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Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.1% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.1% in November

Calculated Risk -

The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI.

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.1% in November. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index increased 0.1%. "The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly CPI report".

Inflation Measures Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the year-over-year change for these four key measures of inflation. 
On a year-over-year basis, the median CPI rose 3.1% (down from 3.5% YoY in September), the trimmed-mean CPI rose 2.9% (down from 3.3%), and the CPI less food and energy rose 3.0% (down from 3.2%). 
Core PCE is for September was up 2.8% YoY, down from 2.9% in August.  

Watch: Presidential 'Wall Of Fame' Gets A Savage Upgrade...

Zero Hedge -

Watch: Presidential 'Wall Of Fame' Gets A Savage Upgrade...

Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news,

President Trump has seemingly taken his trolling to new heights by installing brutal plaques beneath key presidential portraits at the White House, exposing the failures of his leftist predecessors.

The inscriptions lay waste to the deep state’s darlings—detailing Obama’s foreign policy debacles, Clinton’s globalist sellouts, and Biden’s total mental collapse—while also celebrating Reagan’s conservative triumphs that paved the way for Trump’s landslide victory.

Building on the initial autopen stunt, fresh images reveal expanded plaques that deliver unfiltered truth about how radical policies wrecked American sovereignty and prosperity.

The new additions, spotted near the Rose Garden, align with Trump’s promise to rewrite the narrative on failed administrations that prioritized open borders, endless wars, and economic surrender over putting America First.

Analysis of the photos suggests they are genuine, with natural lighting, shadows, and reflections on the frames and glass showing no signs of AI manipulation such as distorted text or unnatural elements. 

The images are credited to X user @PenguinSix—a D.C.-based freelancer and live streamer known for real-time coverage of White House developments.

Starting with the autopen standing in for Biden, the top plaque reads:

Sleepy Joe Biden was, by far, the worst President in American History. Taking office as a result of the most corrupt Election ever seen in the United States, Biden oversaw a series of unprecedented disasters that brought our Nation to the brink of destruction. His Policies caused the highest Inflation ever recorded, leading the U.S. Dollar to lose more than 20% of its value in 4 years. His Green New Scam surrendered American Energy Dominance and, by abolishing the Southern Border, Biden let 21 million people from all over the World pour into the United States, including from prisons, jails, mental institutions, and insane asylums. His Afghanistan Disaster was among the most humiliating events in American History, and resulted in the murder of 13 brave American Servicemembers, with many others gravely wounded. Seeing Biden’s devastating weakness, Russia invaded Ukraine, and Hamas terrorists launched the heinous October 7th attack on Israel.”

The bottom plaque for Biden continues:

Nicknamed both ‘Sleepy’ and ‘Crooked,’ Joe Biden was dominated by his Radical Left handlers. They and their allies in the Fake News Media attempted to cover up his severe mental decline, and his unprecedented use of the Autopen. Following his humiliating debate loss to President Trump in the big June 2024 debate, he was forced to withdraw from his campaign for re-election in disgrace. Biden weaponized Law Enforcement against his political opponents, while also persecuting many other innocent people. He left office issuing blanket pardons to Radical Democrat criminals and the guilty as well as members of the Biden Crime Family — But despite it all, President Trump would get Re-Elected in a Landslide, and SAVE AMERICA!”

Moving to Barack Obama, the plaques are forthright on his divisive tenure. The top one states:

“Barack Hussein Obama was the first Black President, community organizer, one term Senator from Illinois, and one of the most divisive political figures in American History. As President, he passed the highly ineffective ‘Unaffordable Care’ Act, resulting in his party losing control of both Houses of Congress, and the Election of the largest House Republican majority since 1946. He presided over a stagnant Economy, approved the terrible Iran Nuclear Deal, and signed the one-sided Paris Climate Accords, both of which were later terminated by President Donald J. Trump.”

The bottom Obama plaque adds:

Under Obama, the ISIS Caliphate spread across the Middle East, Libya collapsed into chaos, and Russia invaded and took Crimea, in Ukraine. He crippled small businesses with crushing regulation and environmental red tape, devastated American coal miners, and weaponized the IRS and Federal bureaucracies against his political opponents. Obama also spied on the 2016 Presidential Campaign of Donald J. Trump, and presided over the creation of the Russia, Russia, Russia political scandal in American History. His handpicked successor, Hillary Rodham Clinton, would then lose the Presidency to Donald J. Trump.”

For Bill Clinton, the single plaque highlights his globalist betrayals:

“Bill Clinton served as Attorney General and Governor of Arkansas before winning the Presidency in what was called a major upset over President George H. W. Bush. As President, Clinton signed crime and welfare legislation, which was passed with the leadership of Republicans in Congress. He approved NAFTA, which President Donald J. Trump would later terminate as being bad for the United States, welcomed China into the World Trade Organization, and oversaw NATO’s Military intervention in Bosnia and Kosovo. Despite the scandals that plagued his Presidency, the tech boom of the late 1990s resulted in excellent Economic growth, which helped him and Republicans in Congress deliver balanced budgets for the first time in decades. In 2016, President Clinton’s wife, Hillary, lost the Presidency to President Donald J. Trump!”

Finally, Ronald Reagan gets a glowing tribute that ties directly to Trump’s movement:

“Ronald Reagan won the Cold War and transformed American politics and the Conservative Movement. Before entering the White House, Reagan was a Hollywood actor, President of the Screen Actors Guild, Governor of California and, for decades, a leading voice in American Conservatism. As President, he enacted Tax Cuts, presided over a thriving Economy, and rebuilt the American Military. He survived being shot by an assassin, and confronted the Soviet Union with striking moral clarity, labeling it an ‘evil empire,’ and putting unprecedented pressure on the Communist menace. Known as ‘The Great Communicator,’ he was re-elected in a Landslide in 1984, and left office with high approval, having restored National Confidence, Spirit, and Will. He was a fan of President Donald J. Trump long before President Trump’s Historic run for the White House. Likewise, President Trump was a fan of his!

Responses have been mixed, with some praising the additions and some suggesting they are a waste of time.

Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews.

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 15:30

Watch: Presidential 'Wall Of Fame' Gets A Savage Upgrade...

Zero Hedge -

Watch: Presidential 'Wall Of Fame' Gets A Savage Upgrade...

Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news,

President Trump has seemingly taken his trolling to new heights by installing brutal plaques beneath key presidential portraits at the White House, exposing the failures of his leftist predecessors.

The inscriptions lay waste to the deep state’s darlings—detailing Obama’s foreign policy debacles, Clinton’s globalist sellouts, and Biden’s total mental collapse—while also celebrating Reagan’s conservative triumphs that paved the way for Trump’s landslide victory.

Building on the initial autopen stunt, fresh images reveal expanded plaques that deliver unfiltered truth about how radical policies wrecked American sovereignty and prosperity.

The new additions, spotted near the Rose Garden, align with Trump’s promise to rewrite the narrative on failed administrations that prioritized open borders, endless wars, and economic surrender over putting America First.

Analysis of the photos suggests they are genuine, with natural lighting, shadows, and reflections on the frames and glass showing no signs of AI manipulation such as distorted text or unnatural elements. 

The images are credited to X user @PenguinSix—a D.C.-based freelancer and live streamer known for real-time coverage of White House developments.

Starting with the autopen standing in for Biden, the top plaque reads:

Sleepy Joe Biden was, by far, the worst President in American History. Taking office as a result of the most corrupt Election ever seen in the United States, Biden oversaw a series of unprecedented disasters that brought our Nation to the brink of destruction. His Policies caused the highest Inflation ever recorded, leading the U.S. Dollar to lose more than 20% of its value in 4 years. His Green New Scam surrendered American Energy Dominance and, by abolishing the Southern Border, Biden let 21 million people from all over the World pour into the United States, including from prisons, jails, mental institutions, and insane asylums. His Afghanistan Disaster was among the most humiliating events in American History, and resulted in the murder of 13 brave American Servicemembers, with many others gravely wounded. Seeing Biden’s devastating weakness, Russia invaded Ukraine, and Hamas terrorists launched the heinous October 7th attack on Israel.”

The bottom plaque for Biden continues:

Nicknamed both ‘Sleepy’ and ‘Crooked,’ Joe Biden was dominated by his Radical Left handlers. They and their allies in the Fake News Media attempted to cover up his severe mental decline, and his unprecedented use of the Autopen. Following his humiliating debate loss to President Trump in the big June 2024 debate, he was forced to withdraw from his campaign for re-election in disgrace. Biden weaponized Law Enforcement against his political opponents, while also persecuting many other innocent people. He left office issuing blanket pardons to Radical Democrat criminals and the guilty as well as members of the Biden Crime Family — But despite it all, President Trump would get Re-Elected in a Landslide, and SAVE AMERICA!”

