber, and space domains. Beijing continues to increase defense spending as part of a long-term effort to modernize the People’s Liberation Army and expand its regional reach.

North Korea possesses operational nuclear weapons and long-range missile capabilities, while Russia continues to modernize its Pacific military posture.

Japan now sits between three nuclear-armed states. All of them pose an existential threat to both Japan and the American order.

For decades, Tokyo relied heavily on the American nuclear umbrella and maintained limited conventional forces. That arrangement allowed the country to concentrate on economic growth while American power anchored the regional order.

That strategic environment is being tested.

Extended deterrence alone cannot sustain stability without deeper integration, stronger conventional capabilities, and greater operational coordination between the United States and its allies. Japan is not seeking nuclear weapons. Instead, it is strengthening deterrence through missile defense, counterstrike capabilities, alliance consultation, and integrated military planning.

In a more dangerous strategic environment, credibility requires capability. These are the twin pillars of real deterrence.

The geography of Japan’s southwestern islands makes this reality clear. Tokyo has begun strengthening military infrastructure on these islands, deploying advanced missile defenses, and expanding surveillance capabilities. These islands form a natural barrier along China’s access routes into the Pacific.

Geography places Japan directly astride the strategic gateway between the East China Sea and the broader Pacific Ocean.

As with many major conflict scenarios in Asia, attention turns to Taiwan. Any conflict involving Taiwan would immediately implicate Japanese territory and American bases located there. Chinese military planners understand this well. Operations against Taiwan would almost certainly involve strikes against bases in Okinawa and surrounding areas.

For Tokyo, Taiwan is not peripheral. It is central to Japan’s security.

Japan’s evolving defense posture reflects several reinforcing priorities: strengthening the defense of its southwestern islands, dispersing military infrastructure, enhancing maritime and air denial capabilities, and deepening joint operational planning with the United States.

This is not militarism. It is the tyranny of geography.

The immediate danger, however, lies in North Korea.

Pyongyang possesses nuclear warheads, mobile launch systems, and increasingly sophisticated missile technology. North Korean missile tests routinely pass over Japanese territory, reinforcing the urgency of Japan’s missile defense and civil preparedness efforts.

Deterrence in Northeast Asia must be layered, because the threats themselves are layered.

Japan’s strategic transformation did not occur overnight. Former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe played a decisive role in laying the institutional foundation for Japan’s modern security posture. Abe established Japan’s National Security Council, expanded the legal basis for collective self-defense, and strengthened strategic coordination with the United States and regional partners.

Today’s leadership is building upon that foundation. Japan is increasing defense spending to levels comparable to those of other major democracies while strengthening economic security policies and reinforcing supply chains for critical technologies. Prime Minister Takaichi has advocated revising Article 9 from an exclusive focus on self-defense to “proactive defense.”

Japan is moving from debating strategy to executing it.

External pressure—gaiatsu—once again facilitates domestic reform. The Meiji Restoration followed the shock of Western intrusion. The Cold War alliance emerged from the strategic realities of postwar reconstruction. Today, the rise of China and the instability of the regional security environment are again accelerating internal change.

For American policymakers, Japan’s transformation carries enormous strategic significance.

Future contingencies in the Indo-Pacific will depend heavily on Japanese infrastructure, logistics, and political resolve. Without Japan, American power projection in the Western Pacific becomes extremely difficult. With Japan, deterrence remains credible.

Japan’s awakening, therefore, strengthens the balance of power across the Indo-Pacific.

From Perry’s black ships to the Cold War alliance and the strategic competition of the 21st century, Japan’s evolution has unfolded in continuous interaction with American power.

The alliance is now entering a new phase. We cannot only focus on the hard realities of geopolitics, but also on the moral dimension: that rising democratic Japan, combined with democratic Taiwan and South Korea, serves not only American values but also human rights and freedom. This is a bulwark against the tyranny in China, North Korea, and Russia.

Japan is no longer simply shielded by the United States. It is preparing to help sustain the regional order alongside it.

The future stability of the Indo-Pacific will not be determined in Washington or Beijing alone. It will depend on the strength and resilience of the U.S.–Japan partnership—first forged in 1854, reshaped in 1945, and now entering one of the most consequential periods in its history.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 20:25

Judicial Sabotage? Obama Judge Blocks Trump Efficiency Reforms For Deportation Appeals

Judicial Sabotage? Obama Judge Blocks Trump Efficiency Reforms For Deportation Appeals

A federal judge slammed the brakes on one of the Trump administration's most aggressive moves yet to make the immigration appeals process more efficient, and he did it the night before the rule was set to go live.

U.S. District Judge Randolph Moss, an Obama appointee in Washington, D.C., issued his ruling late Sunday, March 8, 2026, vacating the core provisions of an interim final rule from the Justice Department's Executive Office for Immigration Review (EOIR). The rule, scheduled to take effect the following morning, would have fundamentally restructured how the Board of Immigration Appeals (BIA) handles cases.

EOIR slashed the time to file a notice of appeal of an immigration judge's decision from 30 days to 10. Any issue not raised in that notice was automatically treated as waived. And unless the BIA voted within 10 days to refer a case to the full board, the appeal faced summary dismissal — end of the road, no hearing. For most appellants, that's exactly what would have happened. 

And it was a critical reform. The BIA's backlog has ballooned from 37,285 pending appeals at the end of fiscal year 2015 to 202,946 by the end of fiscal year 2025. EOIR said the rule would streamline appellate review and cut through the bureaucratic paralysis that's made the immigration court system a joke. The Trump administration framed the changes as essential to its deportation mandate. 

But Judge Moss couldn’t stomach efficiency when it threatened the open-borders crowd’s playbook. He vacated the heart of the rule, claiming EOIR violated the Administrative Procedure Act by skipping public comment. Moss lectured that “Issues that are so fundamental to the rights of tens of thousands of individuals (and that will guide how organizations and lawyers present their claims to the BIA) ought to be considered and addressed before - rather than after - a rule takes effect.” 

Of course, that argument doesn’t exactly hold up, as agencies issue interim final rules all the time in urgent situations - like when a backlog this massive mocks the rule of law.

Moss painted the rule as a death sentence for appeals: an appellant “will almost certainly lose his case before the BIA before it even begins; in the vast majority of cases, the case will be disposed of by summary dismissal.” 

 Five left-wing nonprofits - Amica Center for Immigrant Rights, American Immigration Council, National Immigrant Justice Center, and two others - were responsible for the lawsuit to protect the right of illegals to back up the system.

 Emilie Raber from the Amica Center for Immigrant Rights crowed, “At a time when the due process rights of immigrants are under attack, this ruling prevents the BIA from reaching the point of near self-destruction.” 

This reeks of judicial activism from a lifetime appointee who answers to no one except the far left. Moss brushed aside the very crisis his ideological allies helped create. The backlog did not appear overnight. Joe Biden’s open-borders agenda fueled it for years. Voters made it clear when they elected Donald Trump that enough was enough. They wanted a course correction. They voted for border security and enforcement. They rejected bureaucratic paralysis and endless delay. Decisions like this ignore that mandate and push the country further from the accountability voters demanded.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 20:00

Transparency: Suing Schools That Hide Trans Kids' Identities From Parents

Transparency: Suing Schools That Hide Trans Kids' Identities From Parents

Authored by John Murawski via RealClearInvestigations,

A few weeks before Christmas in 2022, Amber Lavigne was cleaning her 13-year-old’s bedroom when she stumbled upon her daughter’s secret: a chest binder. She learned that Autumn had been wearing the garment, which girls use to flatten their breasts to achieve a masculine appearance, for about two months at school in Maine, where she had adopted a boy’s name, Leo, and was using he/him pronouns.

It was the first of two chest binders Lavigne found that had been provided to her eighth-grade daughter by a social worker at the Great Salt Bay Community School, according to a federal lawsuit Lavigne filed in 2023, which is now pending before the U.S. Supreme Court. Her lawsuit alleges that the public school not only aided and abetted Autumn’s gender transition but also hid the information from her parents.

“I think it’s important for parents to know that this is occurring in our public schools because I don’t think many parents believe that it’s as bad as it really is,” Lavigne said on a recent podcast. “When I was a kid, one of the first things I heard about adults is if any adult asks you as a child to keep a secret, there’s something wrong with that adult, and you need to come tell me immediately.”

“And now, I mean, it’s like we’re in upside-down land.”

The Maine lawsuit and others like it raise one of the most contentious issues in the broader conflict over transgender policies: whether a parent’s constitutional right to direct their children’s education and medical care extends to a circumstance that society has never grappled with until the past decade or so – a youth’s rejection of their biological sex, adoption of a new name and matching pronouns, and assertion of a new gender identity. And to what extent children who are transitioning or exploring gender options have the right to confidentiality if they worry about rejection and hostility at home.

Growing Backlash

Some 40 such legal actions have been filed in recent years challenging policies that require public school officials to conceal transgender and nonbinary names and pronoun changes from parents at the student’s request. It’s part of a broader backlash that has forced hospitals to discontinue medicalized “gender affirming care” for minors, and spawned more than two dozen medical malpractice suits by “detransitioners” who underwent irreversible sex-change procedures. A jury recently awarded $2 million to 22-year-old Fox Varian, who was given a double mastectomy at age 16.

Queer advocates and their allies say the conservative focus on transgender people – and Donald Trump’s leveraging of the issue in the 2024 presidential campaign – is way out of proportion to the small numbers of trans people in society. Advocates also argue that teens have the right in a free society to express their gender identity without being “outed,” and that affirming their identities reduces rates of depression and suicide.

Critics counter that the cultural impact of such policies extends beyond the small universe of people who identify as trans. Over the past 15 years, advocates have argued that sex is not a biological fact but a socially constructed category; that there are not two but a limitless number of genders; that trans and nonbinary identities are normal and healthy, and that the refusal to acknowledge such genders or use people’s preferred pronouns is discriminatory and abusive. This cultural shift has been advanced by a host of government, corporate, academic, library and K-12 school policies.

Separate Records

The number of K-12 students directly affected by school trans policies over the past decade is unknown, but the total could potentially be several thousand. According to parental-rights lawsuits filed through 2024, about 6,000 public schools in more than 1,200 districts authorized the concealing of student gender transitions from parents. The policies, which can allow a student to access opposite sex bathrooms and sports activities, instruct school officials to send communications home with a student’s birth name, or “deadname,” while keeping a separate set of records at school.