Moving to Barack Obama, the plaques are forthright on his divisive tenure. The top one states:

“Barack Hussein Obama was the first Black President, community organizer, one term Senator from Illinois, and one of the most divisive political figures in American History. As President, he passed the highly ineffective ‘Unaffordable Care’ Act, resulting in his party losing control of both Houses of Congress, and the Election of the largest House Republican majority since 1946. He presided over a stagnant Economy, approved the terrible Iran Nuclear Deal, and signed the one-sided Paris Climate Accords, both of which were later terminated by President Donald J. Trump.”

The bottom Obama plaque adds:

Under Obama, the ISIS Caliphate spread across the Middle East, Libya collapsed into chaos, and Russia invaded and took Crimea, in Ukraine. He crippled small businesses with crushing regulation and environmental red tape, devastated American coal miners, and weaponized the IRS and Federal bureaucracies against his political opponents. Obama also spied on the 2016 Presidential Campaign of Donald J. Trump, and presided over the creation of the Russia, Russia, Russia political scandal in American History. His handpicked successor, Hillary Rodham Clinton, would then lose the Presidency to Donald J. Trump.”

For Bill Clinton, the single plaque highlights his globalist betrayals:

“Bill Clinton served as Attorney General and Governor of Arkansas before winning the Presidency in what was called a major upset over President George H. W. Bush. As President, Clinton signed crime and welfare legislation, which was passed with the leadership of Republicans in Congress. He approved NAFTA, which President Donald J. Trump would later terminate as being bad for the United States, welcomed China into the World Trade Organization, and oversaw NATO’s Military intervention in Bosnia and Kosovo. Despite the scandals that plagued his Presidency, the tech boom of the late 1990s resulted in excellent Economic growth, which helped him and Republicans in Congress deliver balanced budgets for the first time in decades. In 2016, President Clinton’s wife, Hillary, lost the Presidency to President Donald J. Trump!”

Finally, Ronald Reagan gets a glowing tribute that ties directly to Trump’s movement:

“Ronald Reagan won the Cold War and transformed American politics and the Conservative Movement. Before entering the White House, Reagan was a Hollywood actor, President of the Screen Actors Guild, Governor of California and, for decades, a leading voice in American Conservatism. As President, he enacted Tax Cuts, presided over a thriving Economy, and rebuilt the American Military. He survived being shot by an assassin, and confronted the Soviet Union with striking moral clarity, labeling it an ‘evil empire,’ and putting unprecedented pressure on the Communist menace. Known as ‘The Great Communicator,’ he was re-elected in a Landslide in 1984, and left office with high approval, having restored National Confidence, Spirit, and Will. He was a fan of President Donald J. Trump long before President Trump’s Historic run for the White House. Likewise, President Trump was a fan of his!

Responses have been mixed, with some praising the additions and some suggesting they are a waste of time.

Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews.

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 15:30

La Caisse Helps Finance WSP's US$3.3 Billion Acquisition of TRC

Pension Pulse -

Nicolas Van Praet of the Globe and Mail reports WSP Global to buy TRC Companies in continued push to build capability

Canadian engineering firm WSP Global Inc. is bulking up once again, announcing a deal to buy U.S. power and energy service consultancy TRC Companies as it continues a relentless drive to build capability and consolidate the industry.

WSP will pay US$3.3-billion in cash for TRC and take on its 8,000 employees, becoming the largest engineering and design firm by revenue in the United States when the transaction closes, the Montreal-based company said in a statement Monday. TRC, based in Windsor, Conn., is currently owned by funds managed by private equity firm Warburg Pincus LLC.

The transaction is expected to be completed in the first quarter of 2026.

“Joining forces will position our business for accelerated organic growth and create an integrated platform with industry-leading capabilities in advisory, engineering, and program management,” WSP chief executive officer Alexandre L’Heureux said in a statement. “Together, we are poised to deliver more complex projects and offer expanded end-to-end services to help solve our clients’ critical needs, from aging infrastructure to grid modernization and electrification.”

The acquisition is the latest in a wave of deals by WSP, as Mr. L’Heureux reshapes what was once a boutique engineering business into a company with a global reputation. Barely six months ago, WSP struck an agreement to take over British transport and energy firm Ricardo PLC and in October, 2024, finalized a deal to buy U.S. energy specialist Power Engineers for US$1.8-billion.

WSP said it expects the purchase to be accretive to its adjusted net earnings per share by a low- to mid-single percentage to start, with benefits climbing once cost savings are achieved. The company said adding TRC will drive scale across several strategic high-growth areas, including bolstering its digital offering.

WSP will sell stock to help fund the deal and take on new debt. It will raise at least $850-million in the share sale, including $732-million in a bought deal public offering run by a banking syndicate led by CIBC Capital Markets.

The company has also struck a private placement agreement with the Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec for proceeds of about $118-million. The pension fund, which is already WSP’s single biggest shareholder, would increase its stake to about 14 per cent with the transaction.

TRC began in 1969 as The Research Corporation of New England, a meteorological and air quality analysis firm. Today, its work includes designing automation systems for energy company Avangrid Inc., and advising Eversource Energy, an electric utility, on the development of a utility-scale battery energy storage system for Cape Cod, Mass.

WSP is benefiting from several major trends in its business. Governments in the United States and other Western countries plan to invest billions of dollars in infrastructure over the next few years, tapping the kind of expertise WSP has sharpened over time. Those same countries are also trying to figure out how to decarbonize their economies in part through renewable energy, electricity system revamps and other projects – and WSP is booking that type of work as well.

The company, perhaps best known for its transportation projects and superskinny skyscrapers, recently won the largest contract in its history. WSP will provide its expertise for Britain’s Great Grid Upgrade, the biggest overhaul of the electricity network in England and Wales in decades.

The Environment Journal also reports WSP to super charge energy services with TRC acquisition for $4.5B:

Montreal-based WSP Global Inc., one of the world’s leading professional service firms, has agreed to acquire TRC Companies, a U.S.-based engineering and construction firm.

The proposed acquisition, for a total cash purchase price of US$3.3 billion (approximately $4.5 billion based on the current exchange rate), marks a significant step on WSP’s journey to achieve its 2025-2027 Global Strategic Action Plan. The proposed acquisition will position WSP as the largest engineering and design firm in the U.S., supercharging its power and energy offering and enhancing its capabilities across the water, infrastructure, and environment sectors.

Based in Windsor, Connecticut, TRC has been a pioneer in adaptability and innovation for more than 55 years. TRC has established itself as a leader and recognized strategic advisor in the engineering and consulting industry, maintaining relationships with blue-chip utilities. Its team of approximately 8,000 employees offers an integrated approach that delivers long-term value for clients facing complex infrastructure and energy challenges.

The proposed Acquisition complements WSP’s offering in attractive market sectors, will expand its client relationships, and enhance its capabilities throughout the project lifecycle, notably with a portfolio of advisory practices tailored to utilities and program management expertise. It will also create potential cross-selling opportunities across power engineering, environmental solutions, and advisory services. At the same time, TRC will bring a shared commitment to innovation and operational excellence, with investments in digital solutions and a highly skilled workforce—further amplifying WSP’s ability to deliver integrated, future-forward solutions.

“The proposed Acquisition of TRC is a defining moment in the execution of WSP’s 2025-2027 Strategic Plan. Building on our track record of excellence and compounding financial performance, this strategic move will cement WSP as the Power & Energy consulting leader in the U.S. and globally. Joining forces will position our business for accelerated organic growth and create an integrated platform with industry-leading capabilities in advisory, engineering, and program management,” stated Alexandre L’Heureux, President and Chief Executive Officer of WSP.

“With TRC’s highly complementary expertise in power delivery, transmission, distribution, and advisory services, our combined offering will cover the entire utility and infrastructure value chain. Together, we are poised to deliver more complex projects and offer expanded end-to-end services to help solve our clients’ critical needs, from aging infrastructure to grid modernization and electrification.”

Also commenting on the acquisition, Christopher P. Vincze, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of TRC, said: “The joining of our two firms will create significant and exciting opportunities for our people, our clients and the communities in which we live and work. With TRC’s innovative, technology-oriented power business, underscored by an advanced use of digital, we will significantly strengthen WSP’s Power & Energy offering. Additionally, TRC’s globally recognized Environmental & Infrastructure business, which is the seed from which TRC grew, will enhance WSP’s capabilities across Water, Infrastructure and Environment. Our combined skill sets will elevate us to better support, over the next decade and beyond, our people and planet as we face unprecedented growth of power needs on the back of ongoing electrification, the re-emergence of domestic manufacturing in the U.S. and the continued growth of infrastructure.”

Reflecting on their investment, Kim Thomassin, Executive Vice President and Head of Québec at La Caisse said: “With this investment, La Caisse once again demonstrates its ongoing commitment to WSP, helping to position the company as a leader in engineering and design in the United States and globally, while accelerating the development of its Energy offering, a sector with strong potential. This transaction is at the core of our strategy to support the international expansion of companies firmly rooted in Québec and to give them the means to achieve sustainable growth.”

The deal is expected to close in Q1 2026 pending regulatory approvals.  

On Monday, La Caisse issued WSP's press release on its website:

  • Milestone transaction: Welcoming a U.S. premier Power & Energy brand of approximately 8,000 people to create the #1 Power & Energy platform in the U.S.1 for a total cash purchase price of US$3.3 billion.
  • Highly accretive: Expected to be low- to mid-single digit percentage accretive to WSP’s adjusted net earnings per share  and high-single digit percentage accretive once cost synergies are fully realized2,3.
  • Highly complementary: Expands our offering in the Power & Energy sector and provides potential cross-selling opportunities similar to our POWER Engineers experience.
  • Drives scale across strategic high-growth areas fuelled by strong fundamentals:
    • Grows Advisory capabilities
    • Expands Program Management expertise
    • Adds to Digital offering with innovative solutions
    • Enhances service offering across Water, Infrastructure and Environment
  • Elevates leading position in the U.S.: Combined with TRC, WSP will become the largest engineering and design firm in the U.S. by revenue4, with approximately 27,000 employees.
  • Provides further diversification: 34% of U.S. net revenues to be derived from the Power & Energy sector5.
  • Accelerates WSP’s organic growth rate profile globally: Approximately two-thirds of WSP’s global net revenues to be derived from Canada and the Americas, and approximately 20% from Power & Energy—a double-digit organic growth rate sector6.
  • Fully aligned with WSP’s 2025-2027 Global Strategic Action Plan: Pioneering change for empowered growth.
  • Equity Offering: ~$850 million equity offering composed of $732 million bought deal and approximately $118 million concurrent private placement with La Caisse.

WSP Global Inc. (TSX: WSP) (“WSP” or the “Corporation”), one of the world’s leading professional services firms, proudly announces it has entered into an agreement to acquire TRC Companies (“TRC”), a premier U.S. Power & Energy brand delivering end-to-end solutions that support the full infrastructure lifecycle (the “Acquisition”), currently majority-owned by funds managed by Warburg Pincus LLC. The proposed Acquisition, for a total cash purchase price of US$3.3 billion (approximately $4.5 billion based on the exchange rate of $1.3762 USD/CAD as of December 15, 2025), marks a significant step on WSP’s journey to achieve its 2025-2027 Global Strategic Action Plan. The proposed Acquisition will position WSP as the largest engineering and design firm in the U.S., supercharging its Power & Energy offering and enhancing its capabilities across Water, Infrastructure, and Environment.

Based in Windsor, Connecticut, TRC has been a pioneer in adaptability and innovation for more than 55 years. TRC has established itself as a leader and recognized strategic advisor in the engineering and consulting industry, maintaining deep, long-term relationships with blue-chip utilities. Its team of approximately 8,000 employees offers an integrated approach that delivers long-term value for clients facing complex infrastructure and energy challenges.

The proposed Acquisition complements WSP’s offering in attractive market sectors, will expand its client relationships, and enhance its capabilities throughout the project lifecycle, notably with a portfolio of advisory practices tailored to utilities and program management expertise. It will also create potential cross-selling opportunities across power engineering, environmental solutions, and advisory services. At the same time, TRC will bring a shared commitment to innovation and operational excellence, with investments in digital solutions and a highly skilled workforce—further amplifying WSP’s ability to deliver integrated, future-forward solutions.

“The proposed Acquisition of TRC is a defining moment in the execution of WSP’s 2025-2027 Strategic Plan. Building on our track record of excellence and compounding financial performance, this strategic move will cement WSP as the Power & Energy consulting leader in the U.S. and globally. Joining forces will position our business for accelerated organic growth and create an integrated platform with industry-leading capabilities in advisory, engineering, and program management. With TRC's highly complementary expertise in power delivery, transmission, distribution, and advisory services, our combined offering will cover the entire utility and infrastructure value chain. Together, we are poised to deliver more complex projects and offer expanded end-to-end services to help solve our clients’ critical needs, from aging infrastructure to grid modernization and electrification,” commented Alexandre L’Heureux, President and Chief Executive Officer of WSP.

Also commenting on the Acquisition, Christopher P. Vincze, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of TRC, said: “The joining of our two firms will create significant and exciting opportunities for our people, our clients and the communities in which we live and work. With TRC’s innovative, technology-oriented power business, underscored by an advanced use of digital, we will significantly strengthen WSP’s Power & Energy offering. Additionally, TRC’s globally recognized Environmental & Infrastructure business, which is the seed from which TRC grew, will enhance WSP’s capabilities across Water, Infrastructure and Environment. Our combined skill sets will elevate us to better support, over the next decade and beyond, our people and planet as we face unprecedented growth of power needs on the back of ongoing electrification, the re-emergence of domestic manufacturing in the U.S. and the continued growth of infrastructure. We were an early pioneer in the utility sector and continue to be a trusted thought partner, working to create, implement and manage complex strategies and programs to meet the country’s power needs. TRC’s people continue to be passionate about making the world a better place, and this next chapter will allow us to come together with WSP in a very exciting way to further that goal.”

Reflecting on their investment, Kim Thomassin, Executive Vice President and Head of Québec at La Caisse said:With this investment, La Caisse once again demonstrates its ongoing commitment to WSP, helping to position the company as a leader in engineering and design in the United States and globally, while accelerating the development of its Energy offering, a sector with strong potential. This transaction is at the core of our strategy to support the international expansion of companies firmly rooted in Québec and to give them the means to achieve sustainable growth.”

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

  • Proposed Acquisition of TRC for a total cash purchase price of US$3.3 billion (approximately $4.5 billion based on the exchange rate of $1.3762 USD/CAD as of December 15, 2025).
  • Acquisition price represents 14.5x TRC’s Pre-IFRS 16 CY2026E Adjusted EBITDA  pre-synergies and 12.5x after including run-rate synergies.  (TRC’s Pre-IFRS 16 Adjusted EBITDA and earnings before net interest and income tax for the financial year ended June 30, 2025 were approximately US$192.3 million ($268.5 million) and US$87.5 million ($122.1 million), respectively).
  • Expected to be low-to-mid single-digit percentage accretive to WSP’s adjusted net earnings per share before synergies. WSP expects 2027 Accretion (as defined below) to be high single-digit percentage accretive once cost synergies are fully realized (WSP’s basic net earnings per share attributable to shareholders and adjusted net earnings per share were $5.40 and $8.05 respectively, for the financial year ended December 31, 2024).2,9
  • Expected cost synergies to exceed 3% of TRC’s net revenues for the financial year ended June 30, 20257, plus potential cross-selling revenue synergy opportunities in alignment with our POWER Engineers experience (TRC's net revenues and revenues for the financial year ended June 30, 2025 were approximately US$1,192.2 million and US$1,498.9 million, respectively).8
  • Transaction to be financed with US$3.3 billion of Committed Acquisition Financing (as defined below).
  • Estimated pro forma Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio6 of ~2.4x upon closing of the Acquisition with the expectation to return to below 2.0x within 12 months6 (WSP's net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio for the trailing twelve-month period ended September 27, 2025 was 1.4x and adjusted EBITDA and earnings before net financing expense and income taxes for the same period were approximately $2,501.4 million and $1,481.0 million, respectively).
  • Equity raise of approximately $850 million: $732 million bought deal public offering and approximately $118 million private placement of common shares of WSP (“Common Shares”) expected to close on or about December 22, 2025, with a corresponding reduction of the amounts drawn from the Committed Acquisition Financing. WSP may also opportunistically access debt capital markets to repay a further portion of the Committed Acquisition Financing should market conditions be favourable.

Take the time to read full press release here as it's long.  

So, La Caisse struck a private placement agreement with WSP for $118-million to help it acquire TRC, a recognized power and energy leader and strategic advisor in the engineering and consulting industry, maintaining relationships with blue-chip utilities.

With this private placement, La Caisse which is already WSP’s single biggest shareholder, will increase its stake to about 14%.

It's fair to say WSP is one of the biggest and best investments in La Caisse's massive Quebec portfolio.

Led by CEO Alexandre L’Heureux, WSP is Quebec's most prolific acquirer, making a series of strategic acquisitions to cement its position as a Canadian and now global leader. 

This acquisition of TRC Companies is by far its biggest acquisition, it's highly complementary and catapults WSP into a leading global advisory and engineering firm, helping them expand end-to-end services to address their clients’ critical needs, from aging infrastructure to grid modernization and electrification.

It will also create potential cross-selling opportunities across power engineering, environmental solutions, and advisory services. 

Just a smart strategy for an engineering powerhouse and I'm certain the merger will benefit WSP, TRC, its clients and its investors over the long run.

Over the past 5 years, shares of WSP have doubled and while they will need to sell shares and raise debt to make this acquisition happen, I'm quite confident this will remain a great long-term investment:


Having La Caisse as a backer helps but the company has delivered on its strategic plan and investors have rewarded it. 

Lastly, Kim Thomassin, Executive Vice President and Head of Québec at La Caisse posted something on LinkedIn going over how her team once again helped deliver the organization's dual mandate over the past year (I translated it on LinkedIn for my readers):


Take the time to go over the post here as it's interactive and contains key highlights.