In January, the U.S. Department of Education, citing news coverage, said at least 300 students in California were put on “Gender Support Plans” during the 2023-2024 school year, many without parental consent or knowledge. And a 2023 Supreme Court petition said a Montgomery County Board of Education spokesman in Maryland stated that there were more than 300 secret transitions the previous year in that county alone.

The issue is especially fraught because research cited in the parents’ lawsuits indicates that up to 90% of children will not persist in feelings of gender incongruence if left alone. But once young people commit to a social transition with a new name and pronouns, a majority will lock into a gender incongruent identity and continue transitioning.

Some parents and jurists are also concerned about the appropriateness of the information schools are providing students. In an Ohio case dismissed on procedural grounds, a federal appellate judge appointed by President Trump wrote that the parents’ allegations about their secretly transitioning ninth-grader who attempted suicide were “beyond troubling.”

The judge noted: “The parents also learned that teachers wore badges with QR codes that students – who are young children – could scan to access pornographic content and obscene material instructing children about sexual acts.”

Some school officials see themselves as protectors of students against what they detect as bigotry from parents and society. According to a Massachusetts lawsuit, which is pending at the Supreme Court, parents learned from a teacher that their sixth-grader was secretly affirmed as “genderqueer” at school and received transgender resources from the school’s “nonbinary librarian”; the teacher was promptly fired for notifying the parents, and the district superintendent said at a public meeting that claims of “parental rights” to know about student gender identities are thinly veiled camouflages for intolerance against LGBTQ students.

The school district in Massachusetts says that parents are asserting rights that simply don’t exist.

“There is no case cited by [parents] that stands for the proposition that a parent is entitled to notice of their child’s gender so that they can control it (or attempt to do so),” Ludlow Public Schools told a federal appeals court in 2023. “While the age of a child may have some bearing on the relevant analysis, no court has established a rule that establishes a parent’s asserted right trumps the rights of an eleven-year-old or twelve-year-old who asserts their gender identity.”

Lavigne’s lawsuit is one of seven such parental rights cases seeking review at the Supreme Court. While the high court has so far rejected three petitions, lawyers who represent the parents say it’s only a matter of time until the justices agree to hear a case on K-12 gender transition policies.

Wide-Ranging Lawsuits

The Supreme Court has heard four transgender-related lawsuits in the past two-and-a-half years. The court has sided with conservative states challenging medicalized sex-change treatments for minors. Last year, the justices sided with religious parents objecting to queer-themed books in K-12 schools. Another major case, argued in January, is whether women’s sports should be accessible to natal males who identify as trans women. A number of other trans policies are working their way through the lower courts – such as challenges to government-imposed misgendering/deadnaming bans, and challenges to adoption agencies that disqualify parents who believe there are only two genders. In a parental rights case out of Wisconsin that the Supreme Court declined to hear on procedural grounds, a group of Wisconsin parents challenged secret gender transitions and alleged that an activist teacher had posted a flyer in her classroom, proclaiming: “If your parents aren’t accepting of your identity, I’m your mom now.”

In an accompanying opinion, conservative Justice Samuel Alito argued that schools’ “Gender Support Plans” for trans kids raise serious constitutional concerns.

“This case presents a question of great and growing national importance: whether a public school district violates parents’ ‘fundamental constitutional right to make decisions concerning the rearing of’ their children, when, without parental knowledge or consent, it encourages a student to transition to a new gender or assists in that process,” Alito wrote.

Alito noted: “As school personnel were told in an equity training session: ‘parents are not entitled to know their kids’ identities. That knowledge must be earned.’”

According to court filings and public records, school officials go to great lengths to hide what they’re doing. In a New Jersey case, school officials agreed to call a 14-year-old girl by a boy’s name and use male pronouns in school, but were instructed to announce the student’s birth name over the intercom system to conceal the gender transition from a sibling at the same school. In a 2023 article, The New York Times described a delicate situation in which a middle-schooler had secretly changed names and pronouns without the mother’s knowledge, even though the mom worked as a teacher at the same school. In some cases, the concealment continues for several years, until the student graduates from high school.

Courts that have taken the side of the schools have said that the privacy rights of trans kids outweigh parental rights, that schools have a legal duty to protect gender-nonconforming kids from discrimination, that lack of parental acceptance could create an unsafe home environment, and that respecting a student’s preferred name and pronouns is just basic courtesy.

In the Massachusetts case, a panel of three judges at the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit, appointed by Presidents Obama and Biden, dismissed the parents’ claims, ruling that a school secretly supporting an 11-year-old who is “genderqueer” does not rise to the level of shocking the conscience, and in fact is quite mundane: “Providing educational resources about LGBTQ-related issues to a child who has shown interest imposes no more compulsion to identify as genderqueer than providing a book about brick laying could coerce a student into becoming a mason.”

In Lavigne’s case in Maine, her lawsuit was dismissed by a federal trial court in 2024 and again by a federal appeals court in 2025 for failing to establish that the school system had a permanent or well-settled policy of hiding gender transitions from parents.

Ugly Disputes

Lavigne’s case shows how ugly these disputes can get at the local level.

After she found the chest binder, Lavigne filed a complaint to a licensing board against two school social workers whom she believes were secretly supporting Autumn’s gender transition to “Leo.” Several days later, an agent from the Maine Office of Child and Family Services appeared at Lavigne’s door in response to an anonymous complaint alleging that Lavigne was emotionally abusive towards her daughter.

The agent spent several hours interviewing Lavigne and her family members, Lavigne said, but after a month, the case was closed without finding evidence of neglect or abuse. Lavigne now speaks publicly on the issue at local school board meetings and parents’ rights events.

You’re very impressionable when you’re 12, 13 years old,” Lavigne said in a phone interview. “Someone is telling you that the root of your distress is ABC, and you’ll do anything to relieve that distress.”

Meanwhile, as the story spread, the school was subject to bomb threats and threats against school staff by those who opposed its transgender policies. School officials said the commotion was caused by “a grossly inaccurate and one-sided story,” forcing the school to shut down on three days.

Some of the parents’ lawsuits have backing from Erica Anderson, a clinical psychologist and a former board member of the World Professional Association for Transgender Health (WPATH). Anderson, who is transgender, has gained notoriety since breaking ranks with the trans establishment and accusing its leaders of recklessness and overcorrection for being too quick to affirm trans identities and prescribe hormonal interventions and irreversible surgeries to kids who may be struggling with autism, homosexuality, trauma, or other problems, and would have otherwise outgrown their nonbinary or trans phase.

School is now like Las Vegas: ‘What happens at school stays at school,’” Anderson wrote in court filings. “It should go without saying, but parents cannot obtain a professional evaluation, screen for dysphoria and other coexisting issues, or provide professional mental health support for their children, if their school hides from them what is happening at school.”

The tide of clandestine transitions appears to be turning. Florida’s Parental Rights in Education Act, passed in 2022 and decried by queer advocates as the “Don’t Say Gay” law, forbids public schools from hiding gender transitions from parents. At least 12 other states have recently enacted statutes that address parental notice or consent regarding students’ gender identity, according to court filings. Last year, the U.S. Department of Education alerted public schools that it “will no longer passively accept school officials’ hostility to parental involvement” on matters of “gender ideology.”

The Trump administration currently has open investigations of the Maine Department of Education, Washington State Superintendent’s Office, four Kansas school districts, and Fairfax County Public Schools for similar practices. Trump has featured mothers whose kids were secretly transitioned at his last two State of the Union speeches to Congress.

California Doubles Down

California has been moving in the opposite direction. Last year the state enacted the Safety Act, or AB 1955, that prohibits teachers from notifying parents about student gender identities. The California Department of Education and state Attorney General Robert Bonta are taking enforcement actions against school districts that refuse to comply with the state ban, and instead tell parents if their kids are adopting new gender identities.

In federal court filings, Bonta says that LGBTQ students live in continuous fear of being outed, exposed to harassment, and potentially driven to suicide.

To illustrate his point, Bonta quoted a transgender student who spoke in favor of California policy at a public hearing: “If a student is outed to their family without their consent, this could possibly result in abuse, hate crimes, getting kicked out of their homes, [and] in extreme cases, being murdered.”

When debating the bill, the California Legislature was presented with statistics that 57% of LGBTQ youth reported parental rejection, ranging from mocking to physical abuse and being kicked out of the home.

The U.S. Department of Education responded by launching an investigation of California’s K-12 practices, and this year the feds said that California’s public school personnel have gone “to great lengths” to conceal children’s gender transitions, such as petitioning the software company used in many California schools to create features that hide student name changes and pronouns from parents.

Several parents and teachers have filed a class action lawsuit to block California’s school policies, winning in the lower court, but losing on appeal. On Monday this week, the Supreme Court sided with the parents, blocking California’s school policy. The high court said in its 6-3 ruling that the parents are likely to prevail and therefore entitled to the trial court’s December judgment in their favor, enjoining California’s policy while the state tries to overturn that judgment on appeal.

One set of parents learned of their child’s transition at school only after the child attempted suicide,” Justices Amy Coney Barrett, Brett Kavanaugh and Chief Justice John Roberts wrote in a concurrence. “Strikingly, even after this tragic event, school administrators continued to withhold information about the student’s gender identification.”

At the trial court, U.S. District Judge Robert Benitez, who was appointed to the bench in 2002 by George W. Bush, decried a “trifecta of harm” against children, parents and teachers, in a scathing critique of the state’s policies in December:

The difficult and long lasting issues of gender nonconformity leave parents to suffer adverse consequences over a lifetime,” Judge Benitez wrote.

The harm in question is described in the class action lawsuit, in which one set of parents allege that their junior-high daughter was being treated as a male for nearly a year, and then attempted suicide. They didn’t know that their child was presenting as a boy in school until they learned it from a doctor at Fremont Hospital, where the student was admitted in the inpatient psychiatric program for adolescents after her suicide attempt.

The parents and teachers are represented by attorney Paul Jonna, who said in a phone interview that one problem with the trans advocacy position is that school officials assume that anything short of automatic affirmation means that parents are motivated by transphobia.