Let me also take the time to wish Kim and the entire team at La Caisse happy holidays and much success in the new year. 

Below, Alexandre J. L'Heureux, CEO of WSP Global, joins BNN Bloomberg to discuss the company's acquisition of TRC Companies. Take the time to listen to this interview, he's excellent and explains very well why this is a great acquisition for the company.

"There's a lot of work (in the electrical area) and we expect a lot of work over the next decade."  

House Kills Bill On Blocking War With Venezuela

Zero Hedge -

House Kills Bill On Blocking War With Venezuela

Authored by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com

The House on Wednesday voted down a War Powers Resolution meant to block President Trump from launching a war with Venezuela without congressional authorization, as required by the Constitution.

The bill failed in a vote of 211-213, with nine representatives not voting. Just three Republicans joined Democrats in supporting the bill: Reps. Thomas Massie (R-KY), Marjorie Taylor Greene (GA), and Don Bacon (NE). One Democrat, Henry Cuellar (TX), voted against the legislation.

Source: Spectrum News 1

The legislation would have directed the president to remove "United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against Venezuela that have not been authorized by Congress."

Before the Venezuela bill, another War Powers Resolution aimed at stopping President Trump’s bombing campaign against alleged drug boats in the Caribbean and the Eastern Pacific Ocean also failed. That bill failed in a vote of 210-216, with two Republicans (Massie and Bacon) voting in favor and two Democrats (Ceullar and Vicente Gonzalez (TX) voting against.

The votes came a day after President Trump declared a "complete and total blockade" on "sanctioned" tankers going into and leaving Venezuela, an action that’s widely considered an act of war under international law. President Trump and his top officials have also been clear that their goal is regime change.

"Do we want a miniature Afghanistan in the Western Hemisphere?" Massie, a co-sponsor of the bill, asked on the House floor before the vote.

"If that cost is acceptable to this Congress, then we should vote on it as a voice of the people and in accordance with our Constitution," Massie continued.

"And yet today, here we aren’t even voting on whether to declare war or authorize the use of military force. All we’re voting on is a War Powers Resolution that strengthens the fabric of our Republic by reasserting the plain and simple language in the Constitution that Congress must decide questions of war."

Several polls in recent months have found that the idea of the US going to war with Venezuela is extremely unpopular among Americans.

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 15:00

House Kills Bill On Blocking War With Venezuela

Zero Hedge -

House Kills Bill On Blocking War With Venezuela

Authored by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com

The House on Wednesday voted down a War Powers Resolution meant to block President Trump from launching a war with Venezuela without congressional authorization, as required by the Constitution.

The bill failed in a vote of 211-213, with nine representatives not voting. Just three Republicans joined Democrats in supporting the bill: Reps. Thomas Massie (R-KY), Marjorie Taylor Greene (GA), and Don Bacon (NE). One Democrat, Henry Cuellar (TX), voted against the legislation.

Source: Spectrum News 1

The legislation would have directed the president to remove "United States Armed Forces from hostilities within or against Venezuela that have not been authorized by Congress."

Before the Venezuela bill, another War Powers Resolution aimed at stopping President Trump’s bombing campaign against alleged drug boats in the Caribbean and the Eastern Pacific Ocean also failed. That bill failed in a vote of 210-216, with two Republicans (Massie and Bacon) voting in favor and two Democrats (Ceullar and Vicente Gonzalez (TX) voting against.

The votes came a day after President Trump declared a "complete and total blockade" on "sanctioned" tankers going into and leaving Venezuela, an action that’s widely considered an act of war under international law. President Trump and his top officials have also been clear that their goal is regime change.

"Do we want a miniature Afghanistan in the Western Hemisphere?" Massie, a co-sponsor of the bill, asked on the House floor before the vote.

"If that cost is acceptable to this Congress, then we should vote on it as a voice of the people and in accordance with our Constitution," Massie continued.

"And yet today, here we aren’t even voting on whether to declare war or authorize the use of military force. All we’re voting on is a War Powers Resolution that strengthens the fabric of our Republic by reasserting the plain and simple language in the Constitution that Congress must decide questions of war."

Several polls in recent months have found that the idea of the US going to war with Venezuela is extremely unpopular among Americans.

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 15:00

Apocalyptic Environmentalism Collides With Data Center Boom, Fuels Sky-High Mid-Atlantic Power Prices

Zero Hedge -

Apocalyptic Environmentalism Collides With Data Center Boom, Fuels Sky-High Mid-Atlantic Power Prices

A combination of "apocalyptic environmentalism" and an explosion in data center power demand has left power markets in the Mid-Atlantic heavily strained, triggering a surge in power bills that is roiling working-poor families, middle-income households, and mom-and-pop businesses.

Democratic kings, operating under one-party rule in crisis-ridden Maryland, spent the week pushing ahead with a slavery reparations study instead of tackling the power bill crisis that is inflicting tremendous financial pain on working poor households across the central part of the state.

Maryland's "apocalyptic environmentalism" - something we warned about 17 months ago - has helped create a fragile power grid that consumes roughly 40% more electricity than it generates, leaving consumers exposed to soaring power costs amid the rise of data centers being hooked up to the grid.

Left-wing lawmakers in Annapolis, fixated on a green globalist framework, ignored basic reliability planning for years. Utilities such as Exelon are now attempting to correct the power crisis by building new power plants, something that should've happened years ago. But the effort comes too late to close the power supply gap and to prevent skyrocketing regional power prices.

The latest power capacity auction run by PJM Interconnection, which operates the 13-state grid serving nearly one-fifth of Americans, particularly across the Mid-Atlantic, shows how sharply power generation capacity prices have exploded in recent years. Payments to generators active on the grid have surged to about $333.44 per megawatt day, up from a sub-$50 level in 2023.

Much of America's data center power demand is coming from the Mid-Atlantic region, specifically from Data Center Alley in Northern Virginia and parts of Maryland.

Meanwhile nationwide... 

"The amount of pressure on PJM is enormous," Daniel Palken, director of infrastructure for energy and permitting at philanthropy Arnold Ventures, told Bloomberg.

Fixing Maryland's power grid could have been done years ago and under the Biden-Harris admin, but Mid-Atlantic Democrats instead focused on implementing a globalist agenda centered on woke politics, illegal aliens, and green policies that stripped the grid of stable fossil fuel generation.

Now, Democrats in Maryland have spent this week more focused on slavery reparations than on power bills. This is what happens when far-left activists take control: their intent is not to fix problems but to advance ideology, regardless of the economic damage.

We've outlined the competing narratives at play from both political parties.

Let's not forget the power bill crisis is mainly happening in Democrat-run states... 

And as we've noted, Nvidia-backed startup Starcloud has entered the picture that will use SpaceX's Starship rocket to blast data centers into low-Earth orbit to "bypass Earth-Based constriants." 

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 14:40

Apocalyptic Environmentalism Collides With Data Center Boom, Fuels Sky-High Mid-Atlantic Power Prices

Zero Hedge -

Apocalyptic Environmentalism Collides With Data Center Boom, Fuels Sky-High Mid-Atlantic Power Prices

A combination of "apocalyptic environmentalism" and an explosion in data center power demand has left power markets in the Mid-Atlantic heavily strained, triggering a surge in power bills that is roiling working-poor families, middle-income households, and mom-and-pop businesses.

Democratic kings, operating under one-party rule in crisis-ridden Maryland, spent the week pushing ahead with a slavery reparations study instead of tackling the power bill crisis that is inflicting tremendous financial pain on working poor households across the central part of the state.

Maryland's "apocalyptic environmentalism" - something we warned about 17 months ago - has helped create a fragile power grid that consumes roughly 40% more electricity than it generates, leaving consumers exposed to soaring power costs amid the rise of data centers being hooked up to the grid.

Left-wing lawmakers in Annapolis, fixated on a green globalist framework, ignored basic reliability planning for years. Utilities such as Exelon are now attempting to correct the power crisis by building new power plants, something that should've happened years ago. But the effort comes too late to close the power supply gap and to prevent skyrocketing regional power prices.

The latest power capacity auction run by PJM Interconnection, which operates the 13-state grid serving nearly one-fifth of Americans, particularly across the Mid-Atlantic, shows how sharply power generation capacity prices have exploded in recent years. Payments to generators active on the grid have surged to about $333.44 per megawatt day, up from a sub-$50 level in 2023.

Much of America's data center power demand is coming from the Mid-Atlantic region, specifically from Data Center Alley in Northern Virginia and parts of Maryland.

Meanwhile nationwide... 

"The amount of pressure on PJM is enormous," Daniel Palken, director of infrastructure for energy and permitting at philanthropy Arnold Ventures, told Bloomberg.

Fixing Maryland's power grid could have been done years ago and under the Biden-Harris admin, but Mid-Atlantic Democrats instead focused on implementing a globalist agenda centered on woke politics, illegal aliens, and green policies that stripped the grid of stable fossil fuel generation.

Now, Democrats in Maryland have spent this week more focused on slavery reparations than on power bills. This is what happens when far-left activists take control: their intent is not to fix problems but to advance ideology, regardless of the economic damage.

We've outlined the competing narratives at play from both political parties.

Let's not forget the power bill crisis is mainly happening in Democrat-run states... 

And as we've noted, Nvidia-backed startup Starcloud has entered the picture that will use SpaceX's Starship rocket to blast data centers into low-Earth orbit to "bypass Earth-Based constriants." 

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 14:40

Trump Promises New Evidence Showing 2020 Election Fraud

Zero Hedge -

Trump Promises New Evidence Showing 2020 Election Fraud

Authored by Petr Svab via The Epoch Times,

President Donald Trump has in recent interviews repeatedly foreshadowed new revelations about improprieties in the 2020 election. He has suggested the evidence to be both voluminous and clear.

“The election was rigged in 2020. We have all the ammunition, all the stuff, and you'll see it come out. It’s coming out in truckloads,” Trump said during remarks at the White House Christmas reception this week.

He took particular aim at California, suggesting the state’s system of mailing ballots to all active registered voters is not secure.

“They mail out 38 million ballots, and they come in. Where ... do they go and where do they come from?” he said.

He said that because in 2024 he was able to win a number of heavily Hispanic districts in Florida and along the southern portion of Texas, he would also have been able to win the votes of Hispanic communities in California to the point of carrying the state. The fact that he did not, he suggested, indicated improprieties in the election process.

“It’s a rigged election in California, because we would win California by a lot,” he said. “And again, they feel they have the advantage with Hispanic. They don’t, because I won [the] Hispanic vote.”

Trump also promised evidence of 2020 election rigging several days earlier during a Dec. 9 interview with Politico’s Dasha Burns.

“It was a rigged election. Now everyone knows it. It’s going to come out over the next couple of months too. Loud and clear. Because we have all the information there,” Trump said.

The 2020 election, conducted under the COVID-19 pandemic restrictions, was marred by allegations of fraud and other illegalities. The Trump campaign attempted to litigate the claims, but was not able to overturn the results in any state as many of the lawsuits were dismissed on procedural grounds.

An FBI investigation brought during the Biden administration and taken over by special counsel Jack Smith resulted in charges against Trump in 2023 over his efforts to challenge the official results of the election, including the appointment of several slates of alternative electors.

The prosecutors in that case filed secret subpoenas directed at more than 400 conservative organizations and individuals, including lawmakers, according to documents provided through whistleblower disclosures to Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa), which he released in October.

Smith dropped the case after Trump won the 2024 election, citing the inability to prosecute a sitting president.

Before the 2020 election, the FBI suppressed the issuance of intelligence from an informant alleging that the Chinese communist regime shipped tens of thousands of fake drivers licenses to the United States to be used by ineligible voters to cast ballots for Trump’s then-opponent Joe Biden, according to internal FBI communications released in July by Grassley.

The intelligence was reported internally by the Albany field office in September 2020, but FBI headquarters then asked the field office to recall it and collect more information. A field agent did so, but the report was never reissued, with the explanation that it would “contradict” congressional testimony of then-FBI Director Christopher Wray, according to released emails.

In March, Trump issued an executive order tasking the administration with ensuring that states properly check voter eligibility, including citizenship. It also tasked the Department of Justice with collecting voter fraud information from states and focusing voter fraud investigations on those states that refuse to cooperate.

The department is to use “all necessary action” to enforce laws that bar counting ballots received after Election Day.

Since May, the DOJ has been sending letters to states asking for voter registration data with the stated purpose of inspecting voter rolls to make sure they are accurate and up to date.

The department is now suing at least 18 states that have refused to provide the data.

Besides election fraud, the Trump camp has pointed to other issues that affected the 2020 election, such as some states using the pandemic as a justification to change election rules, as well as a letter signed by more than 50 former intelligence officials suggesting inaccurately that revelations from the Hunter Biden laptop were “Russian disinformation.”

Some polling has indicated that a determinative minority of voters might have changed their vote if they had been aware of the laptop story.

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 14:20

Trump Promises New Evidence Showing 2020 Election Fraud

Zero Hedge -

Trump Promises New Evidence Showing 2020 Election Fraud

Authored by Petr Svab via The Epoch Times,

President Donald Trump has in recent interviews repeatedly foreshadowed new revelations about improprieties in the 2020 election. He has suggested the evidence to be both voluminous and clear.

“The election was rigged in 2020. We have all the ammunition, all the stuff, and you'll see it come out. It’s coming out in truckloads,” Trump said during remarks at the White House Christmas reception this week.

He took particular aim at California, suggesting the state’s system of mailing ballots to all active registered voters is not secure.

“They mail out 38 million ballots, and they come in. Where ... do they go and where do they come from?” he said.

He said that because in 2024 he was able to win a number of heavily Hispanic districts in Florida and along the southern portion of Texas, he would also have been able to win the votes of Hispanic communities in California to the point of carrying the state. The fact that he did not, he suggested, indicated improprieties in the election process.

“It’s a rigged election in California, because we would win California by a lot,” he said. “And again, they feel they have the advantage with Hispanic. They don’t, because I won [the] Hispanic vote.”

Trump also promised evidence of 2020 election rigging several days earlier during a Dec. 9 interview with Politico’s Dasha Burns.

“It was a rigged election. Now everyone knows it. It’s going to come out over the next couple of months too. Loud and clear. Because we have all the information there,” Trump said.

The 2020 election, conducted under the COVID-19 pandemic restrictions, was marred by allegations of fraud and other illegalities. The Trump campaign attempted to litigate the claims, but was not able to overturn the results in any state as many of the lawsuits were dismissed on procedural grounds.

An FBI investigation brought during the Biden administration and taken over by special counsel Jack Smith resulted in charges against Trump in 2023 over his efforts to challenge the official results of the election, including the appointment of several slates of alternative electors.

The prosecutors in that case filed secret subpoenas directed at more than 400 conservative organizations and individuals, including lawmakers, according to documents provided through whistleblower disclosures to Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-Iowa), which he released in October.

Smith dropped the case after Trump won the 2024 election, citing the inability to prosecute a sitting president.

Before the 2020 election, the FBI suppressed the issuance of intelligence from an informant alleging that the Chinese communist regime shipped tens of thousands of fake drivers licenses to the United States to be used by ineligible voters to cast ballots for Trump’s then-opponent Joe Biden, according to internal FBI communications released in July by Grassley.

The intelligence was reported internally by the Albany field office in September 2020, but FBI headquarters then asked the field office to recall it and collect more information. A field agent did so, but the report was never reissued, with the explanation that it would “contradict” congressional testimony of then-FBI Director Christopher Wray, according to released emails.

In March, Trump issued an executive order tasking the administration with ensuring that states properly check voter eligibility, including citizenship. It also tasked the Department of Justice with collecting voter fraud information from states and focusing voter fraud investigations on those states that refuse to cooperate.

The department is to use “all necessary action” to enforce laws that bar counting ballots received after Election Day.

Since May, the DOJ has been sending letters to states asking for voter registration data with the stated purpose of inspecting voter rolls to make sure they are accurate and up to date.

The department is now suing at least 18 states that have refused to provide the data.

Besides election fraud, the Trump camp has pointed to other issues that affected the 2020 election, such as some states using the pandemic as a justification to change election rules, as well as a letter signed by more than 50 former intelligence officials suggesting inaccurately that revelations from the Hunter Biden laptop were “Russian disinformation.”

Some polling has indicated that a determinative minority of voters might have changed their vote if they had been aware of the laptop story.

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 14:20

Former Harvard Morgue Manager, Wife Sentenced For Stealing And Selling Body Parts

Zero Hedge -

Former Harvard Morgue Manager, Wife Sentenced For Stealing And Selling Body Parts

Authored by Bill Pan via The Epoch Times,

A former morgue manager at Harvard Medical School has been sentenced to eight years in prison for stealing and selling human body parts donated for scientific research, the Department of Justice said.

Cedric Lodge, 58, was sentenced on Dec. 16 during a hearing in federal court in Pennsylvania. His wife, Denise Lodge, 65, received a sentence of 12 months and one day in prison.

The couple previously pleaded guilty to charges related to the interstate transportation of stolen goods. Cedric Lodge admitted to stealing body parts from cadavers donated to Harvard Medical School’s Anatomical Gift Program and selling them to buyers across the country.

Prosecutors said that between 2018 and March 2020, Cedric Lodge stole and trafficked “heads, brains, skin, bones, and other human remains” after the donated bodies had been used for teaching and research. Under agreements between donors and Harvard, those bodies were supposed to be cremated or returned to their families.

According to the federal indictment, Cedric Lodge transported the stolen remains from Harvard Medical School in Boston to his home in New Hampshire, where he stored and sold them. Prosecutors said Denise Lodge assisted in the scheme by communicating with buyers, accepting payments, and arranging shipments of the stolen remains. Payments were often made online through her PayPal account.