“They are grossly exaggerating the harassment,” Jonna said. “Their position essentially is: If the parent is not automatically affirming, not excited about your new gender identity, then they’re harassing and abusive.”

As for Lavigne’s daughter, she never made the transition to the male gender. Autumn is now a 16-year-old 11th-grader at another school. She is back to using her birth name and female pronouns, Lavigne said.

“It was a process for her,” Lavigne said. “After many years of connectedness to her family, many years of connectedness to her body.”

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 19:35

Transparency: Suing Schools That Hide Trans Kids' Identities From Parents

Transparency: Suing Schools That Hide Trans Kids' Identities From Parents

Authored by John Murawski via RealClearInvestigations,

A few weeks before Christmas in 2022, Amber Lavigne was cleaning her 13-year-old’s bedroom when she stumbled upon her daughter’s secret: a chest binder. She learned that Autumn had been wearing the garment, which girls use to flatten their breasts to achieve a masculine appearance, for about two months at school in Maine, where she had adopted a boy’s name, Leo, and was using he/him pronouns.

It was the first of two chest binders Lavigne found that had been provided to her eighth-grade daughter by a social worker at the Great Salt Bay Community School, according to a federal lawsuit Lavigne filed in 2023, which is now pending before the U.S. Supreme Court. Her lawsuit alleges that the public school not only aided and abetted Autumn’s gender transition but also hid the information from her parents.

“I think it’s important for parents to know that this is occurring in our public schools because I don’t think many parents believe that it’s as bad as it really is,” Lavigne said on a recent podcast. “When I was a kid, one of the first things I heard about adults is if any adult asks you as a child to keep a secret, there’s something wrong with that adult, and you need to come tell me immediately.”

“And now, I mean, it’s like we’re in upside-down land.”

The Maine lawsuit and others like it raise one of the most contentious issues in the broader conflict over transgender policies: whether a parent’s constitutional right to direct their children’s education and medical care extends to a circumstance that society has never grappled with until the past decade or so – a youth’s rejection of their biological sex, adoption of a new name and matching pronouns, and assertion of a new gender identity. And to what extent children who are transitioning or exploring gender options have the right to confidentiality if they worry about rejection and hostility at home.

Growing Backlash

Some 40 such legal actions have been filed in recent years challenging policies that require public school officials to conceal transgender and nonbinary names and pronoun changes from parents at the student’s request. It’s part of a broader backlash that has forced hospitals to discontinue medicalized “gender affirming care” for minors, and spawned more than two dozen medical malpractice suits by “detransitioners” who underwent irreversible sex-change procedures. A jury recently awarded $2 million to 22-year-old Fox Varian, who was given a double mastectomy at age 16.

Queer advocates and their allies say the conservative focus on transgender people – and Donald Trump’s leveraging of the issue in the 2024 presidential campaign – is way out of proportion to the small numbers of trans people in society. Advocates also argue that teens have the right in a free society to express their gender identity without being “outed,” and that affirming their identities reduces rates of depression and suicide.

Critics counter that the cultural impact of such policies extends beyond the small universe of people who identify as trans. Over the past 15 years, advocates have argued that sex is not a biological fact but a socially constructed category; that there are not two but a limitless number of genders; that trans and nonbinary identities are normal and healthy, and that the refusal to acknowledge such genders or use people’s preferred pronouns is discriminatory and abusive. This cultural shift has been advanced by a host of government, corporate, academic, library and K-12 school policies.

Separate Records

The number of K-12 students directly affected by school trans policies over the past decade is unknown, but the total could potentially be several thousand. According to parental-rights lawsuits filed through 2024, about 6,000 public schools in more than 1,200 districts authorized the concealing of student gender transitions from parents. The policies, which can allow a student to access opposite sex bathrooms and sports activities, instruct school officials to send communications home with a student’s birth name, or “deadname,” while keeping a separate set of records at school.

In January, the U.S. Department of Education, citing news coverage, said at least 300 students in California were put on “Gender Support Plans” during the 2023-2024 school year, many without parental consent or knowledge. And a 2023 Supreme Court petition said a Montgomery County Board of Education spokesman in Maryland stated that there were more than 300 secret transitions the previous year in that county alone.

The issue is especially fraught because research cited in the parents’ lawsuits indicates that up to 90% of children will not persist in feelings of gender incongruence if left alone. But once young people commit to a social transition with a new name and pronouns, a majority will lock into a gender incongruent identity and continue transitioning.

Some parents and jurists are also concerned about the appropriateness of the information schools are providing students. In an Ohio case dismissed on procedural grounds, a federal appellate judge appointed by President Trump wrote that the parents’ allegations about their secretly transitioning ninth-grader who attempted suicide were “beyond troubling.”

The judge noted: “The parents also learned that teachers wore badges with QR codes that students – who are young children – could scan to access pornographic content and obscene material instructing children about sexual acts.”

Some school officials see themselves as protectors of students against what they detect as bigotry from parents and society. According to a Massachusetts lawsuit, which is pending at the Supreme Court, parents learned from a teacher that their sixth-grader was secretly affirmed as “genderqueer” at school and received transgender resources from the school’s “nonbinary librarian”; the teacher was promptly fired for notifying the parents, and the district superintendent said at a public meeting that claims of “parental rights” to know about student gender identities are thinly veiled camouflages for intolerance against LGBTQ students.

The school district in Massachusetts says that parents are asserting rights that simply don’t exist.

“There is no case cited by [parents] that stands for the proposition that a parent is entitled to notice of their child’s gender so that they can control it (or attempt to do so),” Ludlow Public Schools told a federal appeals court in 2023. “While the age of a child may have some bearing on the relevant analysis, no court has established a rule that establishes a parent’s asserted right trumps the rights of an eleven-year-old or twelve-year-old who asserts their gender identity.”

Lavigne’s lawsuit is one of seven such parental rights cases seeking review at the Supreme Court. While the high court has so far rejected three petitions, lawyers who represent the parents say it’s only a matter of time until the justices agree to hear a case on K-12 gender transition policies.

Wide-Ranging Lawsuits

The Supreme Court has heard four transgender-related lawsuits in the past two-and-a-half years. The court has sided with conservative states challenging medicalized sex-change treatments for minors. Last year, the justices sided with religious parents objecting to queer-themed books in K-12 schools. Another major case, argued in January, is whether women’s sports should be accessible to natal males who identify as trans women. A number of other trans policies are working their way through the lower courts – such as challenges to government-imposed misgendering/deadnaming bans, and challenges to adoption agencies that disqualify parents who believe there are only two genders. In a parental rights case out of Wisconsin that the Supreme Court declined to hear on procedural grounds, a group of Wisconsin parents challenged secret gender transitions and alleged that an activist teacher had posted a flyer in her classroom, proclaiming: “If your parents aren’t accepting of your identity, I’m your mom now.”

In an accompanying opinion, conservative Justice Samuel Alito argued that schools’ “Gender Support Plans” for trans kids raise serious constitutional concerns.

“This case presents a question of great and growing national importance: whether a public school district violates parents’ ‘fundamental constitutional right to make decisions concerning the rearing of’ their children, when, without parental knowledge or consent, it encourages a student to transition to a new gender or assists in that process,” Alito wrote.

Alito noted: “As school personnel were told in an equity training session: ‘parents are not entitled to know their kids’ identities. That knowledge must be earned.’”

According to court filings and public records, school officials go to great lengths to hide what they’re doing. In a New Jersey case, school officials agreed to call a 14-year-old girl by a boy’s name and use male pronouns in school, but were instructed to announce the student’s birth name over the intercom system to conceal the gender transition from a sibling at the same school. In a 2023 article, The New York Times described a delicate situation in which a middle-schooler had secretly changed names and pronouns without the mother’s knowledge, even though the mom worked as a teacher at the same school. In some cases, the concealment continues for several years, until the student graduates from high school.

Courts that have taken the side of the schools have said that the privacy rights of trans kids outweigh parental rights, that schools have a legal duty to protect gender-nonconforming kids from discrimination, that lack of parental acceptance could create an unsafe home environment, and that respecting a student’s preferred name and pronouns is just basic courtesy.

In the Massachusetts case, a panel of three judges at the U.S. Court of Appeals for the First Circuit, appointed by Presidents Obama and Biden, dismissed the parents’ claims, ruling that a school secretly supporting an 11-year-old who is “genderqueer” does not rise to the level of shocking the conscience, and in fact is quite mundane: “Providing educational resources about LGBTQ-related issues to a child who has shown interest imposes no more compulsion to identify as genderqueer than providing a book about brick laying could coerce a student into becoming a mason.”

In Lavigne’s case in Maine, her lawsuit was dismissed by a federal trial court in 2024 and again by a federal appeals court in 2025 for failing to establish that the school system had a permanent or well-settled policy of hiding gender transitions from parents.

Ugly Disputes

Lavigne’s case shows how ugly these disputes can get at the local level.

After she found the chest binder, Lavigne filed a complaint to a licensing board against two school social workers whom she believes were secretly supporting Autumn’s gender transition to “Leo.” Several days later, an agent from the Maine Office of Child and Family Services appeared at Lavigne’s door in response to an anonymous complaint alleging that Lavigne was emotionally abusive towards her daughter.

The agent spent several hours interviewing Lavigne and her family members, Lavigne said, but after a month, the case was closed without finding evidence of neglect or abuse. Lavigne now speaks publicly on the issue at local school board meetings and parents’ rights events.

You’re very impressionable when you’re 12, 13 years old,” Lavigne said in a phone interview. “Someone is telling you that the root of your distress is ABC, and you’ll do anything to relieve that distress.”

Meanwhile, as the story spread, the school was subject to bomb threats and threats against school staff by those who opposed its transgender policies. School officials said the commotion was caused by “a grossly inaccurate and one-sided story,” forcing the school to shut down on three days.

Some of the parents’ lawsuits have backing from Erica Anderson, a clinical psychologist and a former board member of the World Professional Association for Transgender Health (WPATH). Anderson, who is transgender, has gained notoriety since breaking ranks with the trans establishment and accusing its leaders of recklessness and overcorrection for being too quick to affirm trans identities and prescribe hormonal interventions and irreversible surgeries to kids who may be struggling with autism, homosexuality, trauma, or other problems, and would have otherwise outgrown their nonbinary or trans phase.

School is now like Las Vegas: ‘What happens at school stays at school,’” Anderson wrote in court filings. “It should go without saying, but parents cannot obtain a professional evaluation, screen for dysphoria and other coexisting issues, or provide professional mental health support for their children, if their school hides from them what is happening at school.”

The tide of clandestine transitions appears to be turning. Florida’s Parental Rights in Education Act, passed in 2022 and decried by queer advocates as the “Don’t Say Gay” law, forbids public schools from hiding gender transitions from parents. At least 12 other states have recently enacted statutes that address parental notice or consent regarding students’ gender identity, according to court filings. Last year, the U.S. Department of Education alerted public schools that it “will no longer passively accept school officials’ hostility to parental involvement” on matters of “gender ideology.”

The Trump administration currently has open investigations of the Maine Department of Education, Washington State Superintendent’s Office, four Kansas school districts, and Fairfax County Public Schools for similar practices. Trump has featured mothers whose kids were secretly transitioned at his last two State of the Union speeches to Congress.

California Doubles Down

California has been moving in the opposite direction. Last year the state enacted the Safety Act, or AB 1955, that prohibits teachers from notifying parents about student gender identities. The California Department of Education and state Attorney General Robert Bonta are taking enforcement actions against school districts that refuse to comply with the state ban, and instead tell parents if their kids are adopting new gender identities.

In federal court filings, Bonta says that LGBTQ students live in continuous fear of being outed, exposed to harassment, and potentially driven to suicide.

To illustrate his point, Bonta quoted a transgender student who spoke in favor of California policy at a public hearing: “If a student is outed to their family without their consent, this could possibly result in abuse, hate crimes, getting kicked out of their homes, [and] in extreme cases, being murdered.”

When debating the bill, the California Legislature was presented with statistics that 57% of LGBTQ youth reported parental rejection, ranging from mocking to physical abuse and being kicked out of the home.

The U.S. Department of Education responded by launching an investigation of California’s K-12 practices, and this year the feds said that California’s public school personnel have gone “to great lengths” to conceal children’s gender transitions, such as petitioning the software company used in many California schools to create features that hide student name changes and pronouns from parents.

Several parents and teachers have filed a class action lawsuit to block California’s school policies, winning in the lower court, but losing on appeal. On Monday this week, the Supreme Court sided with the parents, blocking California’s school policy. The high court said in its 6-3 ruling that the parents are likely to prevail and therefore entitled to the trial court’s December judgment in their favor, enjoining California’s policy while the state tries to overturn that judgment on appeal.

One set of parents learned of their child’s transition at school only after the child attempted suicide,” Justices Amy Coney Barrett, Brett Kavanaugh and Chief Justice John Roberts wrote in a concurrence. “Strikingly, even after this tragic event, school administrators continued to withhold information about the student’s gender identification.”

At the trial court, U.S. District Judge Robert Benitez, who was appointed to the bench in 2002 by George W. Bush, decried a “trifecta of harm” against children, parents and teachers, in a scathing critique of the state’s policies in December:

The difficult and long lasting issues of gender nonconformity leave parents to suffer adverse consequences over a lifetime,” Judge Benitez wrote.

The harm in question is described in the class action lawsuit, in which one set of parents allege that their junior-high daughter was being treated as a male for nearly a year, and then attempted suicide. They didn’t know that their child was presenting as a boy in school until they learned it from a doctor at Fremont Hospital, where the student was admitted in the inpatient psychiatric program for adolescents after her suicide attempt.

The parents and teachers are represented by attorney Paul Jonna, who said in a phone interview that one problem with the trans advocacy position is that school officials assume that anything short of automatic affirmation means that parents are motivated by transphobia.

“They are grossly exaggerating the harassment,” Jonna said. “Their position essentially is: If the parent is not automatically affirming, not excited about your new gender identity, then they’re harassing and abusive.”

As for Lavigne’s daughter, she never made the transition to the male gender. Autumn is now a 16-year-old 11th-grader at another school. She is back to using her birth name and female pronouns, Lavigne said.

“It was a process for her,” Lavigne said. “After many years of connectedness to her family, many years of connectedness to her body.”

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 19:35

Fani Spanked Again: Judge Allows Trump And Co-Defendants To Pursue $17 Million In Legal Fees

Fani Spanked Again: Judge Allows Trump And Co-Defendants To Pursue $17 Million In Legal Fees

Fani Willis, the disgraced Fulton County, Georgia DA who couldn't keep her clam in her pants while prosecuting Donald Trump, was just dealt a serious blow this week after a judge denied her attempt to intervene in litigation over the reimbursement of legal fees stemming from her now-dismissed Georgia election case against Trump and several co-defendants.

He knows what Willis is talkin' 'bout...

The ruling by Scott McAfee allows efforts to recover nearly $17 million in attorney fees and costs to proceed after the high-profile prosecution collapsed late last year.

In August 2023, Trump and 18 others were indicted in Fulton County for allegedly conspiring to overturn then-President Joe Biden’s narrow election victory in Georgia. The case was dismissed in November, prompting Trump and several co-defendants to seek reimbursement for legal expenses incurred during the prosecution.

Willis’ office attempted to intervene in the fee litigation in an effort to block the claims. But McAfee ruled this week that the district attorney’s office had no legal basis to participate in the case after Willis had already been disqualified from it.

The judge noted that the state was already represented by a temporary district attorney appointed after Willis’ removal, meaning the office’s interests were already represented in the proceedings.

However, McAfee granted Fulton County itself permission to intervene in the case. The county funds most of the district attorney’s office and could ultimately be responsible for paying any reimbursement ordered by the court.

The dispute centers on a 2025 Georgia law that defendants say allows them to recover attorney fees if a prosecutor is disqualified and the case is later dismissed. The decision to allow the reimbursement claims to move forward could have significant financial implications, potentially exposing taxpayers to substantial costs if the requests are approved.

Trump alone is seeking more than $6.2 million in attorney fees from the Fulton County District Attorney’s Office under the statute.

Willis had argued that the law permitting the reimbursements was unconstitutional and maintained that her disqualification was not the cause of the case’s dismissal. McAfee declined to halt the reimbursement process at this stage.

Willis was removed from the case in December 2024 after Trump and his co-defendants argued that her romantic relationship with special prosecutor Nathan Wade created a conflict of interest and that she had made improper public statements about the prosecution.

The Supreme Court of Georgia declined in September 2025 to review her removal, leaving the Prosecuting Attorneys’ Council of Georgia to identify a replacement prosecutor. The case was later dropped.

Trump attorney Steve Sadow praised McAfee’s ruling in a statement posted to X, writing that the judge had “properly denied DA Willis’ motion to intervene in POTUS’ action for reimbursement of attorney fees because her disqualification for improper conduct bars Willis and her office from any further participation in this dismissed, lawfare case.”

Trump also criticized Willis following the Georgia Supreme Court’s decision not to hear her appeal, telling reporters last September: “What Fani Willis did to innocent people, patriots that love our country, what she did to them by indicting them and destroying them, she should be put in jail.”

Willis, speaking after she was disqualified from the case, said she hoped whoever took over the prosecution would “have the courage to do what the evidence and the law demand.”

The next phase of the litigation will focus on determining whether the requested reimbursements are reasonable under the statute. A judge will evaluate the fee claims - including Trump’s request exceeding $6.2 million - in a process that could take weeks or months and may lead to appeals.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 19:10

Fani Spanked Again: Judge Allows Trump And Co-Defendants To Pursue $17 Million In Legal Fees

Fani Spanked Again: Judge Allows Trump And Co-Defendants To Pursue $17 Million In Legal Fees

Fani Willis, the disgraced Fulton County, Georgia DA who couldn't keep her clam in her pants while prosecuting Donald Trump, was just dealt a serious blow this week after a judge denied her attempt to intervene in litigation over the reimbursement of legal fees stemming from her now-dismissed Georgia election case against Trump and several co-defendants.

He knows what Willis is talkin' 'bout...

The ruling by Scott McAfee allows efforts to recover nearly $17 million in attorney fees and costs to proceed after the high-profile prosecution collapsed late last year.

In August 2023, Trump and 18 others were indicted in Fulton County for allegedly conspiring to overturn then-President Joe Biden’s narrow election victory in Georgia. The case was dismissed in November, prompting Trump and several co-defendants to seek reimbursement for legal expenses incurred during the prosecution.

Willis’ office attempted to intervene in the fee litigation in an effort to block the claims. But McAfee ruled this week that the district attorney’s office had no legal basis to participate in the case after Willis had already been disqualified from it.

The judge noted that the state was already represented by a temporary district attorney appointed after Willis’ removal, meaning the office’s interests were already represented in the proceedings.

However, McAfee granted Fulton County itself permission to intervene in the case. The county funds most of the district attorney’s office and could ultimately be responsible for paying any reimbursement ordered by the court.

The dispute centers on a 2025 Georgia law that defendants say allows them to recover attorney fees if a prosecutor is disqualified and the case is later dismissed. The decision to allow the reimbursement claims to move forward could have significant financial implications, potentially exposing taxpayers to substantial costs if the requests are approved.

Trump alone is seeking more than $6.2 million in attorney fees from the Fulton County District Attorney’s Office under the statute.

Willis had argued that the law permitting the reimbursements was unconstitutional and maintained that her disqualification was not the cause of the case’s dismissal. McAfee declined to halt the reimbursement process at this stage.

Willis was removed from the case in December 2024 after Trump and his co-defendants argued that her romantic relationship with special prosecutor Nathan Wade created a conflict of interest and that she had made improper public statements about the prosecution.

The Supreme Court of Georgia declined in September 2025 to review her removal, leaving the Prosecuting Attorneys’ Council of Georgia to identify a replacement prosecutor. The case was later dropped.

Trump attorney Steve Sadow praised McAfee’s ruling in a statement posted to X, writing that the judge had “properly denied DA Willis’ motion to intervene in POTUS’ action for reimbursement of attorney fees because her disqualification for improper conduct bars Willis and her office from any further participation in this dismissed, lawfare case.”

Trump also criticized Willis following the Georgia Supreme Court’s decision not to hear her appeal, telling reporters last September: “What Fani Willis did to innocent people, patriots that love our country, what she did to them by indicting them and destroying them, she should be put in jail.”