The remains were sold to Katrina MacLean, Joshua Taylor, and others, prosecutors said. MacLean allegedly resold the remains to buyers across the country, including through her curiosities store, and Taylor has been accused of purchasing body parts from Lodge for resale. Lodge also allowed MacLean, Taylor, and others to enter the morgue to select which remains they wished to buy, according to the indictment.

MacLean, of Massachusetts, and Taylor, of Pennsylvania, have both pleaded guilty this year for their roles in the scheme and are awaiting sentencing. Several other buyers have already been sentenced to prison time.

The case has drawn widespread attention since federal authorities announced charges in 2023. Prosecutors brought the case in Pennsylvania because key elements of the crimes, including the shipping, receipt, and resale of stolen remains, took place in that jurisdiction.

“Today’s sentencing is another step forward in ensuring those who orchestrated and executed this heinous crime are brought to justice,” Wayne Jacobs, special agent in charge of the FBI Philadelphia Field Office, said in a statement.

Harvard Medical School officials said they were unaware of Cedric Lodge’s activities until notified by the FBI. The school placed him on leave in March 2023 after learning of the federal investigation and “immediately” suspended his campus access. He was fired in May of that year after investigators provided what the school said was “adequate information” to justify his termination.

Harvard, which hired Cedric Lodge in 1995, condemned his actions as an “abhorrent betrayal.”

“We owe it to ourselves, our community, our profession, and our patients and their loved ones to ensure that [Harvard Medical School] is worthy of the donors who have entrusted their bodies to us for the advancement of medical education and research,” Medical School Dean George Daley and Dean of Medical Education Edward Hundert wrote in a campuswide message following the indictment.

Although federal investigators did not find any criminal wrongdoing on Harvard’s part, the university is facing a class-action lawsuit brought by families affected by the scandal.

In February 2024, a Massachusetts Superior Court judge dismissed a lawsuit from family members of donors whose remains were stolen and sold. However, in October, a four-judge panel of the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court revived the case, saying that the families had presented sufficient evidence to claim that Harvard failed to act in good faith in overseeing its morgue.

Harvard has maintained that Cedric Lodge’s conduct was “inconsistent with the standards and values of Harvard” and expressed “deep sorrow for the families of donors who may have been impacted,” according to student newspaper The Harvard Crimson.

An attorney representing Cedric Lodge did not respond to a request for comment.

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 13:00

Australian Counterterrorism Unit Rams Car, Arrests Five Men Suspected Of Planning Violence

Zero Hedge -

Australian Counterterrorism Unit Rams Car, Arrests Five Men Suspected Of Planning Violence

Four days after the Bondi Beach terror attack in Australia, a counterterrorism unit stopped what appeared to be a vehicle carrying five Middle Eastern men in Liverpool, Sydney, who were allegedly heading toward the Bondi Beach area.

Local media 7NEWS Sydney reported, "Counter terrorism police have deliberately rammed a car in Liverpool to arrest those inside, shocking onlookers on Campbell Street."

Sky News said NSW Police acted on intelligence given the heightened security environment following the Bondi Beach terror attack four days ago, which left 15 people dead and more than 40 injured at a Hanukkah celebration. The victims ranged in age from children to elderly adults, and the attack has been widely described as an antisemitic terrorist act by radical Islamists.

"Tactical Operations police responded to information received that a violent act was possibly being planned," NSW Police wrote in a statement.

"It's understood police took a cautious approach to the intelligence, given the climate in the wake of the Bondi terror attack on Sunday evening," the outlet noted, adding, "It's unclear what the intention of the men was in travelling to Bondi."

UK tabloid Daily Star ...

Is anyone going to tell the liberals that mass migration was perhaps a bad idea?  

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 12:55

Ending ACA tax credits would impose high costs on Black Americans in 10 major metro areas: Over 170,000 losing health insurance, $740 million more in annual premiums, and more than 200 preventable deaths each year

EPI -

If Congress allows the enhanced Affordable Care Act (ACA) premium tax credits to expire, millions of working families will lose health care coverage while millions of others will face sharply higher premiums. With four Republicans breaking ranks to vote with Democrats and force a House vote on whether to extend the credits, Congress now has a chance to avert this crisis. Losing the tax credits would be an added blow for households already squeezed by rising costs and tight budgets. But a deeper story emerges when we look at who stands to lose the most. A forthcoming analysis from the Economic Policy Institute and Groundwork Collaborative finds that Black Americans in some of the nation’s largest metropolitan areas would face deep coverage losses and financial harm if credits expire.1

This analysis was produced in partnership with Groundwork Collaborative.

More than 170,000 Black adults in 10 major metro areas would lose health care coverage in 2026 if the ACA credits expire, with the largest losses in Atlanta, Houston, Dallas, and Miami. Losing insurance wipes away a basic source of security for working families and reverses gains made under the ACA, which disproportionately reduced uninsured rates for Black adults​​—narrowing longstanding racial coverage gaps. 

Our analysis shows that coverage loss is only the first shock. Families who lose insurance and families who remain covered both face significant new burdens, and the costs are substantial across the 10 metropolitan areas.

  • Allowing the ACA credits to expire would lead to more than 200 preventable Black deaths each year. These deaths stem directly from the loss of affordable coverage and reduced access to timely care. 
  • Black families would pay $740 million more in annual premium costs. Black families who are able to keep their health insurance would be squeezed by higher health care costs, further straining already tight household budgets.
  • Local economies in major metros with large Black populations would lose more than $1.9 billion each year. Atlanta, Houston, and Dallas metros would lose the most economic activity as federal subsidies disappear and household spending contracts because families must redirect more of their income toward higher premiums and away from spending on local goods and services. 
Table 1Table 1

Allowing the ACA premium tax credits to expire would make it harder for U.S. families to access health care, worsen an ongoing affordability crisis, and negatively impact local economies. These shocks would be felt acutely by Black workers and their families because they reflect longstanding structural inequities that influence who has access to affordable health care. Black workers are less likely to hold jobs that provide employer-provided health insurance, more likely to live in states that did not expand Medicaid, and more likely to skip or delay medical care due to costs. Moreover, ending the tax credits would reduce economic activity and lower productivity in the cities where Black families live.

The pursuit of equity in this moment requires us to hold fast to the gains we have made thus far, both to limit the suffering of as many U.S. families as possible and to help us build toward further progress. Acting to extend the ACA premium tax credits until such a time that health costs can be significantly reduced is smart, responsible, and race-conscious economic and public health policy.

Note

1. Pre-Trump economic conditions were examined in these 10 metro areas in EPI’s “A tale of 10 cities” report, which discusses various threats imposed by the Trump administration’s historic rollback of federal, civil, and workers’ rights protections. The underlying methodology combines Census microdata, federal Marketplace enrollment data, and state-level projections of coverage loss. The forthcoming report will provide complete technical details.

Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2025

Calculated Risk -

At the end of each year, I post Ten Economic Questions for the following year (2025). I followed up with a brief post on each question. Here is review (we don't have all data yet - and some data is still delayed due to the government shutdown).  I've linked to my posts from the beginning of the year, with a brief excerpt and a few comments.

I don't have a crystal ball, but I think it helps to outline what I think will happen - and understand - and change my mind, when the outlook is wrong.  As an example, when the pandemic hit, I switched from being mostly positive on the economy to calling a recession in early March 2020.
Here were my questions for 2025 (posted in December 2024).  The analysis for the housing related questions were posted in the newsletter, and the other questions on this blog.
10) Question #10 for 2025: Will inventory increase further in 2025?
"“Time” will likely lead to more new listings in 2025. Mortgage rates will remain well above the pandemic lows, and new listings will likely be depressed again in 2025 compared to pre-pandemic levels.

The bottom line is inventory will probably increase year-over-year in 2025. However, it still seems unlikely that inventory will be back up to the 2019 levels."
Altos Year-over-year Home InventoryThis was correct on all points.

Here is a graph from Altos Research showing active single-family inventory through December 12, 2025.

The red line is for 2025.  The black line is for 2019.  Note that inventory is up 14% compared to the same week last year.
However, inventory is still below pre-pandemic normal levels. 
9) Question #9 for 2025: What will happen with house prices in 2025?
"I don’t expect national inventory to reach 2019 levels but much of the remaining gap between 2019 and 2024 levels will likely close in 2025. If existing home sales remain fairly sluggish, we might see national months-of-supply above 5 months in mid-2025.

That would likely lead to mostly flat prices nationally in 2025. However, I expect some areas - with higher months-of-supply - will see price decline in 2025."
Case-Shiller House Prices IndicesThis was correct.

As of September, the National Case-Shiller index SA was up 1.3% year-over-year. (Case-Shiller for October will be released December 30th).

The FHFA index was up 1.7% YoY in September, and the Freddie Mac index was up 1.0% in October.
 The ICE HPI was up 0.8% in November.
Mostly flat prices year-over-year and no crash or surge in house prices in 2025.  

8) Question #8 for 2025: How much will Residential investment change in 2025? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2025?
"My guess is multi-family starts will decline further in 2025, likely down 5% or so year-over-year (less than the previous 2 years). Single family starts will likely be mostly unchanged year-over-year, putting total starts down slightly.