Willis, speaking after she was disqualified from the case, said she hoped whoever took over the prosecution would “have the courage to do what the evidence and the law demand.”

The next phase of the litigation will focus on determining whether the requested reimbursements are reasonable under the statute. A judge will evaluate the fee claims - including Trump’s request exceeding $6.2 million - in a process that could take weeks or months and may lead to appeals.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 19:10

Public Bitcoin Miners Are Dumping Crypto For AI, A Historic Mistake

Public Bitcoin Miners Are Dumping Crypto For AI, A Historic Mistake

Authored by Juan Galt via BitcoinMagazine.com,

There is no doubt about it, this is the age of AI. Corporations are cutting their workforces in half to invest cash flow into hardware, while the stock market remains near all-time highs, mostly thanks to FAANG. OpenClaw, a self-hosted AI agent, has more stars on GitHub than Linux and React, while even Jack Dorsey is taking harsh measures to restructure Block in the face of digital, artificial intelligence. But how much of this AI wave is hype, and how many of the companies that build its infrastructure will actually capture the profits? 

Public Bitcoin miners in the United States have made their choice, a variety of them committing capital to building out AI datacenters, and some even making full rebrands, distancing themselves from the orange coin. While there’s a full range of AI-related pivots and statements made by public Bitcoin miners on the matter, a couple stand out as the most radical. 

Cypher Mining, estimated to be worth around six billion dollars — placing it among the biggest in the country – announced a full rebrand away from Bitcoin and on to the AI hype train. In their most recent investment report titled “Rebrands to Cipher Digital to Reflect Strategic Shift Toward HPC,” the company explained why they “Divested 49% Stake in Alborz, Bear, and Chief Mining Sites”. Bitfarms Ltd, another large public miner valued at over a billion dollars, also made a full pivot to AI. The CEO, Ben Gagnon, went as far as saying “We are no longer a Bitcoin company,” as reported by Coindesk, though they did keep the ‘Bit’ in the name. 

Some of these public companies are expecting more dollar returns from digital intelligence than those they get from Bitcoin, at least in the short to mid term, while other are others might consider it a diversification or an opportunity too large to miss.  

Kent Halliburton — Co-Founder & CEO of Sazmining explained to Bitcoin Magazine in an exclusive interview that  “The average cost to mine a bitcoin right now is about $87,000. The spot price of bitcoin is about $70,000. So most of the industry is underwater, and the public miners are using that as their excuse to pivot.” Sazmining is a private Bitcoin miner that specializes in frontier energy sources, with operations mostly outside of the United States.  

Halliburtonalso noted that “$87,000 is an industry average — it includes guys running old-gen rigs on grid power in Texas. At our sites in Paraguay and Ethiopia, our clients are producing bitcoin on an energy cost basis of $50,000 to $64,000, on 100% renewable energy. That’s a 10 to 30 percent discount to spot. The profitability is right there.” It just requires a longer investment horizon or cheaper energy, neither of which appears to be actionable for American public miners who have dollar-denominated quarterly reports to target. 

On the topic of cheaper energy, however, Halliburton suggests that public U.S. miners had the chance to be competitive but have failed to take advantage of their resources. He minced no words on the topic, saying that these public companies “had the power contracts, the land, the infrastructure — everything you need to mine bitcoin cheaply — and they’re handing it to Microsoft and Google in exchange for lease checks. They went from securing the Bitcoin network to securing rack space for hyperscalers, and they’re calling it a strategy. Meanwhile, they’ve dumped over 15,000 bitcoin off their balance sheets to fund the transition”.  

Of the biggest public Bitcoin miners, IREN Limited began its pivot to AI cloud services in April 2025, announcing a$9.7 billion, five-year agreement with Microsoft for 200 MW of critical IT load using NVIDIA GB300 GPUs. TeraWulf has executed multiple Google-backed HPC expansions through Fluidstack, securing 10 year agreements for over 200 MW. 

Cipher Digital completed its full rebrand to an HPC landlord with 600 MW of contracted capacity, including a 15-year, 300 MW lease with AWS and a 10-year, 300 MW lease with Fluidstack backed by Google. Hut 8 signed a 15-year, 245 MW lease with Fluidstack, also backed by Google, eyeing future possible extensions and a right of first offer for over 1,000 MW. Core Scientific has expanded its HPC focus to 270 MW through partnerships with CoreWeave, which serves Microsoft and OpenAI workloads.

Riot Platforms is strategically evaluating an AI hosting expansion by partnering with AMD on an operational 10-year, 25 MW lease and assessments for 600 MW of AI/HPC at its Corsicana site, though no hyperscaler agreements have been announced. 

MARA Holdings is diversifying into AI through a joint venture with Starwood Capital’s Starwood Digital Ventures, targeting 1 GW of near-term IT capacity expandable to over 2.5 GW for hyperscale and AI workloads, with Starwood leading financing and tenant sourcing, but without named hyperscaler contracts yet.

CleanSpark is pursuing a pivot to AI by acquiring Texas land and power for AI/HPC, including 447 acres in Brazoria County for 300–600 MW potential and an Austin County site contributing to 890 MW aggregate, funded by Bitcoin sales, with tenant discussions ongoing but no hyperscaler leases disclosed.

So the AI gold rush is here, there’s no doubt about it, many of these public miners apparently see an opportunity to build out the infrastructure of — what is without a doubt— a profound technological trend. But history has not been kind to those who build the infrastructure of a new era, not in the long term anyway. It tends to be a very high-risk, medium-reward kind of bet. How many of the companies that built the railroads — for example — are still around today? Or, without going back that far, can you name any company that built out internet fiber lines in the late 90’s and 2000’s? 

There is a long list of railroad bankruptcies from the late 1800’s, which even led to a financial crisis in what’s called the Panic of 1873, many overleveraged in debt to fund build-outs for which there was not enough demand yet. After the panic, J.P. Morgan led a consolidation of bankrupt railroad companies, resolving debt disputes and bringing their real estate assets under new ownership. It was they who ended up capturing the upside of the railway build-out.

And just around the corner of the century, the dot com bubble of the 2000’s left a graveyard of fiber line infrastructure companies that were also, in the end, bought out by hyper scalers like Google and Meta during the post crash consolidation, for pennies on the dollar. 

While both the railway and fiber line build-outs overall helped scale commerce for the world in incredible ways — demonstrating the overall wisdom of the markets — most individual companies involved did not survive the process, and venture capitalists looking at the AI boom today are aware of this dynamic

The Capex vs Revenue AI Gap

Various investor groups are starting to question where the returns on this massive infrastructure spending will come from. In an October 2025 report titled “AI: In a bubble?”, GoldmanSachs took a argued that, while the investments so far could be supported by big tech revenue, the valuations of some of these companies were starting to get “frothy”. 

David Chan at Sequoia has been pointing out the growing gap between AI-driven revenue and capital expenditures (Capex) since 2023, leading to a widely reported number of a $600 billion gap between them. Capex spending commitments in 2026 are north of $700 for the hyper scalers, but where are the returns? 

OpenAI’s $20 billion annual recurring revenue (ARR) is impressive for a new company, but that represents “roughly 3% of the projected 2026 hyperscaler capex total” as reported by FuturumGroup, who noted that “Anthropic’s $9 billion run rate, while showing 9x year-over-year growth, occupies a similar position. The entire cohort of pure-play AI vendors – including Cohere ($150 million ARR), Mistral (~$400 million), Perplexity ($148 million annualized), and others – likely accounts for less than $35 billion in projected combined 2026 revenue.”

Skepticism about where the value of AI will actually be captured has also been aired by VC’s like Chamath Palihapitiya. He was a prominent investor in Groq, a company building custom silicon for the AI age, which was licensed by NVIDIA in a $20 billion deal last year, and was a Facebook insider through the company’s rise to become a hyperscaler. If he has his doubts about the profitability of building the railroads of artificial intelligence, then perhaps there’s something worth giving a very close look at. 

Palihapitiya also argued in a recent All In Podcast that corporations might soon start to realize they are exposing their trade secrets to cloud AI, preferring instead to self-host. Building out in-house GPU farms might seem like a bit of a side quest, but can you really risk your trade secrets with AI providers who train on user data? After all, new versions of models trained on that data will have it in their knowledge base, exposed to the world. And even if corporate agreements not to train on corporate data become the norm, a very high trust relationship would be formed, posing a systemic risk to certain corporations, a risk that the data might get leaked or seen by the wrong insiders inside the cloud AI provider companies. 

There are also questions about whether the market fundamentally wants cloud AI for the same reasons. Would you hire a personal assistant if you knew the data you share with them would end up on the internet? Probably not, but that’s what’s happening with AI. In fact, the U.S. Southern District of New York recently ruled that users do not have client-attorney privilege when getting legal help from AI chatbots, and thus, sensitive discussions with AI could be legally subpoenaed and used against the clients in a court of law, a sign of the risks involved with trusting AI blindly. Some speculate that new kinds of terms and agreements will need to be formed to support this use case. But the legal case points to a fundamental element of the demand for AI: people want humanoid intelligence, digital or otherwise, that they can trust.

AI Loyalty and Trust

Ah, “Trust”, that ubiquitous, almost supernatural word that does so much work to carry the weight of the world. But what is trust? Fundamentally, it is predictability, one person’s confidence that another human, system, or AI will behave in a certain way, in a reliable, predictable, and positive way towards one’s interests. AI, when hosted in the cloud, however, can not give such assurances; the data is fundamentally leaving the user’s machine to be processed by “the cloud,” and what happens up there is beyond us mortals. In fact, “the cloud” has legal risks that might prevent it from being loyal to you as a user in certain scenarios. Hence, perhaps the public’s fascination with OpenClaw.

In recent weeks, a new open source project in the AI world has taken the tech industry by storm. 289,000 stars on GitHub, more than Linux has gotten despite supporting the software infrastructure of the world, more than React, one of the most popular web development languages in the world. And it’s only been live for what, weeks? How could this be? Why do people like it so much?

Well, arguably two reasons. It feels more like a human assistant than a chatbot; it updates itself, remembers what you are interested in, journals, and develops around your preferences. But most important of all, you can host it on your machine. People were buying Mac minis in droves to run OpenClaw, pairing it up with Claude Max API token plans of about $200 a month. Some argue this is a revolution in self-hosting, even though the above setup is still dependent on the cloud. But what’s actually happening here is that OpenClaw appears loyal, it remembers you, it is “in your home” in your PC. It’s not a chat interface whose context window will eventually become too much for it to manage, ending in a small death, replaced by a new chat tab. OpenClaw is not a chatbot; it’s an AI entity of sorts that users create a relationship with. And good relationships are built on trust. 

So what does all of this have to do with public Bitcoin Miners? Well, perhaps self-hosted AI is the future, Chinese AI models are increasingly leaner and can run on machines far from the cutting edge, arguably pressured into innovation by sanctions on specialized AI hardware like high-end Nvidia chips. Open source tools of all kinds that manage and host models locally are regularly launched and improved, and if history is any guide, the mass production of AI hardware will lead to the commoditization of powerful computers that will make it to end users’ homes, and can handle AI.

In fact, Apple, the FAANG that has had the worst AI products deployed to date, may end up becoming one of the biggest winners of the AI race. Why? Because their user hardware is excellent. Recent Macs don’t have a distinction between RAM and VRAM, an issue all other computers dependent on GPUs, such as Nvidia, have. This limits the size and speed of models that can be self-hosted. Instead, all RAM is unified in the latest Mac machines, letting users run powerful models locally that don’t easily run on non-Apple hardware. Self-hosted AI is the future. 

And thus, public Bitcoin miners, in the pursuit of mid-term fiat gains, might have just fallen for a trap.

The same trap the giants of the dot-com bubble fell for. The same trap that the titans of the industrial era, who built the railroads, fell for.

The infrastructure that runs the future does not necessarily capture the gains.  

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 18:45

AP Shills For Big Pharma Antidepressants With 'Bewildering' Hit Piece

AP Shills For Big Pharma Antidepressants With 'Bewildering' Hit Piece

Check this out... The Trump FDA's top drug regulator, Dr. Tracy Beth Hoeg, is working to hire a researcher and friend who strongly believes the agency should add new warnings about antidepressants and pregnancy risks

So what does the Associated Press do? They pen a hit piece, smearing Hoeg, her associate, and suggesting that peer reviewed studies over the risks are 'unproven.' 

This is how the medical arm of the blob works, and Paul Thacker of the DisInformation Chronicle is calling them out... 

* * *

Associated Press Cannot Explain Bewildering Reporting on FDA’s Tracy Hoeg and Antidepressant Risks

By Paul D. Thacker

Cruising through X last week a weird story caught my eye: it reported that The Food and Drug Administration’s top drug regulator, Dr. Tracy Beth Hoeg, was trying to hire a “friend” who wants the FDA to add warnings to antidepressants about “unproven pregnancy risks.” The story makes several claims that are bewildering and appear to be fabricated. I sent several questions to AP’s global health editor Jonathan Fahey, but he did not respond to repeated requests to explain the article’s puzzling errors.

AP reporter Matthew Perrone later blocked me on X. I’ve pasted my email to Fahey at the bottom of this article.

The person AP’s Matthew Perrone identifies as a “friend” of FDA’s Hoeg is Dr. Adam Urato, chief of maternal-fetal medicine at Metro West Medical Center in Massachusetts.

One passage in the AP story stood out to me:

Within the agency, Hoeg’s close relationship with Urato is viewed as a clear conflict of interest that, under normal FDA standards, would result in her recusing herself from any work on the petition. But Hoeg is actively working to speed up the agency’s review of her friend’s proposal, according to the people familiar with the situation.

I have never seen the term “friend” defined as a “conflict of interest” by any federal agency. Nor have I run across “friend” defined as a “conflict of interest” in the peer-reviewed scientific literature. It’s a conflict of interest that doesn’t seem to exist.

And I happen to know quite a bit about conflicts of interest in science, because I’m an expert on the matter.

While I was a Senate staffer, I wrote a law on conflicts of interest called the Physicians Payments Sunshine Act. The bill I wrote was later passed into law and you can now go look up doctors on the government’s Open Payments website to see who is giving them money. I’m sure AP reporters use this website all the time. During my time in the Senate, I also helped to reform conflicts of interest at the National Institutes of Health. This took thousands of hours, untold numbers of meetings, and years of work to complete.

When I left the Senate and joined the Safra Ethics Center at Harvard, I was celebrated as the “Father of Sunshine” for this work to reform conflicts of interest in medicine.

Confused by the AP’s confusing reporting, I contacted Health and Human Services (HHS) and FDA, sending them almost the exact same questions that I sent to AP’s Jonathan Fahey.

Being a friend is not a violation of ethics or conflicts of interests’ laws,” wrote HHS spokesman Andrew Nixon, in an email. Several senior FDA officials told me that HHS doesn’t even have a legal definition for what a “friend” is and no government conflict of interest form asks people to identify who their friends are.

It’s a hit piece from industry against Dr. Hoeg, who is doing an amazing job at the FDA,” said one FDA official.

Hoeg did not respond to requests for comment, but during a phone call, Urato told me the AP story was filled with fake facts. The FDA has not offered him a full-time job as AP reported, and if they did, he couldn’t take it as he has a full-time clinical practice with hundreds of patients. FDA has expressed interest in offering him a limited, part-time position as an “advisor,” but nothing has been formalized.

He’s known Hoeg for only a couple years, and met her once when he went to DC to testify in favor of a labelling change for antidepressants that warns pregnant women about the documented risks for fetuses.

This whole thing is being made up, and it’s an absurdity,” Urato said. “I’m not close friends with her as we’ve only discussed work. But If I say I’m not friends with her, then it’s like saying I’m her enemy.”

In his practice, Urato treats depressed women who are on antidepressants and always advises them of the research that has found risks for these drugs to developing fetuses. To ensure all women are warned, he has started a petition that asks the FDA to place a formal warning on the label for antidepressants. READ PETITION HERE.

There’s 12 MRI studies in humans that show brain alterations found in offspring who were exposed in utero to antidepressants, and the corporate media has ignored this,” Urato says.

The AP falsely states in their story that Urato is making up “unproven pregnancy risks” but Nature Communications published a peer-reviewed study last May that found these exact risks that AP denies. The children of pregnant mothers on antidepressants later exhibited higher anxiety and depression symptoms than unexposed kids. Kids exposed to antidepressants while in utero were also found to have different brain activity when shown photos of fearful faces.

“These findings have potential implications for the clinical use of [antidepressants] during human pregnancy and for designing interventions that protect fetal brain development,” the authors concluded. The study appears in Urato’s petition along with dozens of other peer-reviewed studies.

“What a woman should do varies from patient to patient,” Urato told me. “But the first thing is to inform them. We know that cancer drugs are toxic, but we don’t ignore that and hide it from patients for fear they won’t get treated for cancer.”

Urato says he doesn’t know if the FDA will act on his petition, despite the evidence. “What the FDA will do with that, I don’t know.” However, Urato has had success with a prior FDA petition.

Urato partnered with Public Citizen in 2019 to petition the FDA to withdraw the drug Makena, because it had been approved to stop premature births without adequate data showing it helped pregnant women. The FDA later agreed with the petition and withdrew Makena from the market in 2023.

Oddly enough, AP’s Matthew Perrone covered Urato’s success at getting the FDA to remove Makena from the market, which you can read here: “FDA forces unproven premature birth drug Makena off market.”

“This is all a distraction,” Urato told me. “It’s so stupid. Of course we need to warn women.”

FULL DISCLOSURE: While working in the Senate, I was invited to give the keynote address at a conference on conflicts of interest in medicine and research hosted at Tufts University. Administrators later withdrew my invitation, causing one of the organizers to resign and creating a minor scandal that made news in the Boston Globe.

“It’s too bad a reform perspective has been removed from the program,” the Senate Committee’s spokeswoman told the Globe.

Some days later, I got a call from a physician who said Tufts organizers chose him to give the keynote speech in my place. I remember him being irate that Tufts had silenced me. He told me he wanted to know exactly what I was going to say, as he was going to give my exact same talk. He then took notes as I explained my speech. I may have also sent him my slide deck, but I can’t remember as this conversation took place in 2009.

I do remember laughing during the conversation at the thought that Tufts administrators were going to hear exactly what I was going to say, although it was coming from the mouth of someone they deemed more acceptable.

When I called Urato for this story, I thought it was the first time we had ever communicated. However, he reminded me during our conversation that he was the physician who called me all those years back, angry that Tufts had cancelled my keynote address. And he was the person who gave my talk at Tufts about the importance of conflicts of interest in medicine. Urato sent me this article in the Tufts newspaper to show this was the case.

I have no clue if AP or other reporters believe this makes Urato and I “friends” but feel free to discuss in the comments below.

* * *

Below is the email I sent to AP asking them to explain their bewildering article.

Hello Jonathan,

I’m working on a story about this AP article that claims FDA’s Tracy Hoeg is bringing a “friend” to FDA and that this is an FDA conflict of interest. That story is here https://apnews.com/article/hoeg-urato-fda-drugs-antidepressants-pregnancy-warnings-a2a48cd2285f5b33aef2d390b5b60d0c

While I was a Senate staffer, I wrote a law on COI called the Physicians Payments Sunshine Act that many reporters now use through the government’s Open Payments website. I also helped to reform NIH COI regs. I also wrote an award winning series for the BMJ on FDA COVID vaccine approvals by digging through FDA COI disclosures.

The AP alleges in this passage, which I’ve put in italics:

Within the agency, Hoeg’s close relationship with Urato is viewed as a clear conflict of interest that, under normal FDA standards, would result in her recusing herself from any work on the petition. But Hoeg is actively working to speed up the agency’s review of her friend’s proposal, according to the people familiar with the situation.

I have never seen the term “friend” defined as a COI for any federal agency. Nor have I run across this claim in the peer-reviewed literature. I also don’t know what “friend” means as I spoke to Adam Urato and he said he’s met Hoeg only a few times and it was only over professional matters.

Senior FDA officials have contacted me and explained that the FDA General Counsel has no legal definition of “friend” and no record of “friend” appearing in any COI policies. I have a couple questions, please.