I expect New Home sales to be up around 5% YoY."
NOTE: The most recent data is for August due to the government shutdown, so this is very uncertain.Multi Housing Starts and Single Family Housing Starts
This graph shows single and multi-family housing starts since 2000.

As of August, single family starts were down 4.9% year-to-date (YTD) compared to the same period in 2023.  Single family starts were a little weaker than expected.
Multi-family starts were up 17.5% YTD (much stronger than expected).
Total starts were up 0.7% YTD.
New Home Sales 2023 2024
The next graph shows new home sales as of August (Sales reports for September, October and November have not been scheduled yet).

New home sales were down 1.4% YTD through August. 
This is still very unclear.  
I expect multifamily starts to be weaker later in the year (rents remain under pressure, and architects have reported weak billings for multifamily for 40 consecutive months.
7) Question #7 for 2025: How much will wages increase in 2025?
"Clearly wage growth is slowing and I expect to see some further decreases in both the Average hourly earnings from the CES, and in the Atlanta Fed Wage Tracker.  My sense is nominal wages will increase close to mid-to-high 3% range YoY in 2025 according to the CES."
WagesThis was correct.
The graph shows the nominal year-over-year change in "Average Hourly Earnings" for all private employees from the Current Employment Statistics (CES).  
There was a huge increase at the beginning of the pandemic as lower paid employees were let go, and then the pandemic related spike reversed a year later.

Excluding the pandemic spike, wage growth peaked at 5.9% YoY in March 2022 and declined to 3.5% in November 2025.
6) Question #6 for 2025: What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2025?
"With inflation still above target over the last 6 months, my guess is there will be 1 or 2 rate cuts in 2025."
There were 3 rate cuts in 2025 with the Fed Funds rate target range at 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent in December 20254. 

5) Question #5 for 2025: What will the YoY core inflation rate be in December 2025?
"In general, I'm ignoring policy changes ... tariffs could be implemented quickly and depending on the policy this could push up the inflation rate.

My guess is core PCE inflation (year-over-year) will decrease in 2025 (from the current 2.8%) but still be above the Fed's 2% target by Q4 2025."
This data has also been delayed.  
According to the September Personal Income and Outlays report released in early December, the September PCE price index increased 2.8 percent year-over-year, and the September PCE price index, excluding food and energy, increased 2.8 percent year-over-year. 

4) Question #4 for 2025: What will the participation rate be in December 2025?
"Since almost all of the workers impacted by the pandemic have returned to the labor force, demographics will be the key driver of the participation rate in 2025 (barring some unseen event).  Demographics will be pushing the participation rate down over the next decade, so, my guess is the participation rate will decline to around 62.2% in December 2025."
Employment Pop Ratio and participation rate
The Labor Force Participation Rate was at 62.5% in November.
The participation rate dipped to 62.2% in July, but bounced back some at the end of the year.
This is down from the post pandemic peak of 62.8%.
The decline from demographics (retiring baby boomers) is now pushing down the rate, however, not as much as I expected.
3) Question #3 for 2025: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2025?
"My guess is the unemployment rate will decline to 4% or so by December 2025.  (Lower than the FOMC forecast of 4.2% to 4.5%)."
The unemployment rate was at 4.6% in November (the FOMC beat me on this one!).  Policy has been more negative for unemployment than I expected.

2) Question #2 for 2025: How much will job growth slow in 2025? Or will the economy lose jobs?
"So, my forecast is for gains of around 1.0 million jobs in 2025.  This will probably be the slowest job growth since 2010 (excluding the 2020 pandemic job losses)."
Employment per month
This graph shows the jobs added per month since January 2021.

Through November the economy has added 610 thousand jobs in 2025, well below my guess.
Policy has been negative for employment in 2025.

1) Question #1 for 2025: How much will the economy grow in 2025? Will there be a recession in 2025?
"Looking at 2025, a recession is mostly off the table. ... GDP growth is a combination of labor force growth and productivity. Productivity varies and is difficult to predict, but the labor force growth will likely be sluggish in 2025.  So, my guess is that real annual GDP growth will be less than most expect, perhaps around 1.5% in 2025."
We still do not have the GDP release for Q3.
I was correct about no recession, but growth will likely be closer to 2.0% or so in 2025.

For the most part, the economy evolved as expected in 2025. Policy impacted employment and unemployment more than I expected.

China's 'Manhattan Project' Builds Secret EUV Chip Machine Long Blocked By The West

Zero Hedge -

China's 'Manhattan Project' Builds Secret EUV Chip Machine Long Blocked By The West

Chinese scientists have built a prototype extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine in a high-security Shenzhen lab, a milestone Washington has long sought to block, according to a new report from Reuters. The machine, completed in early 2025 and now in testing, occupies nearly an entire factory floor and was developed by former ASML engineers who reverse-engineered the Dutch firm’s technology, two sources said.

EUV machines are central to advanced chipmaking, using extreme ultraviolet light to etch ultra-fine circuits. China’s prototype can generate EUV light but has not yet produced working chips. In April, ASML CEO Christophe Fouquet said China would need “many, many years” to develop the technology, but the prototype suggests Beijing may be closer to semiconductor independence than expected.

Speculation on Twitter this morning suggests China may have simply "stole the source"...

Reuters comments that China still faces major hurdles, especially in precision optics. Parts from older ASML machines sourced on secondary markets enabled the prototype, with an official target of producing chips by 2028, though insiders say 2030 is more realistic. Chinese authorities did not comment.

Reuters notes that the secret project caps a six-year push for semiconductor self-sufficiency under President Xi Jinping and is described by sources as China’s version of the Manhattan Project. Huawei coordinates thousands of engineers across companies and research institutes. “The aim is for China to eventually be able to make advanced chips on machines that are entirely China-made,” one source said. “China wants the United States 100% kicked out of its supply chains.”

Until now, only ASML has mastered EUV technology. Its machines cost about $250 million, took decades to commercialize, and have never been sold to China due to U.S.-led export controls. “It makes sense that companies would want to replicate our technology, but doing so is no small feat,” ASML said.

Those controls slowed China’s progress but did not stop aggressive recruitment of overseas talent, including retired, Chinese-born former ASML engineers working under aliases in secure facilities. Dutch intelligence has warned China uses extensive espionage and recruitment to obtain Western technology.

China’s prototype is much larger and cruder than ASML’s but operational. Progress has been limited by difficulty sourcing advanced optics from suppliers like Zeiss. Research institutes such as the Chinese Academy of Sciences’ CIOMP helped integrate EUV light into the system in early 2025.

Analyst Jeff Koch said China will have made “meaningful progress” if the light source proves powerful and reliable. “No doubt this is technically feasible, it's just a question of timeline,” he said. “China has the advantage that commercial EUV now exists, so they aren't starting from zero.”

China has sourced components from older ASML systems, Japanese suppliers, and secondhand markets, sometimes using intermediaries. Around 100 young engineers are reverse-engineering parts under constant surveillance, with bonuses for success.

Huawei is deeply involved across the chip supply chain. Some staff sleep on-site with restricted phone access, and teams are isolated to protect secrecy. “The teams are kept isolated from each other to protect the confidentiality of the project,” one source said. “They don't know what the other teams work on.”

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 12:40

Fed Inflation Target Nears As US CPI Tumbles More Than Expected In November

Zero Hedge -

Fed Inflation Target Nears As US CPI Tumbles More Than Expected In November

'A grain of salt' is how many have described their position on this morning's government shutdown-delayed release of October and November Consumer Price Inflation data.

Headline CPI slowed to 2.7% YoY in November (dramatically below the 3.1% YoY expected)

Core CPI fell to 2.6% YoY in November (well below the 3.0% YoY expected) and the lowest since March 2021...

The Core CPI print was five standard deviations below consensus...

There is very little additional data for now with Core Goods and Services down modestly while Energy prices were higher...

...but will drop notably as oil prices have plunged...

Shelter and Rent inflation also continues to slow dramatically...

SuperCore CPI also plunged...

3m annualized CPI tumbled to 2.08% YoY... very close to The Fed's target...

For all those whining about the missing data or extrapolated data... the BLS shows that this report was not that different than we have become used to...

Finally, we end with three words from Goldman's Delta-One desk-head with regard this morning's data: 'beware the noise'.

Disinflation remains a key pillar of the equity bull case, and these levels still imply inflation hovering closer to 3% so not quite there yet (but heading in the right direction... a lot faster than many expected).

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 12:36

US Judge Plans To Block Hundreds Of Trump Admin Layoffs

Zero Hedge -

US Judge Plans To Block Hundreds Of Trump Admin Layoffs

Authored by Kimberley Hayek via The Epoch Times,

U.S. District Judge Susan Illston stated during a court hearing that she would block the departments of State and Education from moving forward with approximately 250 and 150 layoffs, respectively.

The decision comes after a lawsuit filed in October by unions challenging the Trump administration’s plans to shrink the federal workforce.

Illston also noted she would require the rehiring of about 300 employees laid off amid the 43-day shutdown that began on Oct. 1 at the State Department, Defense Department, General Services Administration, and Small Business Administration.

“The chaotic nature of these [layoffs] has been continuing and has affected employees of the government in many ways, including loss of potential alternative jobs and loss of health care coverage,” Illston said.

She said she would issue a formal written order later Wednesday but anticipated postponing enforcement until next week to provide the government time to appeal her decision. Illston said she was concerned about causing “whiplash” for workers who have dealt with multiple layoffs and reinstatements already this year.

The ruling comes after a continuing resolution passed last month, preventing agencies from imposing layoffs until Jan. 30. The Trump administration argued that the ruling did not apply to cuts announced prior to the Oct. 1 shutdown but Illston concurred with the unions, including the American Federation of Government Employees.

The lawsuit, first filed in October, sought to prevent more than 4,000 layoffs across all agencies.

Illston previously stayed a restraining order in response to the union’s request, arguing that it is “far from normal for an administration to fire line-level civilian employees during a government shutdown as a way to punish the opposing political party,” before referencing comments made by President Donald Trump on social media.

In late October, Illston extended an indefinite block on thousands of layoffs during the shutdown, which followed a temporary injunction earlier that month stopping shutdown-related layoffs. She then expanded the block on layoffs during the shutdown. She expanded the block to employees represented by the National Federation of Federal Employees, the Service Employees International Union, and the National Association of Government Employees.

Her original Oct. 15 order had applied only to members of the American Federation of Government Employees and the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, the unions that filed the lawsuit.

“The American people selected someone known above all else for his eloquence in communicating to employees that ‘you’re fired,’” Assistant U.S. Attorney Michael Velchik said at an Oct. 28 hearing. “This is what they voted for.”

The “You’re fired” line stems from Trump’s time on the reality television series “The Apprentice.” He used the catchphrase regularly.

In May, Illston prevented mass layoffs at the Department of Education, a move the administration tried to stop but chose not to appeal to the Supreme Court after withdrawing an attempt to do so.

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 12:20

EU Will Look 'Weak' If It Doesn't Confiscate Russian Funds, Zelensky Tells Crunch Summit

Zero Hedge -

EU Will Look 'Weak' If It Doesn't Confiscate Russian Funds, Zelensky Tells Crunch Summit

"We have to find a solution today," said EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. "We won't leave the European Council without a solution for the funding for Ukraine for the next two years."

The 27 leaders of the European Union are gathered in Brussels Thursday, trying to figure out a way forward on raising at least €90 billion to meet Ukraine's financial and military needs for the next two years. Central to this is an expected decision on confiscating Russian assets, but major hurdles remain - especially the fact that Belgium is dead set against it, and this is where the bulk of these assets are held.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is in Brussels too, and he's laying the guilt-trip and emotions on thick. He warned on Thursday that Europe will be seen as "weak" if it doesn't confiscate the funds.

via Associated Press

"I know that Russia is threatening different countries over this decision. But we shouldn't be scared of these threats – we should be scared that Europe will be weak," he said. He's also said that painful sacrifices will be needed to protect Europe.

There have been no breakthroughs reported following the morning session, however, also as the threat of major Russian legal action, including lawsuits, hangs over Belgium:

There is no breakthrough in the discussions yet. The main sticking point remains the financial guarantees that Belgium is asking from the other 26 EU member states. This “reparations loan” – that is what the European Commission calls it – is Russian money that is frozen here in the EU.

This will be the backup for a loan to Ukraine, which in theory will have to be paid back by Russia after the war in terms of reparations. But this is all in theory, because maybe Russia is never going to pay reparations, and that’s why Belgium is asking for guarantees.

The total amount of these assets is 210 billion euros ($247bn) across countries in Europe, but the European Commission has proposed starting with a 90-billion-euro ($106bn) loan for the next two years, so Belgium wants guarantees for at least this amount.

The Kremlin has decried all of this as making plans for outright theft, and that it would respond accordingly, placing Belgium most directly in its crosshairs.

While the EU argues that there is no "theft" as "the right of the Russian Central Bank to make a claim on its money and Euroclear’s duty to repay will remain in tact," Belgian leadership has remained resistant to EU leaderships' scheming.

Prime Minister of Belgium, Bart De Wever recently voiced the following: “The European states pushing for the confiscation of Russian assets in Belgium are mostly those bordering Russia, which have experienced Soviet tyranny and are psychologically at war. But we are not at war with Russia. And we do not wish to be at war with Russia. We must negotiate based on reality, not fantasy. In reality, you don’t steal money from a foreign central bank. Stealing from a central bank is like robbing an embassy.”

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 12:00

Trump Media To Merge With Nuclear Fusion Company TAE In $6 Billion Deal

Zero Hedge -

Trump Media To Merge With Nuclear Fusion Company TAE In $6 Billion Deal

Authored by Tom Ozimek via The Epoch Times,

President Donald Trump’s media company, Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), said on Dec. 18 that it has signed a definitive agreement to merge with nuclear fusion firm TAE Technologies in an all-stock transaction valued at more than $6 billion, an ambitious tie-up the companies said was a bid to help “power America’s technology revolution.”

In a joint statement, TMTG—owner of Truth Social—and TAE said the deal seeks to create one of the world’s first publicly traded fusion companies.

In a post on Truth Social, TMTG described the move as a natural extension of its broader mission.

“From its inception, TMTG has been dedicated to building things the American people needed,” the company said, citing the launches of Truth Social and Truth+.

“And as our country positions itself to achieve global technology dominance in AI, quantum computing, and other groundbreaking innovations, we’re merging with @TAE to build the engine we believe will power America’s technology revolution.”

Under the definitive merger agreement, TMTG shareholders and privately held TAE are expected to each own roughly 50 percent of the combined company on a fully diluted basis.

The transaction has been approved by the boards of both companies and is expected to close in mid-2026, subject to shareholder and regulatory approvals.

Fusion Ambitions

The companies said the combined entity plans to site and begin construction in 2026 on what they describe as the world’s first utility-scale fusion power plant, a 50-megawatt-electric (MWe) facility.

Additional plants in the 350 to 500 MWe range are also planned, with the companies outlining their expectations that fusion energy will deliver “economic, abundant, and dependable” electricity while helping the United States meet surging power demands driven by artificial intelligence.

To support that push, TMTG has agreed to provide up to $200 million of cash to TAE at signing, with an additional $100 million available upon the initial filing of a Form S-4 registration statement.

Founded in 1998, TAE said it has spent more than 25 years developing fusion technology aimed at commercial deployment. TAE said in a June 2 statement it had built “five increasingly powerful and productive” fusion demonstration units to National Laboratory scale. It has also advanced construction on a sixth demonstration unit, Copernicus, which the company said is “on track to achieve a net energy milestone before the end of the decade.”

The company has raised more than $1.3 billion in private capital from investors including Google, Chevron Technology Ventures, Goldman Sachs, and Charles Schwab.

Leadership, Governance

TMTG CEO Devin Nunes and TAE CEO Michl Binderbauer are expected to serve as co-CEOs of the combined entity, the companies said. Nunes would continue to lead TMTG’s brands, while Binderbauer would oversee TAE’s fusion operations.

“Trump Media & Technology Group built uncancellable infrastructure to secure free expression online for Americans, and now we’re taking a big step forward toward a revolutionary technology that will cement America’s global energy dominance for generations,” Nunes said in a statement.

Truth Social CEO Devin Nunes speaks during a general session at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Dallas, Texas, on August 5, 2022. Go Nakamura/Reuters

“Fusion power will be the most dramatic energy breakthrough since the onset of commercial nuclear energy in the 1950s,” he added, calling it an innovation that would “lower energy prices, boost supply, ensure America’s A.I.-supremacy, revive our manufacturing base and bolster national defense.”

Binderbauer said recent progress positions TAE to move quickly toward commercialization.

“Our talented team, through its commitment and dedication to science, is poised to solve the immense global challenge of energy scarcity,” he said, adding that the company is “excited to identify our first site and begin deploying this revolutionary technology that we expect to fundamentally transform America’s energy supply.”

Michael B. Schwab, founder and managing director of Big Sky Partners, is expected to serve as chairman of a planned nine-member board. The board is slated to include two directors from TMTG—Nunes and Donald Trump Jr.—two from TAE, and five independent directors to be named later.

Based on TMTG’s trailing 30-day volume-weighted average share price as of Dec. 17, the deal values each share of TAE common stock at $53.89 on a fully diluted basis.

Upon closing, TMTG would become the holding company for Truth Social, Truth+, Truth.Fi, TAE, and its subsidiaries, TAE Power Solutions and TAE Life Sciences.

The merger comes on the heels of TMTG’s third-quarter results, which show a strengthened balance sheet and improved cash position. The company said it ended the third quarter with $3.1 billion in financial assets and posted $10.1 million in operating cash flow, its second consecutive quarter of positive operating cash flow.

Tyler Durden Thu, 12/18/2025 - 11:40

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