1. Can you provide me with any evidence FDA/HHS has a legal definition for the term “friend”?

2. Can you provide me with an FDA/HHS policy that lists the term “friend” as a conflict of interest, as AP reports?

3. AP states that Urato wants FDA to add new warnings to antidepressants about “unproven pregnancy risks.” Nature communications published a study about the pregnancy risks to fetuses and SSRI use last May. Can you explain to readers why AP thinks this study is false? Has it been retracted? This is one of many studies showing effects to fetuses from SSRI use.

Again, we need a response by COB today.

Thank you for your time,

Paul

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 17:55

AP Shills For Big Pharma Antidepressants With 'Bewildering' Hit Piece

AP Shills For Big Pharma Antidepressants With 'Bewildering' Hit Piece

Check this out... The Trump FDA's top drug regulator, Dr. Tracy Beth Hoeg, is working to hire a researcher and friend who strongly believes the agency should add new warnings about antidepressants and pregnancy risks

So what does the Associated Press do? They pen a hit piece, smearing Hoeg, her associate, and suggesting that peer reviewed studies over the risks are 'unproven.' 

This is how the medical arm of the blob works, and Paul Thacker of the DisInformation Chronicle is calling them out... 

* * *

Associated Press Cannot Explain Bewildering Reporting on FDA’s Tracy Hoeg and Antidepressant Risks

By Paul D. Thacker

Cruising through X last week a weird story caught my eye: it reported that The Food and Drug Administration’s top drug regulator, Dr. Tracy Beth Hoeg, was trying to hire a “friend” who wants the FDA to add warnings to antidepressants about “unproven pregnancy risks.” The story makes several claims that are bewildering and appear to be fabricated. I sent several questions to AP’s global health editor Jonathan Fahey, but he did not respond to repeated requests to explain the article’s puzzling errors.

AP reporter Matthew Perrone later blocked me on X. I’ve pasted my email to Fahey at the bottom of this article.

The person AP’s Matthew Perrone identifies as a “friend” of FDA’s Hoeg is Dr. Adam Urato, chief of maternal-fetal medicine at Metro West Medical Center in Massachusetts.

One passage in the AP story stood out to me:

Within the agency, Hoeg’s close relationship with Urato is viewed as a clear conflict of interest that, under normal FDA standards, would result in her recusing herself from any work on the petition. But Hoeg is actively working to speed up the agency’s review of her friend’s proposal, according to the people familiar with the situation.

I have never seen the term “friend” defined as a “conflict of interest” by any federal agency. Nor have I run across “friend” defined as a “conflict of interest” in the peer-reviewed scientific literature. It’s a conflict of interest that doesn’t seem to exist.

And I happen to know quite a bit about conflicts of interest in science, because I’m an expert on the matter.

While I was a Senate staffer, I wrote a law on conflicts of interest called the Physicians Payments Sunshine Act. The bill I wrote was later passed into law and you can now go look up doctors on the government’s Open Payments website to see who is giving them money. I’m sure AP reporters use this website all the time. During my time in the Senate, I also helped to reform conflicts of interest at the National Institutes of Health. This took thousands of hours, untold numbers of meetings, and years of work to complete.

When I left the Senate and joined the Safra Ethics Center at Harvard, I was celebrated as the “Father of Sunshine” for this work to reform conflicts of interest in medicine.

Confused by the AP’s confusing reporting, I contacted Health and Human Services (HHS) and FDA, sending them almost the exact same questions that I sent to AP’s Jonathan Fahey.

Being a friend is not a violation of ethics or conflicts of interests’ laws,” wrote HHS spokesman Andrew Nixon, in an email. Several senior FDA officials told me that HHS doesn’t even have a legal definition for what a “friend” is and no government conflict of interest form asks people to identify who their friends are.

It’s a hit piece from industry against Dr. Hoeg, who is doing an amazing job at the FDA,” said one FDA official.

Hoeg did not respond to requests for comment, but during a phone call, Urato told me the AP story was filled with fake facts. The FDA has not offered him a full-time job as AP reported, and if they did, he couldn’t take it as he has a full-time clinical practice with hundreds of patients. FDA has expressed interest in offering him a limited, part-time position as an “advisor,” but nothing has been formalized.

He’s known Hoeg for only a couple years, and met her once when he went to DC to testify in favor of a labelling change for antidepressants that warns pregnant women about the documented risks for fetuses.

This whole thing is being made up, and it’s an absurdity,” Urato said. “I’m not close friends with her as we’ve only discussed work. But If I say I’m not friends with her, then it’s like saying I’m her enemy.”

In his practice, Urato treats depressed women who are on antidepressants and always advises them of the research that has found risks for these drugs to developing fetuses. To ensure all women are warned, he has started a petition that asks the FDA to place a formal warning on the label for antidepressants. READ PETITION HERE.

There’s 12 MRI studies in humans that show brain alterations found in offspring who were exposed in utero to antidepressants, and the corporate media has ignored this,” Urato says.

The AP falsely states in their story that Urato is making up “unproven pregnancy risks” but Nature Communications published a peer-reviewed study last May that found these exact risks that AP denies. The children of pregnant mothers on antidepressants later exhibited higher anxiety and depression symptoms than unexposed kids. Kids exposed to antidepressants while in utero were also found to have different brain activity when shown photos of fearful faces.

“These findings have potential implications for the clinical use of [antidepressants] during human pregnancy and for designing interventions that protect fetal brain development,” the authors concluded. The study appears in Urato’s petition along with dozens of other peer-reviewed studies.

“What a woman should do varies from patient to patient,” Urato told me. “But the first thing is to inform them. We know that cancer drugs are toxic, but we don’t ignore that and hide it from patients for fear they won’t get treated for cancer.”

Urato says he doesn’t know if the FDA will act on his petition, despite the evidence. “What the FDA will do with that, I don’t know.” However, Urato has had success with a prior FDA petition.

Urato partnered with Public Citizen in 2019 to petition the FDA to withdraw the drug Makena, because it had been approved to stop premature births without adequate data showing it helped pregnant women. The FDA later agreed with the petition and withdrew Makena from the market in 2023.

Oddly enough, AP’s Matthew Perrone covered Urato’s success at getting the FDA to remove Makena from the market, which you can read here: “FDA forces unproven premature birth drug Makena off market.”

“This is all a distraction,” Urato told me. “It’s so stupid. Of course we need to warn women.”

FULL DISCLOSURE: While working in the Senate, I was invited to give the keynote address at a conference on conflicts of interest in medicine and research hosted at Tufts University. Administrators later withdrew my invitation, causing one of the organizers to resign and creating a minor scandal that made news in the Boston Globe.

“It’s too bad a reform perspective has been removed from the program,” the Senate Committee’s spokeswoman told the Globe.

Some days later, I got a call from a physician who said Tufts organizers chose him to give the keynote speech in my place. I remember him being irate that Tufts had silenced me. He told me he wanted to know exactly what I was going to say, as he was going to give my exact same talk. He then took notes as I explained my speech. I may have also sent him my slide deck, but I can’t remember as this conversation took place in 2009.

I do remember laughing during the conversation at the thought that Tufts administrators were going to hear exactly what I was going to say, although it was coming from the mouth of someone they deemed more acceptable.

When I called Urato for this story, I thought it was the first time we had ever communicated. However, he reminded me during our conversation that he was the physician who called me all those years back, angry that Tufts had cancelled my keynote address. And he was the person who gave my talk at Tufts about the importance of conflicts of interest in medicine. Urato sent me this article in the Tufts newspaper to show this was the case.

I have no clue if AP or other reporters believe this makes Urato and I “friends” but feel free to discuss in the comments below.

* * *

Below is the email I sent to AP asking them to explain their bewildering article.

Hello Jonathan,

I’m working on a story about this AP article that claims FDA’s Tracy Hoeg is bringing a “friend” to FDA and that this is an FDA conflict of interest. That story is here https://apnews.com/article/hoeg-urato-fda-drugs-antidepressants-pregnancy-warnings-a2a48cd2285f5b33aef2d390b5b60d0c

While I was a Senate staffer, I wrote a law on COI called the Physicians Payments Sunshine Act that many reporters now use through the government’s Open Payments website. I also helped to reform NIH COI regs. I also wrote an award winning series for the BMJ on FDA COVID vaccine approvals by digging through FDA COI disclosures.

The AP alleges in this passage, which I’ve put in italics:

Within the agency, Hoeg’s close relationship with Urato is viewed as a clear conflict of interest that, under normal FDA standards, would result in her recusing herself from any work on the petition. But Hoeg is actively working to speed up the agency’s review of her friend’s proposal, according to the people familiar with the situation.

I have never seen the term “friend” defined as a COI for any federal agency. Nor have I run across this claim in the peer-reviewed literature. I also don’t know what “friend” means as I spoke to Adam Urato and he said he’s met Hoeg only a few times and it was only over professional matters.

Senior FDA officials have contacted me and explained that the FDA General Counsel has no legal definition of “friend” and no record of “friend” appearing in any COI policies. I have a couple questions, please.

1. Can you provide me with any evidence FDA/HHS has a legal definition for the term “friend”?

2. Can you provide me with an FDA/HHS policy that lists the term “friend” as a conflict of interest, as AP reports?

3. AP states that Urato wants FDA to add new warnings to antidepressants about “unproven pregnancy risks.” Nature communications published a study about the pregnancy risks to fetuses and SSRI use last May. Can you explain to readers why AP thinks this study is false? Has it been retracted? This is one of many studies showing effects to fetuses from SSRI use.

Again, we need a response by COB today.

Thank you for your time,

Paul

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 17:55

Rand Paul Warns Of "Disastrous" Midterms For GOP If Iran War Continues

Rand Paul Warns Of "Disastrous" Midterms For GOP If Iran War Continues

Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), a leading voice for non-interventionism within the Republican Party, warned Tuesday that prolonged U.S. military action against Iran could spell disaster for Republicans in the 2026 midterm elections.

In an interview on Fox Business with host Maria Bartiromo, Paul downplayed internal party divisions as the main risk, instead pointing to economic fallout from the conflict, which began with joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28.

How worried are you that a split Republican Party will only mean losses in the midterm elections?” Ms. Bartiromo asked. “How are you expecting the midterms to play out?”

I don’t think split party is the problem. I think high oil prices will be a problem. I think the 2026 election’s already – we are behind the eight ball as far as the electoral process,” Mr. Paul replied. "I think if you add in high gas prices, high oil prices, and if we are still bombing Iran with kinetic action – people don’t want to call it war – but if there’s still kinetic action that causes oil to be over $100, I think you’re gonna see a disastrous election.”

In what should set off alarm bells in the White House and the House Speaker’s Office, Polymarket’s “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms” market shows Democrats have a 44% of sweeping Congress in the midterms.

The U.S.-Israel strikes killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the opening wave, along with dozens of senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps officials and other regime figures. Iranian sources reported 1,255 deaths and more than 12,000 injured. U.S. and Israeli assessments put Iranian military deaths at around 3,000. Iranian retaliatory missile and drone strikes killed 7 U.S. military personnel and 13 people in Israel.

The joint campaign has inflicted extensive damage on Iran's military infrastructure, including the sinking of over 30 naval vessels, destruction of ballistic missile launchers and production facilities, airfields, drone sites, key IRGC bases, and residual nuclear-related structures at sites such as Natanz and Isfahan. Air defenses were heavily degraded, limiting Tehran's ability to mount sustained retaliation, while allied proxy groups like Hezbollah sustained further losses.'

On Monday, President Donald Trump suggested that the war could end soon, describing the operation as a "short-term excursion" that was "very complete, pretty much.” Yet, the president warned of harsher military action should Iran attempt to disrupt oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. The oil markets welcomed Trump’s dovish overtures as crude oil prices plunged as much as 10% on Tuesday morning, with Brent sliding around 8% to $91 a barrel and U.S. crude dropping 8.1% to roughly $87.

//--> //--> 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 45% · No 56%
View full market & trade on Polymarket Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 17:30

Loans To Non-Banks Threaten Banking Crisis

Loans To Non-Banks Threaten Banking Crisis

Authored by Christopher Whalen via DailyReckoning.com,

Last week, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp released the industry data for US banks for 2025.

On the surface, the numbers look reassuring, even strong. But beneath the calm headline figures lies a growing risk that investors should not ignore.

Domestic deposits increased for the sixth consecutive quarter in Q4 2025 by $318.3 billion or 1.8%, the FDIC reports. Loans grew by 2% in Q4 and almost 6% YOY. Foreign deposits grew 11%, but subordinated debt and FHLB advances each fell ~ 14% as banks shed excess capital and funding.

U.S. bank loan growth in 2025 was robust, with total loans and leases reaching $13.4 trillion by year-end, a sequential increase in Q4 and a 5.9% annual growth rate, driven by larger institutions. Personal loan balances hit $2.2 trillion, while credit card debt rose 5.5% annually but the utilization rate for credit cards is still less than 20% of the total credit available. Yet behind this placid picture is a growing threat to banks and financial markets. At first glance, this looks like a healthy banking system. But that placid picture masks a fast-growing vulnerability that could become the next major pressure point for banks and financial markets.

The fastest growing bank asset category is loans to non-depository financial institutions (NDFIs), a corner of the financial system that regulators have struggled to monitor and control, up 7% in Q4 vs Q3 and up 35% YOY to $1.4 trillion at year-end 2025. With growing signs of credit stress among nonbank companies, banks will eventually pull back from lending to NDFIs. The problem is timing. By the time banks tighten lending standards, many private companies dependent on this funding may already be heading toward collapse, and those failures will not stay confined to the shadow banking system.

They will hit bank balance sheets directly.

The latest default involving UK mortgage issuer Market Financial Solutions threatens a £930 million shortfall in collateral backing loans to Apollo, TPG, other Wall Street private credit sponsors that are heavily involved with lending to private credit and equity, and various speculative ventures involving the current “AI investment boom.”

“The collapse of MFS, which attracted backing from firms including Barclays Plc, Apollo Global Management Inc.’s Atlas SP Partners unit, Jefferies Financial Group and TPG, is the latest crisis to hit both banks and direct lenders, and puts a spotlight on asset-based financing,” Bloomberg reveals.

“Accusations of double pledging also emerged in the collapses last year of US auto parts supplier First Brands Group and sub-prime auto lender Tricolor Holdings.”

Accusations of double pledging collateral have also surfaced in recent failures such as First Brands Group and Tricolor Holdings, further highlighting the fragility of the system.

The fact that Apollo’s Atlas SP unit was caught unawares by the apparent collateral fraud at MFS is especially notable given the firm’s past experience. One of the leading providers of secured financing to nonbank mortgage companies in the US, Atlas SP was formerly owned by Credit Suisse and has been the advisor on numerous financing transactions for NBFIs. Yet two supposedly “secured” warehouse facilities backed by Atlas SP are now reported to be in default. If the lenders structuring these deals are surprised by collateral problems, investors should be asking deeper questions about how widespread these risks really are.

The collapse of American Car Centers in 2023, another Atlas SP client, provided advanced warning of a wave of corporate insolvencies that now threaten the US banking sector with contagion. U.S. corporate bankruptcies in 2025 surged to their highest level in 15 years, with over 700 companies filing for protection through November, marking a 14% increase over 2024. A large share of those failures involved private equity-backed firms.

Why is the rapid growth in bank lending to NDFIs a problem?

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell previously expressed that while non-depository financial institutions play a productive role in the economy, their growth outside the traditional regulatory perimeter poses risks to financial stability. We’re not talking here about mortgage companies with fully secured loans, but instead speculative credit and private equity schemes that are running out of cash.

The growth of private equity and credit is particularly problematic for banks. Many institutions are quietly masking early defaults through loan forbearance. When busted private equity firms cannot pay their debts, many seek to buy time by paying “in kind” with additional equity effectively issuing more of what the market already considers worthless. Paying “principal on original principal” or “POOP” (h/t Victor Hong) is one the thin canards used by private equity sponsors to conceal their financial malfeasance. In short: investors are being paid with more of the same failing capital structure.

In 2024, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns regarding the rapid growth of non-bank financial institutions and the shifting of financial intermediation outside the regulated banking perimeter. He emphasized the need for regulators to be “smart” about where risks are emerging in this sector, noting that non-bank lending could lead to an overall lack of economic stability.  But federal bank regulators have done little to address the explosion of lending to NDFIs. History shows that when a bank asset class grows significantly faster than the broader economy, it is usually a signal that systemic risk is building.

When you see a bank asset class growing far more quickly than the broad economy, this is a red flag that suggests potential systemic risk. But even more troubling that the high rate of growth in bank lending to NDFIs is the huge amount of undrawn loans available to these lightly capitalized companies involved in private equity and credit.

The FDIC does not yet disclose full loan category data on NDFI series, but we can infer from Other Loans line that banks currently have an estimated $2.8 trillion in unused loan commitments to NDFIs or exposure at default of 200% of current advances as defined by Basel III.  A non-bank firm can draw on these contracted credit lines and immediately default, causing a massive loss to the bank lender.  For every dollar of the $1.4 trillion in bank loans outstanding today to NDFIs, there are two dollars in undrawn loans or a total of $2.8 trillion, as shown in the chart below.

In practical terms:

  • Banks have $1.4 trillion in outstanding loans to NDFIs

  • They have another $2.8 trillion in undrawn commitments

That means for every dollar already lent, two more dollars are waiting to be drawn.

And a nonbank borrower can draw on those lines and default immediately, leaving banks with the loss.

Total potential exposure: roughly $4.2 trillion.

If stress spreads across private credit markets, that number becomes very important, very quickly.

Source: FDIC

The massive amount of bank lending to NDFIs is an approaching storm that has been largely ignored by federal regulators but is gaining growing attention from credit analysts. One public benchmark for the growing credit stress facing nonbanks is business development companies, which have seen an 18% decline in stock valuations over the past year vs an equal positive gain for the S&P 500. That divergence is not random. BDC investors are effectively voting with their capital that private credit risk is rising and rising quickly.

“UBS strategists say private credit could see default rates surge as high as 15% if artificial intelligence triggers an “aggressive” disruption among corporate borrowers,” the Swiss bank reports. 

“Direct lenders that financed software companies are exposed to AI’s impact, with some estimates suggesting 40% of all sponsor-backed loans are tied up in the software industry.”

A 15% default rate is 2x the highest level of bank loan delinquency seen in 2008.

Put that number in perspective. A 15% default rate would be roughly twice the highest level of bank loan delinquencies seen during the 2008 financial crisis.

If even a portion of that scenario materializes, private credit markets, and the banks financing them, will feel the impact immediately.

The year 2025 was an extraordinary period for many reasons, including low credit loss rates and soaring asset values. QE teaches us that high asset prices suppress the cost of default, until asset values fall. But Wall Street is still trying to spin the growing delinquency among private companies as being only a problem “on the margins.”

“A review of the 3,649 middle market (MM) corporate credit assessments completed in 2025 shows mixed signals,” notes Kroll Bond Rating Agency.

“Slowing growth is negatively impacting some companies’ credit quality, but overall, our portfolio remains stable. The growing divergence in performance is driven by challenged subsectors that we believe will contribute to the rising, yet contained, default rate in 2026.”

In other words: the cracks are visible, but the market is still hoping the damage remains contained.

In the 1920s, many observers believed that asset values had reached a “permanently high plateau,” That confidence did not age well. This despite warnings from some observers of an impending collapse. Sectors like private equity and credit, and AI, all promise higher credit costs ahead. But for lenders, the immediate implication may be something very different: higher credit costs. When credit costs rise, earnings decline and stocks follow. The sharp declines in bank stocks in January and February illustrate this tendency.

We expect bank stocks to underperform their strong 2025 performance and face several challenges in the coming year:

  • Rising credit costs

  • Elevated market volatility

  • Higher operating expenses

Banks will benefit from falling funding costs, which should provide some support for margins.

But the outsized credit exposure to nonbank financial institutions may become one of the dominant financial narratives of 2026.

If stress spreads through private credit markets, investors may quickly discover that the shadow banking system is not nearly as “separate” from the traditional banking sector as many assume.

*  *  *

Investors who want deeper analysis of bank balance sheets and emerging credit risks can follow Christopher Whalen’s ongoing research and commentary.

Access to the index and detailed bank research is available via Institutional Risk Analyst.

Tyler Durden Tue, 03/10/2026 - 17:05

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